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Afghanistan

The Pakistan-Afghanistan conflict: A strategic concern for the US
  • Analysis
  • The Pakistan-Afghanistan conflict: A strategic concern for the US

    Pakistan’s relationship with the Afghan Taliban has shifted from open sponsorship in the 1990s to a silent partnership following 2001 to alienation and belligerence since 2021. Their current conflict, which comes at great cost to both countries and seems to have no easy military or political resolution, also poses a threat to the stability and prosperity of neighboring states. Although American strategic interests in the region greatly diminished following the United States’ military withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021, the region’s altered political dynamics have prompted a growing American engagement with Pakistan and tentatively with Afghanistan. At the same time, the US has become a factor in how both Islamabad and Kabul have come to form their national security strategies.

    Don't believe the hype: The modest reality of the Saudi-Pakistani defense pact
    Image created by Oleksii Liskonih via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Don't believe the hype: The modest reality of the Saudi-Pakistani defense pact

    The September 17 Saudi-Pakistani defense agreement generated a wave of overheated commentary about Saudi Arabia now residing under a Pakistani nuclear umbrella and how a new strategic reality was in the offing in the Persian Gulf and South Asian regions. Analysts need to slow their roll. Extended deterrence is an extremely difficult thing to pull off. The devil is in the details, about which we know nothing.

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    Pakistan's deepening strategic reliance on China
    Photo by Ahmad Kamal/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan's deepening strategic reliance on China

    The strategic alliance between Pakistan and China, driven largely by opportunism and geostrategic interests, seems unshakable. However, the extent of its mutual benefit remains under scrutiny, especially for Islamabad, whose reliance on Beijing continues to deepen. Although China claims to base its foreign policy interactions on five key principles — respect for sovereignty, non-aggression, non-interference, equality and mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence — its dealings with Pakistan indicate an unequal power dynamic that primarily serves its own interests. This imbalance in the Pakistan-China strategic alliance has led to a situation in which Islamabad’s autonomy is increasingly curtailed, and its vulnerability to Beijing’s influence is becoming more apparent.

    October 11, 2024

    Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications
    Photo by Marco Di Lauro/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications

    Three years since the US and allied withdrawal from Afghanistan, the facts on the ground challenge some more optimistic depictions of the Taliban’s counterterrorism cooperation with the US, al-Qaeda’s reemergence, or the capacity of ISKP to direct external attacks that could threaten American interests.

    Pakistan’s shifting positions on the plight of Palestinians and relations with Israel
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s shifting positions on the plight of Palestinians and relations with Israel

    It is ironic that Pakistan and Israel are both countries created in the name of religion, at around the same time, and yet they have no formal relations. While Pakistan’s animosity toward Israel is rooted in the displacement of Palestinians, it has also served as a means of burnishing the country’s credentials within the community of Muslim nations and pushing back against India, which maintains increasingly close ties with Israel.

    September 4, 2024

    Pakistan's Independence Day highlights deepening ideological divide
    Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan's Independence Day highlights deepening ideological divide

    On Aug. 14, Pakistan celebrated its 78th Independence Day against the backdrop of a widening ideological and societal divide between proponents of Islamic nationalism and those championing democracy. Seizing the occasion, both the military and political leaders, recognizing Pakistan’s vulnerability to political instability and eroding social cohesion, have sought to shape the national discourse and sway public opinion with their respective narratives.

    Pakistan and the Middle East’s evolving approach to Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan and the Middle East’s evolving approach to Afghanistan

    Afghanistan has long been an arena for proxy contestations by regional powers, which have adopted rather divergent Afghan policies over the past several decades of foreign occupation and are doing so again now when the country is in the vicelike grip of a resurgent Taliban.

    August 12, 2024

    The IMF, CPEC, and Pakistan: Will the Chinese save Islamabad yet again?
    Photo by Huang Jingwen/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The IMF, CPEC, and Pakistan: Will the Chinese save Islamabad yet again?

    The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), once heralded as a “game-changer,” has almost disappeared from the spotlight in recent years. The project has faced slow implementation, unpaid loans, corruption, and a dire security situation. How is China responding to Pakistan’s poor handling of CPEC, its perpetual financial troubles, and its periodic demands on China to bail it out?

    August 6, 2024

    Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war

    After 10 months of Israel’s war on Gaza, the US administration has lost control over its ally and the fear of its opponents. As a result, Washington has only limited, if any, impact on the cost-benefit escalation calculus of the fighting sides. The Middle East is today the closest it has ever been to an all-out multi-front regional war.

    Iran strives to become a pan-sectarian Islamic power
    Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian meets with the head of the Taliban's political bureau Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar in Tehran, Iran on Nov. 5, 2023.
  • Analysis
  • Iran strives to become a pan-sectarian Islamic power

    The success of Iran’s Islamic Revolution in 1979 marked the first time in modern history that a secular regime in the Middle East was toppled in favor of a theocratic, Islamist order. Over the following decades, the Islamic Republic of Iran’s primary objective has been to become a regional hegemon. In pursuit of this goal, Iran’s Shi’a clerical leadership has been willing to adopt a remarkably pragmatic approach, allowing it to often diverge from its religious dogma.

    August 1, 2024

    Pakistan’s political scene looks increasingly unsettled and complicated
    Photo by ABDUL MAJEED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s political scene looks increasingly unsettled and complicated

    The deep rift between the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party and Pakistan’s civil-military establishment shows no sign of weakening but appears to be shifting. The coalition government and its military sponsors, so recently seen as having taken command of the political heights, are now showing signs of panicking as they appear to be losing the initiative and ability to set the narrative.

    Taliban Leadership Tracker

    MEI’s Taliban Leadership Tracker is a detailed database mapping 1,200 leaders and appointees wielding influence throughout the Taliban government. Produced and maintained by MEI Non-Resident Scholar Javid Ahmad, the database can be used to help identify individuals who wield various forms of influence, ones who may be receptive to dialogue and collaboration, as well as those involved in rights violations, abuses, or criminal and terrorist activities.