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The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Conflict and the Ascendancy of the Lebanese Armed Forces

    In the past, the Lebanese Armed Forces’ (LAF) inability to confront or deter Israel was reflected as political weakness for the Lebanese government vis-à-vis Hezbollah. Israel’s withdrawal from south Lebanon in 2000 heralded a growing political role for Hezbollah. This role was further enhanced by the 2006 war with Israel, with Hezbollah claiming victory and consolidating its influence within the LAF and the government.

    November 25, 2014

    Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah: In Syria for the Long Haul

    As Syrian President Bashar al-Assad gazes across Damascus from his palace on Mount Qasioun, he can be grateful to his Russian, Iranian, and Hezbollah allies that he is still in a position to enjoy such a view.

    November 18, 2014

    The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and Obama’s Legacy
  • Analysis
  • The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict and Obama’s Legacy

    This paper is part of an MEI scholar series, titled “Obama’s Legacy in the Middle East: Passing the Baton in 2017.” Click here to view the full project, or navigate using the table of contents to the right.

    The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has gone through a number of different phases in its long history. It is possible—though only time will tell—that a new phase is beginning now, but not a particularly hopeful one.[1]

    November 14, 2014

    Soft Islam: Indonesia’s Interfaith Mission for Peace in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Soft Islam: Indonesia’s Interfaith Mission for Peace in the Middle East

    Historians and anthropologists have focused on Muslim networks of scholars, merchants, and pilgrims that connect the Middle East with Southeast Asia. Especially with respect to the study of Islam in Indonesia, where political scientists and anthropologists approach Islam largely in terms of national politics and local cultures, this burgeoning body of literature on global Muslim networks offers both ethnographic insights into actual practices and an historical appreciation for the longue durée. The importance of this scholarship notwithstanding, much of this work focuses on formal networks of migration, trade, learning, and pilgrimage. In this respect, the cultural and political work of Islam has been largely confined to the study of either Muslim scholars or lay Muslims who participate in trade, travel, study, and migration. Here I shift the focus to a religious diplomacy tour that connected Muslims with states, citizen-believers, and global politics.

    November 12, 2014

    Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.
  • Analysis
  • Why Kobani could be an opportunity for Turkey, the Kurds and the U.S.

    Read the full article on CNN.

    In the space of just 48 hours last week, Turkey went from calling the PYD — the Kurds defending the Syrian border town of Kobani — a terrorist group to opening up an arms corridor from Iraq to aid its fight against ISIS.

    Gaza’s Economic Revival to be Addressed at Cairo Conference
  • Analysis
  • Gaza’s Economic Revival to be Addressed at Cairo Conference

    This summer’s war between Israel and Hamas, like the previous rounds — Operation Cast Lead in 2008-2009 and Operation Pillar of Cloud in 2012 — exacted a terrible cost not only in human lives (more than 2,100 Palestinians and 73 Israelis[1]) but also in the wholesale destruction of Gaza’s infrastructure.  The Palestinian Authority estimates reconstruction and rehabilitation costs of the recent conflict to exceed $4 billion, more than two times Gaza’s GNP.[2]

    October 10, 2014

    Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?
  • Analysis
  • Turkey's tough choice: Take on ISIS or the PKK?

    Read the full article on CNN.com.

    Turkey is in a tough spot. It has ISIS militants threatening the Syrian border town of Kobani, inching ever closer to confronting Turkish security forces. In addition thousands of Syrian Kurds, fleeing ISIS attacks, have massed along its border, adding further to Ankara’s troubles.

    Remember Our Syrian Allies
  • Analysis
  • Remember Our Syrian Allies

    This article was first published in The New York Times.

    President Obama made the right decision to boost military aid to moderate Syrian rebels last year, but today America’s approach to attacking Islamic State fighters risks undermining the moderate opposition and alienating support among the Syrian public.

    Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle
  • Analysis
  • Defeating the Islamic State Militarily is Only Half the Battle

    In his speech on September 10 President Obama characterized the Islamic State (ISIS) as a terrorist group.[1] There were clear political benefits to using this label, not the least of which was to facilitate the formation of a broad-based military coalition against the organization.

    A Promising Ally in Syria
  • Analysis
  • A Promising Ally in Syria

    This article was first published on LobeLog.

    Alongside the wave of Syrian Kurdish refugees into Turkey this month is an equally unsettling story: alarming gains by the Islamic State in an offensive against a potential ally. Syria’s Kurds carved out their own regional bastion extending west from their main base in the extreme northeast corner of Syria. For two years they have fiercely defended their lands against the Islamic State and other extremists, employing many thousands of veteran Kurdish fighters.

    September 26, 2014

    Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?
  • Analysis
  • Is Turkey Finally Ready to Aid Military Strikes Against ISIS?

    This article was first published on CNN.

    Turkey, a key U.S. ally and a NATO member that borders the territory captured by ISIS, which now calls itself the Islamic State, in Syria and Iraq, could play a critical role in the U.S.-led military assault against the jihadist group.