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In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah
Photo by OLIVER MARSDEN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah

    Over the past few days, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered a precarious new phase, with Israel carrying out both unconventional attacks and heavy airstrikes against the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, while Hezbollah has responded with an increase in retaliatory fire. 

    September 23, 2024

    Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections
    Photo by Fethi Belaid/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections

    Before Tunisian voters have their say in the presidential election on Oct. 6, state institutions have already had their say. The security services, judicial authorities, and the High Independent Electoral Authority (ISIE) have either obstructed or officially barred over a dozen potential candidates from running. Of the three eligible candidates officially approved by the ISIE, only President Kais Saied and former Saied supporter Zouhair Maghzaoui remain outside of prison. Candidate Ayachi Zammel was arrested on Sept. 6. Many other potential candidates attempted to run from prison or were jailed for alleged technical violations of election laws. By restricting the list of potential candidates effectively to two, state institutions have embraced their historically paternalistic, modernizing role toward a distrusted citizenry.

    September 17, 2024

    Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels
    Photo from the EU's Directorate General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations
  • Analysis
  • Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels

    In the corridors of power in Brussels, it is common to hear that the position of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy is an impossible job. It may actually become even more difficult for the outgoing Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, who is set to succeed the Spanish Josep Borrell as the European Union’s foreign policy chief in the coming weeks.

    September 10, 2024

    Algeria’s 2024 presidential elections: Keeping up with populist authoritarianism
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Algeria’s 2024 presidential elections: Keeping up with populist authoritarianism

    Algeria is poised for a presidential election on Sept. 7 that, while seemingly predetermined, reveals the complexities of a political landscape profoundly shaped by popular disillusionment following the failure of the 2019 Hirak protest movement. Five years on, incumbent Abdelmadjid Tebboune is promising a second term based on the “continuation of the social state,” but his attempt to renew a social contract based on populist promises of a neoliberal economic renewal is colliding with the lack of institutional reforms necessary to achieve them.

    September 6, 2024

    The Fall and Fall of Mahmoud Abbas
  • Commentary
  • The Fall and Fall of Mahmoud Abbas

    For nearly two decades, Palestinian leadership has been fractured. Along with a basic division between Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank, numerous other groups have competed for influence. In late July, leaders of all 14 Palestinian political factions, including Fatah and Hamas, met in Beijing to issue a call for national unity.

    August 30, 2024

    Brokering a solution to the Libyan Central Bank crisis
    Photo by Weisserstier via Flickr, licensed under the terms of Creative Commons 2.0
  • Analysis
  • Brokering a solution to the Libyan Central Bank crisis

    The ongoing effort by various factions in Libya to gain control of the Central Bank of Libya (CBL) poses a clear and present danger for the entire country, threatening its safety and security as well as its economy.

    Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war

    Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack touched off a destructive war with Israel and a limited but fierce regional conflagration between Israel and the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” with Lebanese Hezbollah at the forefront. The ongoing conflict has been multi-fronted, multi-faceted, dynamic, and already highly consequential. While a clear bottom line remains elusive, exploring the war’s primary origins and evolution offers useful indicators.

    August 22, 2024

    Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts
    Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts

    As the Middle East becomes more autonomous and empowered domestically, the leaders in the region might consider more synergetic relations with each other and prepare national long-term plans that provide a balanced and integrated approach to social, technological, environmental, economic, and political development and progress.

    August 20, 2024