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رائحة الثورة: آفاق الإصلاح في ظل الحكومة العراقية المقبلة
Photo by SABAH ARAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • رائحة الثورة: آفاق الإصلاح في ظل الحكومة العراقية المقبلة

    وستجد الحكومة الجديدة في جلستها الأولى على مكتبها عددًا من الملفات الشائكة ، تتفاوت في درجة أهميتها وخطورتها وإلحاحها. ستكون المهمة الأولى للحكومة هي ترتيب أولوياتها.

    February 24, 2022

    The smell of the revolution: The prospects for reform under the next Iraqi government
    Photo by SABAH ARAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The smell of the revolution: The prospects for reform under the next Iraqi government

    In its first session the new Iraqi government will find on its desk a number of thorny files, which vary in their degree of importance, danger, and urgency. Its first task will be to prioritize them. How it chooses to do so will be shaped by several sets of factors, including intrinsic internal ones, as well as regional and international developments. Its priorities when it comes to the security, economic, and service files will play an important role in determining if the government will be able to remain in office and complete its constitutional term.

    February 24, 2022

    A gradual reset with Saudi Arabia
    Photo by JONATHAN ERNST/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A gradual reset with Saudi Arabia

    Through the vehicle of defense reform, the Biden administration has an opportunity to engage the Saudis on critical national security matters while safeguarding U.S. strategic interests and honoring American values.

    February 22, 2022

    Thanks to Iran, Israel emerges stronger as the US shifts its focus away from the Middle East
    Photo by MC2 Class Dawson Roth. The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement
  • Analysis
  • Thanks to Iran, Israel emerges stronger as the US shifts its focus away from the Middle East

    The U.S. is disengaging from the Middle East as it shifts its focus elsewhere, a move widely perceived within the region as a sign of a coming American departure. Many in Israel were concerned that this would strengthen Iran and its influence in the region. Instead, it is Israel that has emerged stronger.

    February 10, 2022

    Saudi Arabia’s natural gas aspirations: The domestic outlook
    Simon Dawson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s natural gas aspirations: The domestic outlook

    With the recent announcement of the Jafurah Field, a massive unconventional, non-associated gas play, Saudi Arabia is looking to enter the global gas sector. The field’s estimated reserves, while substantial, are insufficient to meet current domestic needs and, in the future, displace dirty heavy fuel oil used in power generation and satisfy international export goals. The kingdom thus faces difficult decisions regarding the allocation of the Jafurah gas — to either domestic or international markets — and both options have significant challenges.

    February 9, 2022

    Renewable power policies in the Arab Gulf states
    Photo by MARWAN NAAMANI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Renewable power policies in the Arab Gulf states

    The Arab Gulf states appear to be following a common template in responding to the global transition toward an energy system in which renewables play an increasingly central role. They are publicizing renewable energy targets, decarbonizing upstream and downstream oil and gas operations, commissioning renewable energy projects, and improving energy efficiency, among other strategies. A closer look, however, reveals differences in how they have deployed solar and wind power capacity.

    ISIS in Syria and Iraq
  • Podcast
  • ISIS in Syria and Iraq

    Charles Lister and Mick Mulroy discuss the dramatic Feb. 3rd U.S. special operations raid that killed ISIS leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, the group’s late January attack on the al-Sina prison, and ISIS’s broader trajectory in both Syria and Iraq.

    February 3, 2022

    خيارات الرد الأمريكي على هجمات الحوثيين المتزايدة
  • Commentary
  • خيارات الرد الأمريكي على هجمات الحوثيين المتزايدة

    في 24 يناير/كانون الأول، أصدرت القيادة المركزية الأمريكية (CENTCOM) بيانًا أكدت فيه أن “القوات الأمريكية في قاعدة الظفرة الجوية، بالقرب من أبو ظبي في دولة الإمارات العربية المتحدة، اعترضت صاروخيين متجهين للداخل بالاستعانة بعدة صواريخ باتريوت اعتراضية بالتزامن مع جهود القوات المسلحة الإماراتية في الساعات الأولى من صباح 24 يناير 2022. نجحت الجهود المشتركة في منع كلا الصاروخين من إصابة القاعدة.

    For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production
    Maya Siddiqui/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • For Gulf producers, decarbonization does not mean zero oil production

    Gulf oil producers do not envisage a post-2050 world devoid of hydrocarbons, even though two of the region’s biggest producers, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, have committed to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 and 2060, respectively. Reconciling their future environmental commitments with their current reliance on hydrocarbons is going to be an arduous and expensive journey that starts with decarbonizing their oil and gas production to reduce their carbon footprint and increasing their domestic green energy production. With demand for oil and gas forecast to continue post-2050 — albeit at lower levels than now — their net-zero target does not equate to zero oil and gas production. Instead, their transition will differ from that of other countries and will happen at a different pace.

    January 31, 2022

    The MBS Economy
    Faisal Al Nasser/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The MBS Economy

    Saudi Arabia has undergone tremendous social change in recent years, but it has struggled to make good on some of its more ambitious financial goals. Much of the promised foreign direct investment has yet to arrive, and the kingdom’s growth agenda has drained its foreign reserves. Most of Mohammed bin Salman’s more eye-catching promises, including futuristic urban megaprojects, remain unfinished.

    US response options to growing Houthi attacks
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US response options to growing Houthi attacks

    What these attacks and many others in the region have in common is Iran’s irrefutable involvement. They may have different local contexts and their perpetrators, all loyal to Iran, may have different motivations, but every single one of those attacks was possible only because Iran provided either the weapons or the know-how to assemble and use them.

    The attack on al-Sina Prison points to a broader ISIS resurgence
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The attack on al-Sina Prison points to a broader ISIS resurgence

    Intense fighting between the SDF and ISIS continued for the fifth day in Syria’s northeastern city of al-Hasakeh on Monday, following ISIS’s biggest attack in Syria and Iraq in three years. In the evening of Jan. 20, as many as 200 ISIS militants, many wearing suicide belts, launched a coordinated multi-axis assault on al-Sina Prison, shortly after detonating two car bombs parked along the exterior walls of its northern wing. In the chaos that ensued, SDF vehicles were seized and used to break through secure walls, clearing the way for hundreds of ISIS detainees to escape.

    The Gulf has a 5G conundrum and Open RAN is the key to its tech sovereignty
    Photo VCG/VCG via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Gulf has a 5G conundrum and Open RAN is the key to its tech sovereignty

    Long-simmering economic and political tensions between the U.S. and China have continued to spill over into the technology sector, where the two superpowers have made this ever-more vital industry the site of a new Cold War. The acrimony looks poised to only get worse moving forward, potentially leading to a tech decoupling, and 5G is at the heart of it. Some third parties have sought to find a way to navigate this divide and the dilemma is particularly acute for the Gulf states. As they seek to balance their relationships with both Washington and Beijing, several have chosen to stake out their own territory by building an Open Radio Access Network (RAN). This initiative could be a potential solution to the current conundrum that would give states 5G sovereignty in an era of great power competition, with a digital twist.

    زخم قوي في توجه السعودية نحو مصادر الطاقة المتجددة والبنية التحتية
  • Commentary
  • زخم قوي في توجه السعودية نحو مصادر الطاقة المتجددة والبنية التحتية

    إن استراتيجية المملكة العربية السعودية لزيادة محفظتها من الأصول النظيفة والمتجددة قد تم تعزيزها في عام 2021، حيث شهدت المملكة العديد من عمليات تمويل المشاريع في قطاع الطاقة الشمسية وأطلقت صندوق البنية التحتية الوطني لتنويع اقتصادها.

    January 11, 2022

    Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans
    Photo by Ercin Erturk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Competing over Islam: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran in the Balkans

    Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran have been the main competitors in a struggle over who — and in what manner — should act as the patron of Muslims in the Balkans. These three countries are very different in terms of their historical footprint, economic and political presence, and local networks. What they share, however, is the use of Islam to exert soft power. This paper will discuss how they are seeking to wield influence, how regional actors respond to their overtures, and whether these three countries are meeting their objectives in the region.

    January 11, 2022