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أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة
  • Commentary
  • أفغانستان: جهود جبارة وتهديدات جديدة

    من المهم الاعتراف بالجهود الجبارة التي بذلها ضباطنا في الجيش والخدمة الخارجية والمخابرات لإخراج أكثر من 100 ألف من الأمريكيين ومن الأفغان حاملي تأشيرة الهجرة الخاصة من أفغانستان بالتنسيق مع مئات المتطوعين الذين ساعدوهم في كل من الولايات المتحدة وأفغانستان. والأهم من ذلك هو الاعتراف بالجنود من الرجال والنساء الأمريكيين الذين قدموا أقصى التضحيات لبلدهم من أجل حماية الأمريكيين.

    Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?
    Photo by JAVIER SORIANO/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Afghanistan: The US decides, but will Europe pay the bill?

    That the Taliban ended up taking over Afghanistan was not surprising, given the details of the agreement between the U.S. administration and the group’s leadership that have been known for many months. What was surprising for the international community, however, was the speed and manner of their takeover. The Taliban offensive and its consequences came as a particular shock to the institutions of the European Union (EU) and the member states that took part in the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) mission and various aid programs in the country. When it comes to assessing the consequences of the Taliban’s takeover, there is no doubt that, first and foremost, it is the Afghan people that are most badly affected. Among the members of the international community, it is the Americans that have suffered the greatest reputational and financial losses so far, but from here on out the EU may well be the party that will face the greatest consequences.

    August 27, 2021

    A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap
  • Commentary
  • A Way Out Of Biden’s Afghan Trap

    The U.N. Security Council could authorize the U.S. and allies to enforce a safe zone for evacuations.

    August 26, 2021

    حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان
  • Video
  • حلقة 23: آراء من واشنطن – تبعات الانسحاب من أفغانستان

    ما هي تبعات الانسحاب الأميريكي من أفغانستان على مكافحة الإرهاب وعلى الاستراتيجية الأميريكية وصورتها في الشرق الأوسط؟ يستعرض إبراهيم الأصيل رأياً لبول سالم، رئيس معهد الشرق الأوسط.

    August 26, 2021

    Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Al Qaeda and lessons from the past 20 years of counterterrorism

    Peter Bergen and Colin Clarke join guest host Charles Lister to discuss Bergen’s new book, The Rise and Fall of Osama Bin Laden, as well as the Biden administration’s handling of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and concerns about the country once again becoming a safe haven for Al Qaeda under the Taliban.

    August 25, 2021

    The Taliban and the formation of a new Afghan government
    Photo by MARCUS YAM/LOS ANGELES TIMES
  • Analysis
  • The Taliban and the formation of a new Afghan government

    A week and a half after the fall of Kabul, the world has yet to fully recover from the shock of how quickly the Ghani regime collapsed. As U.S. and international forces continue their evacuations and many Afghans struggle to leave for Western countries, the formation of a new government in Kabul has picked up pace. The Taliban have been consulting all stakeholders to form a government that has broad support from a variety of Afghan populations — one they say will be “inclusive” and “Islamic” — but what that will actually mean or look like in practice is as yet unclear.

    August 24, 2021

    China-US rivalries after the Afghan war
    Photo by Yang Wenbin/Xinhua via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • China-US rivalries after the Afghan war

    As the Great Game between the United States and China unfolds on a global scale, American and Chinese leaders have to make a choice — will they clash more openly in a struggle to dominate Afghanistan and its neighboring regions or will they rein in their ambitions and jealousies to accomplish goals that benefit themselves and many others?

    August 24, 2021

    “Zero means zero”: What we can learn from our mistake in Iraq and apply in Afghanistan
    Photo by JONATHAN ERNST/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “Zero means zero”: What we can learn from our mistake in Iraq and apply in Afghanistan

    Now as we watch this debacle unfold in our exit from Afghanistan, what lessons learned from Iraq should we apply today and is there still time? There are lessons learned from Iraq that are applicable in Afghanistan because although history does not repeat itself, it certainly rhymes a lot and yes, there is always time.

    "صفر يعني صفر": ما يمكن أن نتعلمه من خطأنا في العراق ونطبقه في أفغانستان
  • Commentary
  • "صفر يعني صفر": ما يمكن أن نتعلمه من خطأنا في العراق ونطبقه في أفغانستان

    في ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2011، كُنتُ في مُعسكر أمريكي صغير بالقرب من بغداد أتحدث مع القادة الميدانيين لأحد أجهزتنا الاستخباراتية حول الخيارات للحد من فقدان كل من الاستخبارات التقنية والبشرية بعد أن تم تخفيض القوات العسكرية الأمريكية إلى الصفر في العراق. في وقت متأخر من تلك الليلة بعد انتهاء اجتماعاتي التي استمرت طوال اليوم، قمت بإجراء مكالمة مع قائدي الجنرال جيم ماتيس، الذي كان وقتها يتولى رئاسة القيادة المركزية الأمريكية (CENTCOM).

    Biden Must Keep U.S. Operatives in Afghanistan To Enable the Counterterrorism Mission
  • Commentary
  • Biden Must Keep U.S. Operatives in Afghanistan To Enable the Counterterrorism Mission

    We can and must provide that assistance not to help defeat the Taliban, fix Afghanistan, or remove our moral stain, but to achieve a much more limited objective, one that’s stated by the President himself, which is to ensure that no major attack against the U.S. or U.S. strategic interests is launched from Afghanistan.

    تهديدات جديدة وبيئة أخطر كثيرًا في أفغانستان
  • Commentary
  • تهديدات جديدة وبيئة أخطر كثيرًا في أفغانستان

    مع تكثيف جهود الإجلاء من قِبَل الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها في مطار كابول، تزداد معها التهديدات الإرهابية للمطار ومجاله الجوي. فلمدة 48 ساعة على الأقل، أشارت المعلومات الاستخباراتية إلى وجود تهديد “خطير” و”مستمر” بشن هجمات من قِبَل فرع تنظيم الدولة الإسلامية في أفغانستان، المعروف باسم ولاية خراسان الإسلامية (ISKP). وللمرة الأولى، بدأت طائرات النقل العسكرية يوم السبت بإطلاق مشاعل حرارية مضيئة أثناء الإقلاع – في مؤشر واضح على تهديد محتمل للاستهداف بصاروخ أرض – جو.

    What’s next in Afghanistan? The prospects for future political violence
    Photo by MARCUS YAM/LOS ANGELES TIMES/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What’s next in Afghanistan? The prospects for future political violence

    As the U.S. withdrew troops from Afghanistan, the Taliban pushed through large portions of the country, capturing strategic regional centers and ultimately securing the capital city of Kabul. In its pursuit, the Taliban faced relatively little resistance as it seized government strongholds. Rather than widespread fighting, reports indicate that Taliban fighters often cut deals with soldiers, offering payoffs or demanding surrenders. At the same time and as of the time of writing, the Taliban announced a general amnesty, encouraging former government officials and women to support the group.
    Whether and how long this period of limited resistance and amnesty might last are unclear. What are the prospects for future political violence both within and outside the country?

    August 19, 2021

    The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan

    Dr. Marvin Weinbaum, director of MEI’s Afghanistan and Pakistan program, joins host Alistair Taylor for a bonus episode responding to the Taliban’s rapid overthrow of the Afghan military and government over the past week.

    August 17, 2021