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From the streets to the border: Iran’s growing paranoia toward Azerbaijan
Photo courtesy of Tabnak via Wikimedia Commons
  • Analysis
  • From the streets to the border: Iran’s growing paranoia toward Azerbaijan

    Azerbaijani-Iranian relations have been strained since Azerbaijan’s victory in the 2020 war with Armenia. However, the situation dramatically worsened in the last few months, with Iran holding two large-scale drills near the border with Azerbaijan and accusing Baku of colluding with its enemies and interfering in its internal affairs.

    January 26, 2023

    Mahsa Amini and the future of internet repression in Iran
    Photo by Jonas Walzberg/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Mahsa Amini and the future of internet repression in Iran

    The death of Mahsa Amini in September 2022 has remained the catalyst and central rallying cry of almost half a year of escalating protests in Iran — protests that have, like many before, and like many will in the future, lived as much online as they have on the ground. What is clearer than ever is that the Iranian state’s relationship to dissent will continue to be predominantly mediated by its practices and attitude toward freedom of information, which, today, largely remains a question of internet access.

    January 24, 2023

    Kurdistan gas and diversification
    Photo by Reza/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Kurdistan gas and diversification

    The issue of diversification is difficult but urgent, given increasingly tight global climate policies, the advances of non-fossil technologies, and the limited lifespan of the KRI’s oil resources. Harnessing the region’s natural gas productively is the first step to a cleaner and more diversified economy.

    January 20, 2023

    The French cultural center shuttered: What does cultural isolation mean for Iranians?
    Photo by Omer Messinger/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The French cultural center shuttered: What does cultural isolation mean for Iranians?

    The general policy of the Islamic Republic is to constrain, as much as possible, its citizens’ exposure to foreign cultures and prevent their engagement with the outside world, which explains why cultural ties, even with neighboring or friendly countries, are so limited.

    January 20, 2023

    A new momentum: Recalibrating Germany's foreign policy toward the Gulf monarchies
    Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A new momentum: Recalibrating Germany's foreign policy toward the Gulf monarchies

    Facing the profound challenge of trying to diversify its energy supply while a destabilizing war rages on in Ukraine, Germany has looked to several Gulf monarchies to forge new energy partnerships. Notwithstanding heated domestic debates over controversial topics such as their human rights record, Berlin should consider a more comprehensive strategic approach toward the Gulf monarchies that encompasses issues beyond energy supply, such as joint efforts in regional integration and development.

    January 20, 2023

    Israelis’ evolving pushback to democratic erosion under Netanyahu
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israelis’ evolving pushback to democratic erosion under Netanyahu

    A movement of Israelis who resist the new Netanyahu government is crystallizing and taking initial steps to push back against democratic erosion. It will need to evolve quickly and effectively to make an impact and could benefit from some international helping hands along the way.

    January 19, 2023

    The Iran protests and US policy on Tehran’s nuclear program
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Iran protests and US policy on Tehran’s nuclear program

    When the Iranian government faces intense Western criticism, such as over its brutal suppression of the protest movement and its recent executions, it frequently resorts to specific actions, one of which is hostage-taking. Nevertheless, perhaps the most important “hostage” Tehran counts on to influence the positions of Western powers is not their imprisoned citizens, but rather Iran’s nuclear program.

    January 19, 2023

    Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications
    Photo by Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications

    A little over two weeks ago, the defense and intelligence chiefs of Turkey and Syria met face-to-face in Moscow — the first such meeting in over a decade. On the surface, this latest flurry of engagement with Assad’s regime is a major development. Were Turkey to decisively shift its Syria policy, the effects would be dramatic. Beyond the hype and speculation, Turkey’s decision to participate in the Moscow meetings is not altogether surprising and it does not represent a wholesale policy reversal. What has changed more recently is Turkey’s impending elections — and with them Erdoğan’s political calculations.

    Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge
    Photo by SAMEER AL-DOUMY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge

    Gulf states are collectively investing billions of dollars in developing renewable energy. Yet climate change patterns in neighboring regions, combined with rising average temperatures, could eventually trigger more serious climate migration problems for the Gulf countries themselves.

    January 13, 2023

    Eastern Mediterranean gas discoveries, progress, and what to watch in 2023
    Photo by Danil Shamkin/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Eastern Mediterranean gas discoveries, progress, and what to watch in 2023

    The challenge of developing export strategies for the offshore natural gas resources concentrated in the Eastern Mediterranean predates the Russo-Ukrainian war. Yet over the course of 2022, Europe’s intensifying energy crisis created a new and more immediate incentive to solve those export challenges, despite a great deal of work still to be done.

    The Grand Bargain’s empty promise in Jordan
    Photo by Jordan Pix/ Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Grand Bargain’s empty promise in Jordan

    Six and a half years ago, international governments and organizations successfully negotiated the “Grand Bargain,” an agreement that the largest international non-governmental organizations would allocate 25% of their humanitarian funding to small NGOs. Nowhere was the deal more hotly anticipated than Jordan, where the Syrian refugee crisis compounded existing problems of workforce participation and water scarcity.

    January 3, 2023

    Iran and cryptocurrency: Opportunities and obstacles for the regime
    Photo by Mehmet Ali Ozcan/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and cryptocurrency: Opportunities and obstacles for the regime

    While cryptocurrency may offer Iran the opportunity to bypass sanctions and boost trade, it is by no means a panacea for such outcomes and comes with a host of obstacles, such as price volatility, economic uncertainty, energy consumption, and evolving regulation.

    December 27, 2022

    Young Ukrainians’ evolving war-time attitudes toward Russia and the West
    Photo by Dominika Zarzycka/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Young Ukrainians’ evolving war-time attitudes toward Russia and the West

    Listening to students and young professionals is instrumental in understanding the Ukrainian perspective. A series of interviews, conducted in summer 2022, centered around their identity as Ukrainians, how the war is impacting their lives, and how they viewed Russia and the West before and after Feb. 24, 2022. The participants in these interviews have only known an independent Ukraine, and their negative feelings toward Russia will not improve anytime soon.

    December 22, 2022

    Iran’s Balkan front: The roots and consequences of Iranian cyberattacks against Albania
    Photo by YUKI IWAMURA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Balkan front: The roots and consequences of Iranian cyberattacks against Albania

    A series of damaging Iranian hacks of Albania’s critical digital infrastructure over the summer pushed Tirana to break off bilateral diplomatic relations. Iran has regularly responded to sanctions or perceived provocations through cyberattack campaigns, as was visible in the case of Albania, guilty in the Iranian authorities’ eyes for the accommodations it has given to the anti-regime group MEK .

    December 22, 2022