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No real winners, only losers, following Israeli assault on Jenin
Photo by ZAIN JAAFAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • No real winners, only losers, following Israeli assault on Jenin

    In the wake of Israel’s deadly assault on the Jenin refugee camp, the largest military operation in the West Bank in nearly two decades, Israeli military officials have been quick to declare victory. But contrary to such bluster, the attack produced no real winners and only losers.

    July 7, 2023

    Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests
    Photo by JASON LEE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Managing US-China relations in the Middle East among common and conflicting interests

    The Biden administration has been trying to diplomatically reengage with China, although so far with little response from Beijing. Any broad reengagement would necessarily include reengagement in the Middle East and North Africa. Both sides have a long list of common interests in the Middle East; the areas where their interests diverge relate mainly to suspicions of the other side’s long-term strategy and global ambitions. How can Washington and Beijing build on common interests in the region while addressing their long-term concerns, reducing some of them and accommodating robust competition or even sharp adversarial attitudes in other areas?

    June 8, 2023

    Putting Diplomacy First in the Middle East: Creating Incentives for De-Escalation
    Photo by LUDOVIC MARIN/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Putting Diplomacy First in the Middle East: Creating Incentives for De-Escalation

    The Middle East is undergoing a historic transformation with unprecedented opportunities to build new relationships, de-escalate tensions, and foster conditions for stronger integration. At the same time, the region remains on edge because of ongoing tensions in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, and other conflict zones, a civil war that broke out recently in Sudan, along with the overarching challenges presented by fraught relations between Iran, Israel, and several Arab Gulf countries — with the longer-term implications of the still-fragile Iranian-Saudi rapprochement yet to be fully assessed.

    The Slowing Down of Israel-Arab Relations Under the Netanyahu Government
    Photo by GIL COHEN-MAGEN/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • The Slowing Down of Israel-Arab Relations Under the Netanyahu Government

    Dynamics between Israel and the Arab world have taken a turn for the worse in the first few months of the new Israeli government. The positive momentum in Israel-Arab relations, which Prime Minister Netanyahu himself was key in generating through the signing of the Abraham Accords and which picked up pace during the Bennett-Lapid government that followed, has slowed down. Only limited progress may be feasible under the current government, but conditions for positive change do exist and include marginalizing Israeli extremists, avoiding a flare-up with the Palestinians, reducing the domestic turmoil in Israel, and ensuring the effective involvement of the U.S. and the EU.

    May 25, 2023

    The Western Mediterranean: Energy and Geopolitics
  • Commentary
  • The Western Mediterranean: Energy and Geopolitics

    Over the last two decades, the Mediterranean has become an important region. Many scholars, policymakers and analysts have mostly referred to this region from a nexus of security, geopolitics and traditional energy politics. With the war in Ukraine, the relevance of this whole region has increased along the same line. The Mediterranean today is home to some of the most enduring conflicts in the world. New energy resources are being discovered in disputed areas in an environment of intense geopolitical competition over regional leadership and energy routes within and beyond the region.

    Why we can’t forget the Nakba
    Photo by Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Why we can’t forget the Nakba

    For Palestinians, the Nakba (Catastrophe) is a somber occasion that represents the loss of their homeland and the forced displacement that followed. To truly understand the tragedy of the Nakba and the ongoing trauma experienced by Palestinians, it is important to humanize their experiences. By listening to and amplifying these voices, we can begin to truly understand the complexity and depth of the Palestinian experience.

    May 15, 2023

    Even with all eyes on Gaza, the struggle for Israel’s democracy continues
    Photo by Mostafa Alkharouf/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Even with all eyes on Gaza, the struggle for Israel’s democracy continues

    The costs that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the State of Israel have been paying following the government’s first months in office have become more and more significant in recent weeks, and are they are not forgotten even as Israelis focus on coping with a cycle of warfare with Palestinian Islamic Jihad in Gaza.

    May 14, 2023

    Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations
  • Commentary
  • Decarbonization and Political Transformation in Iraq: The Impact on Politics, Society and Regional Relations

    What happens when a petrostate loses its oil rents? While the oil market continues to go through boom-and-bust cycles, cases such as Iraq provide evidence of how the rapid loss of oil revenues—traumatic decarbonization—may affect the politics and stability of these petrostates. In Iraq, multiple shocks to oil revenues from 2014 through 2020 fundamentally altered the organization and concentration of political power in Iraq with destabilizing and democratic consequences.

    May 4, 2023