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Locals fight their own war on drugs in Syria’s Daraa Province
Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Locals fight their own war on drugs in Syria’s Daraa Province

    Since early last year there has been a surge in drug-related assassinations in Syria’s southwestern Daraa Province, adding a new layer to the region’s persistent violence. The regime’s complicity, driven by financial and political motives, has fostered a climate where drug networks operate with impunity, spurring locals to take matters into their own hands.

    January 9, 2024

    Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?
    Andre Malerba/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?

    In response to the Oct. 7 attacks and subsequent bombing and invasion of the Gaza Strip, most media outlets and think tanks concluded that Hamas initiated the war to sever the path toward normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Prior to the Hamas strike, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) said his country was moving steadily in the direction of normalizing relations with Israel.

    December 22, 2023

    Transformational implications of moving toward smart cities in the Gulf
    Photo by Tyson Paul/Loop Images/Universal Images Group via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Transformational implications of moving toward smart cities in the Gulf

    As Gulf nations embrace the opportunities presented by developing smart cities, challenges such as cybersecurity and infrastructure sustainability must be addressed through strategic policies and trusted partnerships to ensure a secure and sustainable digital transition.

    AI global governance regime gradually taking shape
    Photo by Alastair Grant - WPA Pool/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • AI global governance regime gradually taking shape

    In recent years, the international community has witnessed a surge in momentum toward the development of standards for artificial intelligence (AI) governance. The AI Safety Summit, convened last month by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, marked a diplomatic milestone and a definite step in the right direction. However, its impact is contingent on the ability of the global community to navigate the multiparty landscape of AI governance.

    War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • War delays but likely will not fully derail IMEC plans

    The Oct. 7 Hamas attack against Israel and the latter’s ongoing military operation in Gaza have stalled progress in the development of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor and raised questions about its prospects for eventual completion. The IMEC faces multiple viability challenges, but none of them are insurmountable; thus, its participants are unlikely to abandon it.

    Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s Response to Iran in Syria: Choosing Between Escalation and Accommodation

    The following quantitative analysis explores the core of Israel’s strategic airstrikes in Syria between 2013 and August 2023, a critical aspect of its defense policy during this time, aimed at mitigating Iranian influence in the region and protecting its national borders.

    November 17, 2023

    The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The perils of underestimating the Houthi threat

    Despite the Houthis’ geographical distance from Israel and perceived limited capabilities, the threat they represent is all too real and if underestimated, they have the potential to derail diplomatic efforts and destabilize the region, with potentially catastrophic consequences.

    November 16, 2023

    Why Russia has been openly critical of Israel's war on Gaza
  • Commentary
  • Why Russia has been openly critical of Israel's war on Gaza

    There are many signs of a deterioration of relations between Russia and Israel since the start of the war in Gaza, and they have stoked concern about potential flashpoints between the two countries, not least in Syria, where both have a military presence.

    Representatives from both sides have been openly bickering at various diplomatic meetings in clashes that have become almost commonplace.

    Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria
    U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Julio Hernandez
  • Analysis
  • Iranian-backed militia attacks on coalition forces threaten to ignite eastern Syria

    Over the last three weeks, there has been a notable escalation in attacks targeting international coalition bases in northeastern Syria orchestrated by Iranian-backed militias operating in Iraq and Syria. Concurrently, there have been reports indicating the establishment of operational centers aimed at coordinating these strikes. These developments appear to be part of an effort to exploit the widespread popular discontent with the United States and Israel, with the strategic aim of expanding and consolidating Iranian influence in Syria.

    November 13, 2023

    Turkey and Iran: Toward an “Axis of Revisionism” amid the war in Gaza?
    Photo by ADEM ALTAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey and Iran: Toward an “Axis of Revisionism” amid the war in Gaza?

    Hamas’ violent and unexpected Oct. 7 attack on Israel has shaken a fragile regional order in the Middle East. Ankara and Tehran are worried that a stronger U.S. presence in the Middle East is detrimental to their regional interests. The war in Gaza might help close the ranks between Turkey and Iran, yet there are serious limitations to a sustainable alliance between the two countries.

    November 2, 2023

    How Hamas deceived the world
  • Commentary
  • How Hamas deceived the world

    On 7 October, Hamas shocked the world, when thousands of its militants invaded southern Israel, taking control of territory, massacring civilians and kidnapping hundreds.

    The attack itself demonstrated an unusual level of complexity, with a first wave seeing drones taking out Israeli reconnaissance equipment and observation posts and cyber attacks creating distractions, opening a path for amassed militant incursions from the air, sea and ground.