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Pragmatic jihadist or opportunistic warlord? HTS’s Jolani expands his rule in northern Syria
Photo by RAMI AL SAYED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Pragmatic jihadist or opportunistic warlord? HTS’s Jolani expands his rule in northern Syria

    The jihadist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Syria has dispatched its fighters from greater Idlib eastward, taking full control of Afrin city and at least 26 towns and villages to its southwest, most without a fight. This has placed many of its jihadist opponents back under HTS’s control. The dynamics of northwestern Syria are shifting, and the consequences look likely to be extremely significant.

    حياكة السجاد الإيراني شرق الفرات: رغم الرفض الشعبي جماعات إيرانية تزيد نفوذها في الحسكة
  • Commentary
  • حياكة السجاد الإيراني شرق الفرات: رغم الرفض الشعبي جماعات إيرانية تزيد نفوذها في الحسكة

    شهدت مدينة الحسكة شمال شرق سوريا يوم 22 أغسطس الحالي توزيعا لمنشورات وملصقات مناهضة للنفوذ الإيراني في المدينة، حيث ظهرت الملصقات في عدة مناطق حساسة وسط المدينة في المنطقة المعروفة بـ “المربع الأمني” التي تخضع لسيطرة جيش النظام السوري وميليشيات الدفاع الوطني التي أصبحت تخضع لنفوذ إيران.

    September 12, 2022

    “Carpet weaving” east of the Euphrates: Iranian proxy groups expand their influence in Syria’s Hasakah Province
    National Defense Commander Abdel Qader Hamo and behind him a picture of Ali Al-Yasiri, the leader of the concrete
  • Analysis
  • “Carpet weaving” east of the Euphrates: Iranian proxy groups expand their influence in Syria’s Hasakah Province

    On Aug. 22, the northeastern Syrian city of al-Hasakah was inundated with leaflets condemning creeping Iranian influence in the area. The printed messages were plastered around several highly sensitive locations in the city center, including the local branch of the Ba’ath Party, the neighborhoods of al-Matar and al-Mahatah, as well as near the Great Mosque and market streets.

    September 12, 2022

    From Tiger Forces to the 16th Brigade: Russia’s evolving Syrian proxies
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • From Tiger Forces to the 16th Brigade: Russia’s evolving Syrian proxies

    Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine renewed focus on Moscow’s earlier military intervention in Syria, which often became framed as a “testing ground” for the weapons and tactics it now employs against Ukrainian cities. But crucially, the Russian forces backing Assad’s embattled regime also understood the importance of rebuilding the broken Syrian security forces into more effective fighting units.

    September 12, 2022

    Time to go local in Libya
    Photo by MAHMUD TURKIA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Time to go local in Libya

    On Sept. 2, the United Nations appointed a new special envoy for Libya, Senegalese diplomat Abdoulaye Bathily. But to have any chance of success, Bathily will need to reach out to local-level Libyan leaders who oppose the status quo preferred by Libya’s national politicians.

    Is a renewed JCPOA a threat to Israel?
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is a renewed JCPOA a threat to Israel?

    The renewal of the international agreement on Iran’s nuclear program does not undermine Israeli national security per se but rather a longstanding tenet of Israel’s strategic thinking: that it must be able to fully eradicate any challenge to its military superiority deep inside enemy territory.

    August 26, 2022

    What’s next for Libya’s Great Man-Made River Project?
    Photo by Yves GELLIE/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s next for Libya’s Great Man-Made River Project?

    The Middle East and North Africa are well known for their severe water scarcity. The region’s lack of water resources is the result of many factors, including the harsh climate, intense heat, high evaporation rates, and increasing population growth. Libya is no exception in this regard. According to the World Resources Institute, it ranks 6th among the top countries worldwide facing “extremely high baseline” water stress.

    August 10, 2022

    OPEC and maximum production: What is sustainable?
    Photo by Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • OPEC and maximum production: What is sustainable?

    Industry analysts widely agree that OPEC+ production levels are currently well below the members’ authorized quotas and that any production increases will mainly be met by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The challenges facing the group are daunting, but if met, seven major OPEC countries could feasibly raise crude oil production while utilizing existing infrastructure, significantly narrowing the global demand-supply gap.

    July 13, 2022