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Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance
Photo by Aamir Qureshi/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Deepening Pakistan’s enduring civil-military imbalance

    The recent elevation of Gen. Asim Munir to the rank of field marshal is a thunderous declaration of the Pakistani military’s unassailable supremacy, a gesture that reverberates far beyond the barbed-wire perimeters of the Army’s General Headquarters in Rawalpindi.

    May 30, 2025

    Thousands of once protected Afghan refugees in the United States face deportation
    Photo by Marcus Yam/LA Times via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Thousands of once protected Afghan refugees in the United States face deportation

    The chaotic US military pullout from Afghanistan in August 2021 became a hot campaign issue in the 2024 presidential election and continues to echo today. President Donald Trump, who set the withdrawal in motion during his first term in office, repeatedly criticized President Joe Biden’s administration for leaving behind billions of dollars of military equipment. Also left behind were tens of thousands of Afghans, and their family members, who faced retribution for assisting US forces in the fight against the Taliban.

    A nuclear Middle East is not a secure Middle East
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • A nuclear Middle East is not a secure Middle East

    Iran is accumulating enough near-weapons-grade enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon within weeks or months, not years. President Donald Trump, having withdrawn the United States in 2018 from the nuclear deal that would have postponed that possibility, is now appealing for negotiations with Tehran. But in the Middle East, the nuclear question does not concern only Iran.

    March 25, 2025

    US disengagement and new regional security dynamics in Afghanistan’s neighborhood
    Photo by Afghan Ministry of Foreign Affairs/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US disengagement and new regional security dynamics in Afghanistan’s neighborhood

    Afghanistan’s neighborhood is in the midst of a consequential restructuring of its security architecture. Key regional actors Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, and China have been continuing to adjust their defense plans and security partnerships to meet the growing threats posed by domestic and cross-border terrorism. At the same time, these four countries have also been looking for new ways to fill the vacuum in southern Asia left by the United States military’s departure from Afghanistan.

    Time for a more realistic approach to Afghanistan
    Photo by MUSTAFA NOORI/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Time for a more realistic approach to Afghanistan

    Normalizing regular contacts and building relationships with the Taliban leadership can offer a more effective way to hold the Islamic Emirate to account for its actions. It also gives greater promise of realizing American hopes for an Afghanistan inhospitable to global terrorists and more respectful of the human rights of its citizens.

    Weekly Briefing: Syria reignites
    Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Image
  • Commentary
  • Weekly Briefing: Syria reignites

    In only six days, a broad coalition of advancing opposition forces coordinated by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham has captured all of Idlib province, almost all of Aleppo province, and a sizeable stretch of northern Hama — a humiliating defeat for Bashar al-Assad and illustrative of the fragility of regime rule in Syria.

    Weekly Briefing: A cease-fire for Thanksgiving?
  • Commentary
  • Weekly Briefing: A cease-fire for Thanksgiving?

    Read MEI’s weekly briefing featuring expert analysis of key regional developments for the week ahead.

    November 26, 2024

    Pakistan's deepening strategic reliance on China
    Photo by Ahmad Kamal/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan's deepening strategic reliance on China

    The strategic alliance between Pakistan and China, driven largely by opportunism and geostrategic interests, seems unshakable. However, the extent of its mutual benefit remains under scrutiny, especially for Islamabad, whose reliance on Beijing continues to deepen. Although China claims to base its foreign policy interactions on five key principles — respect for sovereignty, non-aggression, non-interference, equality and mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence — its dealings with Pakistan indicate an unequal power dynamic that primarily serves its own interests. This imbalance in the Pakistan-China strategic alliance has led to a situation in which Islamabad’s autonomy is increasingly curtailed, and its vulnerability to Beijing’s influence is becoming more apparent.

    October 11, 2024

    Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications
    Photo by Marco Di Lauro/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications

    Three years since the US and allied withdrawal from Afghanistan, the facts on the ground challenge some more optimistic depictions of the Taliban’s counterterrorism cooperation with the US, al-Qaeda’s reemergence, or the capacity of ISKP to direct external attacks that could threaten American interests.

    Pakistan’s shifting positions on the plight of Palestinians and relations with Israel
    Photo by AMER HILABI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s shifting positions on the plight of Palestinians and relations with Israel

    It is ironic that Pakistan and Israel are both countries created in the name of religion, at around the same time, and yet they have no formal relations. While Pakistan’s animosity toward Israel is rooted in the displacement of Palestinians, it has also served as a means of burnishing the country’s credentials within the community of Muslim nations and pushing back against India, which maintains increasingly close ties with Israel.

    September 4, 2024