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Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists
Security forces loyal to Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas stop a vehicle at a checkpoint in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on August 28, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Disrupting a delicate status quo: The Hamas crackdown on Salafi-jihadists

    Reports of a secret war being waged by Hamas against Salafi-jihadist groups in the Gaza Strip are indicative of increasing challenges to the former’s security control within the enclave. Hamas’ current approach to violent Salafist cells in Gaza is equally demonstrative of an ongoing warming of relations between Cairo and Hamas, and one that has afforded Hamas international legitimacy and an ease in border restrictions.

    October 22, 2019

    Japan’s Defense of Myanmar and the Rohingya Genocide
    Aung San Suu Kyi & Shinzo Abe | Tokyo, Oct 9, 2018
  • Analysis
  • Japan’s Defense of Myanmar and the Rohingya Genocide

    This article examines Japan’s response to Myanmar’s genocidal campaign against the Rohingyas. The author sharply critiques Japan’s practices of investing in and extending aid to Myanmar ostensibly to contribute to nation-building and democracy.

    October 22, 2019

    Divide and Conquer: The Growing Hezbollah Threat to the Druze
    Cover photo: Druze men in the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights look out across the southwestern Syrian province of Quneitra, visible across the border on July 7, 2018. (Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Divide and Conquer: The Growing Hezbollah Threat to the Druze

    Deep political, familial, and religious ties have allowed Druze communities across the Levant to remain largely unified against external threats, but eight years of violence in Syria and a coordinated campaign by the regime and its allies now threaten to destabilize regional Druze politics and erode the sect’s political and military power. An Iranian-backed campaign by Hezbollah to incite inter-Druze violence in Lebanon has curtailed this unity, laying the groundwork for Hezbollah to expand into Syria’s Suwayda province with impunity.

    October 21, 2019

    Balochistan: From the periphery to the center of attention
    LONDON, ENGLAND - JANUARY 22: People campaign for the United Nations to intervene regarding Baloch missing persons in Balochistan, Pakistan close to Downing Street on January 22, 2019 in London, England. (Photo by John Keeble/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Balochistan: From the periphery to the center of attention

    With an estimated $1 trillion in natural resources and sitting astride an international crossroads of increasingly critical importance, Balochistan is becoming a stage on which the world’s powers are playing out their ambitions. China, the U.S., and India have all formulated Balochistan policies in the past few years, hoping to utilize the region to achieve wider international goals — and the three countries across which Balochistan is divided, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran, have been eager to use it as a bargaining chip for their own purposes.

    October 21, 2019

    Vengeance, repression, and fear: The reality behind Assad’s promises to displaced Syrians
    Children sit on the rubble of buildings in Aleppo, Syria.
  • Analysis
  • Vengeance, repression, and fear: The reality behind Assad’s promises to displaced Syrians

    The team of researchers from the Syrian Association for Citizen’s Dignity worked for months under extremely challenging conditions to document the security situation of returnees and those living in areas covered by “reconciliation agreements” in parts of Syria under the control of the regime of Bashar al-Assad. The results of that research are stark and the main conclusion is that it is not safe for displaced Syrians to return to Assad-held areas.

    October 17, 2019

    Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?
    Iran's President Hassan Rouhani (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin shake hands as they meet on the sidelines of a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Council of Heads of State.
  • Analysis
  • Can Russian-Iranian alignment in Syria last?

    While the Turkish military offensive against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria might, once again, bring Moscow and Tehran together tactically in support of Assad’s rule and Syrian sovereignty, the two powers have fundamentally different visions for the war-ravaged country’s future.

    October 16, 2019

    A dream scenario for ISIS in northeastern Syria
    A photo taken from Turkey's Sanliurfa province, on October 09, 2019 shows smoke rises at the site of Ras al-Ayn city of Syria as Turkish troops along with the Syrian National Army begin Operation Peace Spring in northern Syria against PKK/YPG, Daesh terrorists.
  • Analysis
  • A dream scenario for ISIS in northeastern Syria

    Turkey’s cross-border incursion into northeastern Syria has stirred up a hornet’s nest of instability and threats. If left unchecked, this latest “war within a war” will have deeply destabilizing consequences for many years.

    The European Commission’s new president and the MENA region: Status quo or change?
    BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - SEPTEMBER 10, 2019: EU Commission President-elect Ursula von der Leyen is posing in front of the Berlaymont, the EU Commission headquarter on September 10, 2019. Today, the elected President Ursula von der Leyen presented the new Commission, it will reflect the priorities and ambitions set out in the Political Guidelines. The Commission is structured around the objectives President-elect von der Leyen was elected on by the European Parliament. (Photo by Thierry Monasse/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The European Commission’s new president and the MENA region: Status quo or change?

    European Council President Charles Michel may have the most prestigious political post in the European Union, but the true power lies with the European Commission, the Union’s executive branch, whose president represents the EU abroad. Will the nomination of Ursula von der Leyen, the first woman to hold this post, affect relations between the EU and the Middle East in the years ahead?  For her part, von der Leyen has said she will focus mainly on such matters as an “ambitious climate agenda,” a fair social market economy, and safeguarding democratic values in Europe, but the president-elect will also have to address developments in the Middle East. This will not be new territory for her.

    October 15, 2019

    Turkey’s Asia Anew Initiative: Assessment and Shortcomings
    Turkish FM Mevlut Cavusoglu | Ambassadors' Conference | 8-8-19
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Asia Anew Initiative: Assessment and Shortcomings

    On August 5, 2019 Turkey’s Foreign Ministry launched the Asia Anew initiative, whose declared aim is to give greater weight to cooperation with Asian countries in four substantive areas. This article shows that, although few details have emerged regarding how Ankara intends to implement this initiative, there is nonetheless sufficient reason to question whether it is viable or sustainable.

    October 15, 2019

    Turkey’s Endgame in Syria
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Endgame in Syria

    In a stunning announcement on Sunday, the Trump administration gave the nod to a Turkish military incursion into northeastern Syria, an operation that would entail clashes with Washington’s Kurdish allies in the area. The U.S. military, which has around 1,000 troops in Syria, would not “support or be involved in the operation.” But the White House said it would pull back U.S. forces stationed near the Syrian-Turkish border to clear the way for Ankara’s troops.

    Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next
    Protesters shout slogans during an anti-government demonstration against the provision of jobs and the alleged government corruption, in Tahrir Square in central Baghdad.
  • Analysis
  • Iraqi youth protesters: Who they are, what they want, and what’s next

    “We reached a level of injustice we could no longer take. For every action, there is a reaction,” explained one civil society activist following the Oct. 1 outbreak of protests in Baghdad and central and southern Iraq.

    October 14, 2019

    Broken Partnerships: Can Washington Get Security Cooperation Right?
  • Analysis
  • Broken Partnerships: Can Washington Get Security Cooperation Right?

    The erosion of U.S. global hegemony in recent years is rarely a matter of dispute among American strategists. The United States has lost its preeminence in part because others, most notably China, have caught up, but also because it has overextended and exhausted itself abroad, leading to budget constraints, rightist populism, and acute political polarization at home.

    October 11, 2019

    Putin’s visit to Riyadh could help shape the next chapter of Russia-Saudi relations
    Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Russia's President Vladimir Putin attend a meeting at the G20 Summit in Osaka on June 28, 2019. (Photo by Brendan Smialowski / AFP) (Photo credit should read BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Putin’s visit to Riyadh could help shape the next chapter of Russia-Saudi relations

    President Vladimir Putin heads to Riyadh to try to pry loose multi-billion-dollar investments that Saudi Arabia has pledged to Russia but failed to deliver on. Putin also hopes to persuade the kingdom to increase two-way trade.

    October 9, 2019

    Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world
    Careem offices on June 23, 2018 in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • Analysis
  • Fair competition is needed to economically empower women in the Arab world

    Female labor force participation levels in Arab countries are the lowest in the world — despite the rising educational attainment of women reaching working age. Indeed, young women across the Arab world exceed the education levels of young men, who are worrisomely falling behind. Remedying the underrepresentation of Arab women in the labor force and reviving the educational motivation of young men are both social and economic imperatives.