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Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    January 11, 2024

    Locals fight their own war on drugs in Syria’s Daraa Province
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Locals fight their own war on drugs in Syria’s Daraa Province

    Since early last year there has been a surge in drug-related assassinations in Syria’s southwestern Daraa Province, adding a new layer to the region’s persistent violence. The regime’s complicity, driven by financial and political motives, has fostered a climate where drug networks operate with impunity, spurring locals to take matters into their own hands.

    January 9, 2024

    Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen

    Over the past two months, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched missiles and drones into Israel, attacked several commercial ships in the Red Sea, and threatened to block all ships sailing to Israel, regardless of nationality, until Gaza receives humanitarian aid. In the Gulf, there is a growing fear that the situation could constrain ongoing de-escalation talks between Riyadh, the Republic of Yemen Government, and the Houthis, or even take them back to square one were conflict dynamics to escalate.

    December 12, 2023

    Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation

    The following quantitative analysis explores the core of Israel’s strategic airstrikes in Syria between 2013 and August 2023, a critical aspect of its defense policy during this time, aimed at mitigating Iranian influence in the region and protecting its national borders.

    November 17, 2023

    The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat

    Despite the Houthis’ geographical distance from Israel and perceived limited capabilities, the threat they represent is all too real and if underestimated, they have the potential to derail diplomatic efforts and destabilize the region, with potentially catastrophic consequences.

    November 16, 2023

    Why Russia has been openly critical of Israel's war on Gaza
  • Commentary
  • Why Russia has been openly critical of Israel's war on Gaza

    There are many signs of a deterioration of relations between Russia and Israel since the start of the war in Gaza, and they have stoked concern about potential flashpoints between the two countries, not least in Syria, where both have a military presence.

    Representatives from both sides have been openly bickering at various diplomatic meetings in clashes that have become almost commonplace.

    Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria
    U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Julio Hernandez
  • Analysis
  • Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria

    Over the last three weeks, there has been a notable escalation in attacks targeting international coalition bases in northeastern Syria orchestrated by Iranian-backed militias operating in Iraq and Syria. Concurrently, there have been reports indicating the establishment of operational centers aimed at coordinating these strikes. These developments appear to be part of an effort to exploit the widespread popular discontent with the United States and Israel, with the strategic aim of expanding and consolidating Iranian influence in Syria.

    November 13, 2023

    Turkey and Iran: Toward an “Axis of Revisionism” amid the war in Gaza?
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey and Iran: Toward an “Axis of Revisionism” amid the war in Gaza?

    Hamas’ violent and unexpected Oct. 7 attack on Israel has shaken a fragile regional order in the Middle East. Ankara and Tehran are worried that a stronger U.S. presence in the Middle East is detrimental to their regional interests. The war in Gaza might help close the ranks between Turkey and Iran, yet there are serious limitations to a sustainable alliance between the two countries.

    November 2, 2023

    How Hamas deceived the world
  • Commentary
  • How Hamas deceived the world

    On 7 October, Hamas shocked the world, when thousands of its militants invaded southern Israel, taking control of territory, massacring civilians and kidnapping hundreds.

    The attack itself demonstrated an unusual level of complexity, with a first wave seeing drones taking out Israeli reconnaissance equipment and observation posts and cyber attacks creating distractions, opening a path for amassed militant incursions from the air, sea and ground.