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Why Assad’s alliance with Iran and Hezbollah will endure
  • Analysis
  • Why Assad’s alliance with Iran and Hezbollah will endure

    This article was published by IranSource on February 6, 2019.

    The Tehran-Damascus-Hezbollah trilateral partnership has been decades in the making. It pre-dates the Syrian civil war, has strengthened as a result of the war and will likely endure in the post-war years.

    February 8, 2019

    Hariri announces another flawed government, but don’t walk away from Lebanon
    Hariri and Aoun
  • Analysis
  • Hariri announces another flawed government, but don’t walk away from Lebanon

    After nine months of deadlock, Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri announced the formation of a new government of 30 ministers. The composition of the government is reflective of Lebanon’s power-sharing system and of the results of the last parliamentary elections.

    January 31, 2019

    Monday Briefing: US-Taliban talks progress, but major obstacles remain
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: US-Taliban talks progress, but major obstacles remain

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Ahmad Majidyar, Marvin G. Weinbaum, Randa Slim, Paul Salem, and Guney Yildiz provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including U.S. negotiations with the Taliban in Afghanistan, a warning sent to Israel by Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, the Sudanese president’s appeal for external support, Turkish-Syrian diplomacy, and Pakistan’s acceptance of Gulf aid.

    Security sector reform and the Internal Security Forces in Lebanon
    Beirut police
  • Analysis
  • Security sector reform and the Internal Security Forces in Lebanon

    Donor-backed reform efforts in the Lebanese Internal Security Forces have shown good results in a jurisdiction in Beirut. While imperfect and limited in scope, these results are encouraging, as obstacles to the provision of fair and effective policing in Lebanon are myriad.

    January 23, 2019

    Weekly Briefing: Failed Arab Economic Summit in Beirut underscores divisions
  • Analysis
  • Weekly Briefing: Failed Arab Economic Summit in Beirut underscores divisions

    In this week’s Weekly Briefing, contributors Paul Salem, Marvin G. Weinbaum, William Lawrence, Ruba Husari, and Jean-François Seznec provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including the Arab Economic Summit held in Beirut this weekend, Afghanistan’s upcoming presidential elections, strikes in Tunisia, the Trump administration’s next steps on Iranian oil policy, and Saudi Aramco’s $10B bond issue.

    It’s complicated: The Aoun-Hezbollah relationship
    Posters of Hezbollah Shiite movement's leader Hassan Nasrallah (L) and of ex-army chief and leader of the Free Patriotic Movement party Michel Aoun, are seen in Aoun's hometown of Haret Hreik, a southern Beirut suburb, on October 31, 2016.
  • Analysis
  • It’s complicated: The Aoun-Hezbollah relationship

    Lebanese President Michel Aoun and Hezbollah remain at loggerheads over the formation of a new government. The dispute has now entered its eighth month and the country is slowly tiptoeing towards a financial crisis.

    January 18, 2019

    The Sectarian Dimension of the Syrian Civil War and Lebanese-Syrian Relations
    Lebanaon-Syria border checkpoint
  • Analysis
  • The Sectarian Dimension of the Syrian Civil War and Lebanese-Syrian Relations

    The eruption of conflict between the Syrian regime and the armed opposition exacerbated the political and sectarian divisions within the Lebanese government, causing it to sever relations with Damascus and dissociate itself from the war. Nevertheless, the Lebanese government eventually was forced to coordinate with the Assad regime in order to manage the refugee crisis and other spillover effects of the conflict. Beirut’s dealings with Damascus reflect the overarching aim of mitigating the impact of the war on the relations between the Lebanese Sunni and Shiite communities.

    July 16, 2018

    A tale of two elections: recapping the polls in Lebanon and Iraq
  • Video
  • A tale of two elections: recapping the polls in Lebanon and Iraq

    As Lebanon holds its first parliamentary elections in nine years and Iraq paves a way forward in the aftermath of the war against ISIS, many questions remain as to what the political future holds for both countries. The parliamentary elections in Lebanon on May 6, and in Iraq on May 12, serve as a barometer for transparency, inclusion, and the political realities in both countries. The polls have raised pressing political and governance issues such as how to overcome sectarianism, corruption, and economic stagnation in order to encourage further openness and plurality.
     

    May 15, 2018

    Don’t scrap Washington’s Lebanon policy. It’s working.
  • Analysis
  • Don’t scrap Washington’s Lebanon policy. It’s working.

    Read the full article on Foreign Policy.

    In Sunday’s elections in Lebanon, Hezbollah and its allies gained more than half the seats in Parliament. After a result like that, an old canard in Washington is likely to resurface with full force: the idea that U.S. policy in Lebanon is a disaster. Don’t buy it. In fact, of all the investments the United States has made in the Middle East over the past decade, Lebanon has generated the greatest returns.

    May 8, 2018

    Trump's goal in Iran is regime change | Monday Briefing
  • Analysis
  • Trump's goal in Iran is regime change | Monday Briefing

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Alex Vatanka, Randa Slim, and Randa Slim provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including President Trump’s decision on whether to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal, what this weekend’s election results in Lebanon indicate about Hezbollah’s standing in the country, and expectations for the outcome of Iraq’s elections on May 12.

    Hezbollah after Lebanon’s elections
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah after Lebanon’s elections

    Read the full article on The American Interest

    With Lebanon’s parliamentary elections just around the corner, Washington will be watching closely how its Lebanese nemesis, the powerful Shi‘a party Hezbollah, sets itself up for the future. 

    May 3, 2018

    Monday Briefing: Ankara’s early elections
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Ankara’s early elections

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Gonul Tol, Paul Salem, Nathan Stock, Alex Vatanka, Gerald Feierstein, and Marvin G. Weinbaum provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including upcoming snap elections in Turkey, Lebanon’s Free Patriotic Movement party, protests in Gaza, the future of the Iran nuclear deal, Yemeni peace talks, and the ISKP attack on Shiite Hazaras.

    Monday Briefing: Assad’s chemical warfare
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Assad’s chemical warfare

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Robert S. Ford, Gerald Feierstein, Randa Slim, and Alex Vatanka provide analysis on recent and upcoming events including the chemical attack on Douma, Sheikh Tamim’s Tuesday meeting with Trump, Lebanese parliamentary elections, Moroccan and Algerian tension over Western Sahara, and Iran and India’s strategic partnership.