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Hezbollah and Iran’s calculus as the conflict with Israel heats up
Photo by KAWNAT HAJU/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah and Iran’s calculus as the conflict with Israel heats up

    The deadly, back-to-back pager/two-way radio attacks against Hezbollah, which killed dozens and wounded thousands of its operatives, undoubtedly signaled a new phase in the intense cross-border exchanges between the group and Israel.

    September 23, 2024

    In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah
    Photo by OLIVER MARSDEN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah

    Over the past few days, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered a precarious new phase, with Israel carrying out both unconventional attacks and heavy airstrikes against the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, while Hezbollah has responded with an increase in retaliatory fire. 

    September 23, 2024

    Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels
    Photo from the EU's Directorate General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations
  • Analysis
  • Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels

    In the corridors of power in Brussels, it is common to hear that the position of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy is an impossible job. It may actually become even more difficult for the outgoing Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, who is set to succeed the Spanish Josep Borrell as the European Union’s foreign policy chief in the coming weeks.

    September 10, 2024

    The Fall and Fall of Mahmoud Abbas
  • Commentary
  • The Fall and Fall of Mahmoud Abbas

    For nearly two decades, Palestinian leadership has been fractured. Along with a basic division between Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank, numerous other groups have competed for influence. In late July, leaders of all 14 Palestinian political factions, including Fatah and Hamas, met in Beijing to issue a call for national unity.

    August 30, 2024

    Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war

    Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack touched off a destructive war with Israel and a limited but fierce regional conflagration between Israel and the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” with Lebanese Hezbollah at the forefront. The ongoing conflict has been multi-fronted, multi-faceted, dynamic, and already highly consequential. While a clear bottom line remains elusive, exploring the war’s primary origins and evolution offers useful indicators.

    August 22, 2024

    Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts
    Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts

    As the Middle East becomes more autonomous and empowered domestically, the leaders in the region might consider more synergetic relations with each other and prepare national long-term plans that provide a balanced and integrated approach to social, technological, environmental, economic, and political development and progress.

    August 20, 2024

    Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities
    Photo by Diana Zeyneb Alhindawi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities

    The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea through the Gulf of Aden, is a crucial chokepoint for global maritime commerce. Despite the strait’s importance, the waters around it have long been plied by smugglers of weapons and other illicit goods. Djibouti today is an important player in trade in the Horn of Africa region, but it also serves as a conduit for Chinese influence, has been linked to malign actors like Iran and the Houthis, and has faced allegations of involvement in various grey and black market activities, including money laundering, illicit finance, oil smuggling, and weapons trafficking.

    August 7, 2024

    Ten months after October 7, Israel’s reality is gloomy, but with some silver linings
  • Commentary
  • Ten months after October 7, Israel’s reality is gloomy, but with some silver linings

    More than 300 days after the Hamas terror attack of October 7th, Israel is stuck in a war that the majority of its society wants to see end, with a governing coalition that most of its population wants to see changed. Just a couple of weeks after US officials stated that we are “closer now than we’ve been before” to an Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Gaza, Israel finds itself instead as close as it has ever been to a war with the Iran-led axis.

    August 7, 2024