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After scoring important points by blocking Iran’s attack, Israel should draw the right lessons from its success
Photo by Israeli Ministry of Defense / Handout / Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • After scoring important points by blocking Iran’s attack, Israel should draw the right lessons from its success

    The Iranian strike against Israel was a first of its kind. Its mere occurrence sets a precedent that will have a long-term impact and require Israel to weigh new considerations when planning future military operations against Iranian assets.

    April 14, 2024

    Saudi-Houthi Agreement: Four Scenarios and Their Potential Impact
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Saudi-Houthi Agreement: Four Scenarios and Their Potential Impact

    Less than 10 years after seizing power in Yemen, the Iran-backed Houthi militia continues to evolve — and so do the threats emanating from it. After several years of negotiations, it now seems likely that the Houthis and Saudis will reach a peace agreement, and it is worth considering how such a deal could change the group’s trajectory. This report examines a number of possible futures that could develop in Yemen over the next 1-2 years based on shifting capabilities, interests, and alliances.

    April 10, 2024

    Journalism out, hasbara in: How Israeli TV news joined the Gaza war effort
  • Commentary
  • Journalism out, hasbara in: How Israeli TV news joined the Gaza war effort

    For the last few months, people around the world have been closely following the ongoing brutality of the war in Gaza. Pictures of Palestinians fleeing south and looking for relatives under the rubble, videos of children searching for food and water — these and more have been circulating on social media and news networks every day since October 7. 

    April 9, 2024

    In recent years, the settler movement discovered a winning strategy: Attack the Israeli military
  • Commentary
  • In recent years, the settler movement discovered a winning strategy: Attack the Israeli military

    As the war in Gaza approaches its seventh month, the settler movement has been raging its own separate war against none other than the Israeli military itself. While Israeli society is still healing from the devastation of Oct. 7 and tens of thousands of Israelis are displaced from their homes near the Gaza Strip and the northern border, the settlers have launched campaigns against the Head of the Central Command, advocated for resettling Gaza, and escalated tensions with the Israeli military.

    April 9, 2024

    Expert Views: What is needed to end the war in Gaza?
    Photo by Ahmad Hasaballah/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Expert Views: What is needed to end the war in Gaza?

    Six months since the October 7 Hamas attacks on Israel and subsequent outbreak of war in Gaza, the deadly and devastating conflict looks no closer to concluding. Is it still possible to achieve a sustainable cessation of hostilities and restart the conflict-resolution process? To get there, what are the incentives and disincentives that could be constructed for the two main combatants, Israel and Hamas?

    Amid renewed protests and political maneuvering, the odds of early elections in Israel are rising
    Photo by Eyal Warshavsky/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Amid renewed protests and political maneuvering, the odds of early elections in Israel are rising

    Public opinion polls indicate that a plurality of Israelis have lost faith in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and support early elections. Recently, this trend has been coupled with renewed demonstrations against the government and maneuvers by key politicians, indicating that the chances Israelis will go to the polls during 2024 are on the rise.

    March 29, 2024

    Strategic foresight is helping create Arab futures
    Arab Forum for Sustainable Development
  • Commentary
  • Strategic foresight is helping create Arab futures

    On March 5-7, 2024, the United Nations’ Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) hosted the annual Arab Forum for Sustainable Development (AFSD). The inclusion of a special session on “Collaborative Futures: Strategic Foresight for Sustainable Development in a World of Crisis” is another example of the growing attention to foresight-driven analysis and decision-making among leaders in the Arab world.

    March 28, 2024

    Gaza: The Second War for Palestine
    Photo by MOHAMMED ABED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Gaza: The Second War for Palestine

    The Second War for Palestine has continued longer than any Israel-Palestinian conflict since Israel’s establishment. Neither Gamal Abdel Nasser’s army nor Hafez al-Assad’s tanks fought as long as the Izzedine al-Qassam Brigades still battling in Gaza.

    March 27, 2024

    Iran bites its tongue on Bahrain?
    ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran bites its tongue on Bahrain?

    On March 12, the United States Department of the Treasury sanctioned four individuals for supporting the Iran-linked al-Ashtar Brigades in Bahrain. This US announcement might suggest that Iranian-Bahraini relations are about to take a nose-dive. But in reality, that is unlikely to happen — at least not while Iranian-Saudi détente continues.

    Pillars of sand: The environmental fragility of Gulf cities
    Photo by Wang Dongzhen/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pillars of sand: The environmental fragility of Gulf cities

    Future climate change is set to increase temperatures around the Gulf further still, rising twice as fast as the global average and pushing the cities of this rapidly growing region toward the edge of their viability as human habitats. But how did this situation come to be in the first place, and why did humans settle in such an inhospitable environment and build such cities around the Gulf waters?

    The great financing gap: The state of climate funding in MENA
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The great financing gap: The state of climate funding in MENA

    The Middle East and North Africa region is one of the lowest recipients of climate finance compared to other areas of the globe, such as East Asia and the Pacific Islands, despite MENA’s exposure to extreme climate risks. The MENA region’s share of climate financing from the big three global climate funds — the Green Climate Fund (GCF), the Climate Investment Funds (CIF), and the Global Environment Facility (GEF) — and their sub-funds made up only 6.6% of their cumulative global financing through 2023.

    March 22, 2024

    Israel and China: A time for choosing?
    ETIENNE OLIVEAU/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel and China: A time for choosing?

    Over the past two decades, relations between Israel and China expanded significantly. Since then, however, there have been indications that the growth prospects for the bilateral relationship have diminished. China’s stance on the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attack and on Israel’s conduct during the ensuing war in Gaza, in particular, has further cast doubt on the future trajectory of the relationship.

    The devastating impact of Gaza’s acute and prolonged water crisis
    Photo by Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The devastating impact of Gaza’s acute and prolonged water crisis

    The Gaza Strip faces a severe and worsening water crisis. With the death toll now above 31,000 and a catastrophic humanitarian crisis plaguing the strip, one of the most urgent challenges facing its residents is access to water.

    March 14, 2024

    Rebuilding Gaza: Navigating the politics of infrastructure
    MAHMUD HAMS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Rebuilding Gaza: Navigating the politics of infrastructure

    The scale of rebuilding needed after the Gaza war, in addition to the difficult political questions involved, will require close international coordination as well as innovative, future-informed thinking.

    March 12, 2024