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Pressuring Egypt over Gaza will not work and is not in the US interest
Photo by Ahmad Salem/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pressuring Egypt over Gaza will not work and is not in the US interest

    Almost immediately after the start of the conflict in Gaza, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his governing coalition began a concerted effort to persuade first the European Union and then the United States to pressure Egypt to accept Palestinian refugees. Egypt refused and continues to do so. Capitulating is not in Cairo’s national interest and bullying it will only backfire.

    A nuclear Middle East is not a secure Middle East
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • A nuclear Middle East is not a secure Middle East

    Iran is accumulating enough near-weapons-grade enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon within weeks or months, not years. President Donald Trump, having withdrawn the United States in 2018 from the nuclear deal that would have postponed that possibility, is now appealing for negotiations with Tehran. But in the Middle East, the nuclear question does not concern only Iran.

    March 25, 2025

    Strained Israel-Jordan ties are further tested by Gaza, but a turnaround is possible
    Photo by Diana Walker/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strained Israel-Jordan ties are further tested by Gaza, but a turnaround is possible

    30 years have passed since Israel and Jordan signed a peace treaty on Oct. 26, 1994. But instead of celebrations, this anniversary was largely marked by disappointment and even despair. Relations, it is claimed, are at an all-time low and the future prospects seem bleak, as the war in Gaza continues and peace between Israelis and Palestinians seems more distant than ever. However, Israel-Jordan relations have proven resilient, even in the face of the current crisis, and the two countries continue to advance vital shared interests.

    November 8, 2024

    Comparing Harris and Trump on Middle East Policy
  • Analysis
  • Comparing Harris and Trump on Middle East Policy

    The two leading presidential candidates in America’s 2024 election have made statements and established track records on the Middle East based on their time in office. This document aims to highlight the most important and reliable positions staked out by former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris.

    Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels
    Photo from the EU's Directorate General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations
  • Analysis
  • Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels

    In the corridors of power in Brussels, it is common to hear that the position of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy is an impossible job. It may actually become even more difficult for the outgoing Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, who is set to succeed the Spanish Josep Borrell as the European Union’s foreign policy chief in the coming weeks.

    September 10, 2024

    Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts
    Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts

    As the Middle East becomes more autonomous and empowered domestically, the leaders in the region might consider more synergetic relations with each other and prepare national long-term plans that provide a balanced and integrated approach to social, technological, environmental, economic, and political development and progress.

    August 20, 2024

    Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities
    Photo by Diana Zeyneb Alhindawi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities

    The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea through the Gulf of Aden, is a crucial chokepoint for global maritime commerce. Despite the strait’s importance, the waters around it have long been plied by smugglers of weapons and other illicit goods. Djibouti today is an important player in trade in the Horn of Africa region, but it also serves as a conduit for Chinese influence, has been linked to malign actors like Iran and the Houthis, and has faced allegations of involvement in various grey and black market activities, including money laundering, illicit finance, oil smuggling, and weapons trafficking.

    August 7, 2024

    Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war

    After 10 months of Israel’s war on Gaza, the US administration has lost control over its ally and the fear of its opponents. As a result, Washington has only limited, if any, impact on the cost-benefit escalation calculus of the fighting sides. The Middle East is today the closest it has ever been to an all-out multi-front regional war.