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The spider of Khanasir and the rising star of Syria’s Hussam Luka
Photo courtesy of the author
  • Analysis
  • The spider of Khanasir and the rising star of Syria’s Hussam Luka

    Despite his rural Sunni roots, one general has managed to play a part in nearly every step of the regime’s counter-revolution, all while building a web of networks across much of Syria as he worked his way up the complex internal ladders of the mukhabarat: Maj. Gen. Hussam Luka.

    December 8, 2022

    ISIS leader’s death raises intriguing questions
    Photo by JOSEPH EID/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • ISIS leader’s death raises intriguing questions

    On Nov. 30, the Islamic State announced that its leader, Abu al-Hassan al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, had been killed in battle and that his successor, Abu al-Hussein al-Husseini al-Qurayshi, was now in place. Hours later, the United States military’s Central Command confirmed the death of Abu al-Hassan, adding that it had occurred in Daraa, in southern Syria, in mid-October at the hands of “the Free Syrian Army.”

    داعش" إلى العلن في الجنوب السوري"
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • داعش" إلى العلن في الجنوب السوري"

    أطلقت المجموعات المحلية في مدينة درعا البلد ، وهي مجموعات عسكرية كانت تتبع للجيش السوري الحر، و بقيت في المحافظة بعد توقيع أتفاقية المصالحة مع النظام السوري برعاية روسية في يوليو / تموز عام 2018، عملية عسكرية واسعة على مجموعات هفو _ الحرفوش في أحياء طريق السد والمخيم داخل درعا البلد.

    ISIS is back in the open in southern Syria
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • ISIS is back in the open in southern Syria

    On Oct. 31, local units previously affiliated with the FSA launched a large-scale military operation against the al-Hafo-Harfoush group in the southern Syrian city of Daraa al-Balad. The operation followed a suicide bombing targeting the house of Ghassan al-Akram Abazid, a former FSA leader, that left four dead and several others wounded, on Oct. 28, in Daraa al-Balad. The attack was only the latest in a string of similar operations in southern Syria conducted by the group over the past year targeting military factions affiliated with the opposition.

    فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري
    Photo by LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • فهم المنطق خلف عنف النظام السوري

    على الرغم من التوثيق الجيد لاضطهاد الدولة السورية وعنفها ضد السكان من خلال الكم الهائل من شهادات الضحايا طوال النزاع المسلح الذي استمر أكثر من ١١ عامًا في عموم البلد، يبقى المنطق خلف هذا العنف مفهوماً بشكل أقل – من هم المستهدفين من قبل النظام وما هي الأضرار الناتجة هذا الاستهداف؟ ولماذا يستمر العنف والاضطهاد ضد بعض الجماعات حتى بعد انخفاض الأعمال العدائية المباشرة، أو حتى بعد لجوء هذه الجماعات خارج البلاد؟

    Understanding the logic behind the Syrian regime’s violence
    LOUAI BESHARA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Understanding the logic behind the Syrian regime’s violence

    The Syrian state’s persecution of the population has been well documented throughout the country’s more than 11-year conflict. Less well understood is the logic behind the violence — who the regime targets and why they inflict such harm. Why do violence and persecution continue against some groups, even after a reduction in immediate conflict hostilities or when they now live as refugees outside of the country?

    Frozen Syria? Assessing the state of play and opportunities for engagement
    Photo by BAKR ALKASEM/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Frozen Syria? Assessing the state of play and opportunities for engagement

    Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine has given rise to speculation that it might fully withdraw from Syria, creating a power vacuum that could ignite new fighting. Yet these fears are likely misplaced and a deeper examination of the current state of Syria reveals unique opportunities for engagement from the international community.

    November 10, 2022

    HTS, Turkey, and the future of Syria’s north
    Photo by RAMI AL SAYED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • HTS, Turkey, and the future of Syria’s north

    During the second week of October, unprecedented full-fledged military confrontations broke out in northern Syria between factions of the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army (SNA), with Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) subsequently intervening in support of some factions over others. Tukey’s weariness about the constantly deteriorating state of security in the north, resulting mainly from infighting among the SNA forces it backs, and its willingness to impose order on them, could explain its silence on HTS’s military aggression. For HTS, however, expanding its rule and settling scores with some SNA factions may be the main drivers behind its recent attacks.

    October 26, 2022

    Pragmatic jihadist or opportunistic warlord? HTS’s Jolani expands his rule in northern Syria
    Photo by RAMI AL SAYED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Pragmatic jihadist or opportunistic warlord? HTS’s Jolani expands his rule in northern Syria

    The jihadist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Syria has dispatched its fighters from greater Idlib eastward, taking full control of Afrin city and at least 26 towns and villages to its southwest, most without a fight. This has placed many of its jihadist opponents back under HTS’s control. The dynamics of northwestern Syria are shifting, and the consequences look likely to be extremely significant.

    The Houthis’ war and Yemen’s future
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis’ war and Yemen’s future

    Since seizing the capital of Sana’a in September 2014, the Houthis have been transforming the portions of Yemen under their control in line with a radical political and religious ideology. The Houthis’ war is complicated and may not be resolved quickly. But for now, the main obstacles to peace are ones that only Yemenis can resolve, which are rooted in rival concerns over the distribution of political power and equitable delivery of public services.

    September 23, 2022