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Lebanon joins a frayed Arab region
Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Lebanon joins a frayed Arab region

    Lebanon and its citizens have endured many hardships in recent years. Two dimensions of Lebanon’s condition today are especially striking, however, and augur more difficult times ahead. First, Lebanon has become just another pauperized and increasingly militarized Arab country whose citizens rebel against state authorities. Simultaneously, the regional and international powers that once engaged in it for their own purposes seem less interested in saving it from its self-inflicted decline. 

    February 11, 2021

    Georgia’s historic victory: Implications of the ECHR ruling
  • Analysis
  • Georgia’s historic victory: Implications of the ECHR ruling

    Amidst the pandemic and global economic hardships, Georgia has had an eventful beginning to the year, scoring a long-awaited victory against Russia. On 21 Jan., 2021, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) announced its verdict on the interstate case brought by Georgia against Russia, holding Moscow responsible for breaching six articles of the European Convention of Human Rights.

    February 11, 2021

    Can Syrian social cohesion survive “without Assad”?
  • Analysis
  • Can Syrian social cohesion survive “without Assad”?

    “I have prepared the country for you for 20 years,” said Hafez al-Assad before his death in 2000, to his son Bashar. What did Hafez mean and what are the implications for the future of Syria, now that presidential elections loom once more?

    February 11, 2021

    As Farmaajo digs in with Qatari backing, Somalia’s election crisis grows worse
    Photo by Minasse Wondimu Hailu/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Farmaajo digs in with Qatari backing, Somalia’s election crisis grows worse

    Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo’s presidential term ended on Feb. 7, 2021, but he remains in office, determined to hold onto power. Backed by Qatar, the incumbent president has become increasingly dictatorial, waging wars against the country’s independent media, political opposition, and the federal member states.

    February 9, 2021

    Why the “end the Yemen war” narrative is problematic
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why the “end the Yemen war” narrative is problematic

    On Feb. 4, the Biden administration announced the appointment of Timothy Lenderking as the U.S. special envoy to Yemen. In a televised speech, President Joe Biden said that by appointing Lenderking, the U.S. is stepping up its diplomatic efforts to end the war in Yemen and by extension the humanitarian catastrophe the war has created. While Lenderking’s appointment is a much-needed step, the “end the Yemen war” discourse championed by Western policy analysts, diplomats, and peace advocates is highly problematic and disconnected from the reality on the ground.

    India’s Path to 10.8 Million Covid-19 Cases: Socio-Economic Impact and State Response
    (Photo by INDRANIL MUKHERJEE/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • India’s Path to 10.8 Million Covid-19 Cases: Socio-Economic Impact and State Response

    In a March 24, 2020 press conference in Geneva, Michael Ryan, Chief Executive Director of the WHO’s Health Emergencies Programme, remarked in a press conference in Geneva that India had “tremendous capacities” to deal with the coronavirus outbreak and that “it is exceptionally important that countries like India lead the way to show the world what can be done.” As governments continue to grapple with COVID-19, it is imperative to study which measures have been effective and which have not. This article takes a brief look at the actions the Indian government has taken to respond to the pandemic.

    February 9, 2021

    Iran’s unrealized economic potential
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s unrealized economic potential

    The news coming out of Iran does not paint a pretty picture of its economy. Economic mismanagement, widespread corruption, weak legal and institutional capacity, and unfavorable business regulations, alongside the unprecedented U.S. financial and economic sanctions and the coronavirus pandemic, have been choking the Iranian economy. However, with a population of 85 million, half under the age of 30 and highly educated, as well as a strategic location on the Persian Gulf and vast reserves of energy and other natural resources, including wind and solar energy, Iran’s economy has incredible potential waiting to be unlocked.

    February 9, 2021

    Iran and Turkey: Power dynamics in the South Caucasus
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Turkey: Power dynamics in the South Caucasus

    Iran was caught off guard by the July 2020 round of conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Tehran was even more alarmed by the proactive role Moscow and Ankara played during and in the aftermath of the six-week war that ended with the Russian-brokered ceasefire on November 10. In fear of being kept on the sidelines, Iran’s Foreign Minister Javad Zarif embarked on a regional tour last month to Azerbaijan, Armenia, Russia, Georgia and Turkey.

    Algeria: War against women
    Photo by RYAD KRAMDI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria: War against women

    Femicide and other gender-based violence are turning into a real public-health crisis in Algeria. Recent killings have sparked outrage and many Algerians have expressed their anger on social media over this dangerous trend of violence against women, with the hashtag #WeLostOneOfUs trending on Twitter. In Algiers, Béjaïa, Constantine, and Oran, hundreds of women defied pandemic lockdown restrictions to protest and voice their anger over the increase in femicides in the country and the state’s inertia.

    February 8, 2021

    The IRGC and Iran’s “Water Mafia”
    Photo by Mahmood Hosseini (Tasnim News Agency), CC BY 4.0, photo cropped.
  • Analysis
  • The IRGC and Iran’s “Water Mafia”

    Since its founding the IRGC has evolved into a significant military and financial player in Iran. Khatam al-Anbiya, its construction arm, gets funding from the government for all kinds of major building projects. It is particularly actively in water management projects, like dam construction and water transfer schemes, and it forms a key part of Iran’s “Water Mafia.”

    February 5, 2021

    Can elections end Palestinian division?
  • Analysis
  • Can elections end Palestinian division?

    For years pundits have argued that Palestinian elections cannot take place in the occupied territories until there is reconciliation between the warring factions of Fatah and Hamas. The conflict between them led to the creation of two parallel governments, with Fatah controlling the West Bank and Hamas in charge of Gaza. This situation produced parallel laws and, most importantly, parallel security forces. While these differences remain unresolved, elections, which were once considered impossible without reconciliation, are now being used to achieve reconciliation. On January 11, a Palestinian presidential decree announced legislative elections for May 22 to be followed by presidential elections on July 31.

    February 5, 2021

    Can President Biden rescue America’s democratic legacy in the Black Sea?
  • Analysis
  • Can President Biden rescue America’s democratic legacy in the Black Sea?

    Following a tumultuous period in Washington, during which the Capitol was stormed by rioters and Donald Trump became the first president to be impeached twice, many in the United States and around the world were left feeling concerned and unsettled.As a Georgian who has seen the U.S. play a transformative role in building my country’s young democracy, the attack on Capitol Hill was something I could never have anticipated. My fear stemmed not from feeling unsafe in downtown DC, but rather from the consequences of U.S. instability and fragility on those countries that rely on its support to build democratic institutions and adopt western values.

    February 4, 2021

    Finding common ground: Fostering environmental cooperation in the Persian Gulf
    Photo by Eric Lafforgue/Art in All of Us/Corbis via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Finding common ground: Fostering environmental cooperation in the Persian Gulf

    When it comes to the Persian Gulf, saving the environment might seem like it would be the last item on the to-do lists of the region’s Iranian and Arab rivals. It is an urgent matter, however — and one that could help turn these foes into friends. The United States can play an important role in this: It has helped the region to resolve conflicts over water in the past, and it could do so again.

    February 4, 2021

    Biden’s Challenge: Continuing Progress in Eastern Europe Despite Russian Adventurism
  • Analysis
  • Biden’s Challenge: Continuing Progress in Eastern Europe Despite Russian Adventurism

    The Biden Administration has a firm foundation upon which to build in Eastern Europe. As part of its focus on great power competition in the region, the Trump Administration sharply increased funding for the European Deterrence Initiative (EDI), covering costs for U.S. troops in Europe and security support for strategic allies, while repositioning some U.S. forces in Europe to the eastern flank. We have made important steps to support our strategic allies in Eastern Europe, but this administration needs to stay the course and increase its focus and commitment to the Black Sea region. Russia must understand the costs of their adventurism in order to prevent further reckless behavior.

    February 3, 2021

    Challenges of a Six-Country Regional Cooperation Platform for Georgia
  • Analysis
  • Challenges of a Six-Country Regional Cooperation Platform for Georgia

    In the aftermath of the second Nagorno-Karabakh war, bolstered by Turkey’s growing influence in the South Caucasus, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan proposed the controversial idea of establishing a six-country regional cooperation platform. Speaking from the Azerbaijani capital Baku, where he was attending victory celebrations, Erdogan noted that new opportunities for regional cooperation are possible for the Caucasus region. Turkey’s leader envisages a platform that would bring Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Georgia, and Armenia together. In his words, it would provide a win-win opportunity for all sides, including Armenia, which could use the platform as a first positive step toward establishing bilateral relations with Turkey. 

    February 3, 2021