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After scoring important points by blocking Iran’s attack, Israel should draw the right lessons from its success
Photo by Israeli Ministry of Defense / Handout / Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • After scoring important points by blocking Iran’s attack, Israel should draw the right lessons from its success

    The Iranian strike against Israel was a first of its kind. Its mere occurrence sets a precedent that will have a long-term impact and require Israel to weigh new considerations when planning future military operations against Iranian assets.

    April 14, 2024

    Saudi-Houthi Agreement: Four Scenarios and Their Potential Impact
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Saudi-Houthi Agreement: Four Scenarios and Their Potential Impact

    Less than 10 years after seizing power in Yemen, the Iran-backed Houthi militia continues to evolve — and so do the threats emanating from it. After several years of negotiations, it now seems likely that the Houthis and Saudis will reach a peace agreement, and it is worth considering how such a deal could change the group’s trajectory. This report examines a number of possible futures that could develop in Yemen over the next 1-2 years based on shifting capabilities, interests, and alliances.

    April 10, 2024

    Expert Views: What is needed to end the war in Gaza?
    Photo by Ahmad Hasaballah/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Expert Views: What is needed to end the war in Gaza?

    Six months since the October 7 Hamas attacks on Israel and subsequent outbreak of war in Gaza, the deadly and devastating conflict looks no closer to concluding. Is it still possible to achieve a sustainable cessation of hostilities and restart the conflict-resolution process? To get there, what are the incentives and disincentives that could be constructed for the two main combatants, Israel and Hamas?

    Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet
    Photo by YASIN AKGUL / AFP) (Photo by YASIN AKGUL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Sweeping the minefield: The case for a NATO Black Sea Fleet

    Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the threat of sea mines to maritime traffic in the region has become exponentially more acute. The Turkish-Romanian-Bulgarian trilateral minesweeping mission is a welcome sign of regional willingness to cooperate in this space and could, with the right incentives and sufficient political will, open the door to the establishment of a NATO Black Sea Fleet.

    March 19, 2024

    Women’s rights under the Taliban: The socio-economic consequences of political exclusion
    Photo by OMER ABRAR / AFP
  • Analysis
  • Women’s rights under the Taliban: The socio-economic consequences of political exclusion

    One of the first things the Taliban did after capturing power in August 2021 was to abolish the Afghan Ministry of Women’s Affairs and re-establish the Ministry for the Propagation of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice. The environment within which Afghan girls and women had found avenues of employment, education, and empowerment over the previous two decades had been lost. Many families now had to deal with acute poverty, mental health issues, and even suicides.

    March 7, 2024

    A report card on women’s integration into Arab militaries
    Photo by Yassine Gaidi/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A report card on women’s integration into Arab militaries

    A look at what Arab countries have done to implement the year 2000 UN Security Council resolution on women, peace, and security, especially in terms of increasing women’s presence in the armed forces.

    March 6, 2024

    As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support
    Photo by KHALED ZIAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Western options narrow, Yemen's anti-Houthi forces vie for US military support

    In recent weeks, Yemen’s main anti-Houthi leaders have increasingly been sending the same message to the US, urging it to provide support in the fight against the Houthis on the ground. The provision of military assistance is still hypothetical but seems more and more plausible given developments in Yemen, triggered by the Houthis’ continuing attacks on maritime shipping in the Red Sea.

    March 6, 2024

    Why unconditional US support for Israel must stop
  • Commentary
  • Why unconditional US support for Israel must stop

    On 13 December 2023, following discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, US President Joe Biden rejected congressional calls to stop or condition US military assistance to the Jewish state.

    “We’re not going to do a damn thing other than protect Israel in the process. Not a single thing,” he said at the time.

    A month earlier, Vice President Kamala Harris said the United States “(was) not going to create any conditions on the support (it) was giving Israel to defend itself.”

    February 26, 2024

    Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service
    Photo by AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Maintaining the best thing the US built in Iraq: Continued support to the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service

    As the US engages in a dialogue with the Iraqi government over the future of the coalition forces combating the Islamic State, Washington must ensure a continued relationship between the US Special Operations Forces and the Iraqi Counterterrorism Service.

    “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “Exporting its internal problems”: Understanding Iran’s January missile salvos against its neighbors

    In mid-January, with the war in Gaza continuing to rage on, Iran launched a series of surprise missile attacks on its immediate neighbors Iraq, Syria, and Pakistan over two days. Taken together, these attacks illustrate that the Islamic Republic puts regime survival above national interest in its foreign policy calculations, which undermines its efforts to engender solidarity and good relations with other Muslim-majority states in the region.

    February 23, 2024

    From Yemen to Palestine: The strategic depth of the Houthi-Iranian alliance
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From Yemen to Palestine: The strategic depth of the Houthi-Iranian alliance

    Houthi rhetoric focusing on Palestine underscores the militia’s strategic alliance with Tehran as part of the “Axis of Resistance.” This relationship, central to understanding the Houthi movement’s actions and narratives, frames its position within the larger geopolitical contest in the Middle East.

    February 16, 2024

    How to counter the Houthi threat at sea
  • Commentary
  • How to counter the Houthi threat at sea

    The Biden administration has largely relied on airstrikes to prevent the Houthis from causing further harm to international maritime trade in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. But as we have seen already, this approach is unlikely to work against an armed group that has survived years of such one-off attacks from above. To effectively degrade the military capacity of the Houthis, a comprehensive and fully-resourced interdiction regime at sea is needed to target their supply lines and deny them the use of various forms of Iranian assistance.

    Suspending UNRWA funding is collective punishment for Palestinians
    Abed Zagout/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Suspending UNRWA funding is collective punishment for Palestinians

    The decision by the United States and other donor countries to suspend financial assistance to UNRWA will have far-reaching and likely devastating consequences for the civilian populations that rely on its services, particularly in the Gaza Strip. Donor countries must realize that the consequences will hinder the humanitarian response to the Israeli war on Gaza, incurring a heavy cost in human lives.

    February 12, 2024

    US response to Tower 22 attack in Jordan: Less intense, more restrained than anticipated
    Photo by Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US response to Tower 22 attack in Jordan: Less intense, more restrained than anticipated

    On the evening of Saturday, Feb. 3, local time, US warplanes bombed facilities used by Iranian forces and Iran-backed militias in Syria and Iraq, in retaliation for the death of 3 US service members in a Jan. 28 drone attack on Tower 22, a US military base in northeastern Jordan on the Syrian border. The airstrikes primarily targeted locations in eastern Syria and western Iraq.