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Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
(Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit
    Photo by Borna News/Matin Ghasemi/Iran Images ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit

    As Israel grapples with fundamental questions of identity and societal fissures years in the making, Iran and its Axis of Resistance continue to employ their escalation-ready approach of pushing the envelope in multiple geographic theaters, launching cyber operations to foment disunity in Israeli society, and attempting to neutralize the regional gains Israel has made after signing the Abraham Accords with several Arab neighbors in 2020.

    August 3, 2023

    Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline

    Amin Naeni discusses the revival of Iranian foreign policy with non-Western states, particularly African nations, in light of President Raisi’s recent visit to the continent. Additionally, the piece touches upon how this process has differed between Raisi versus Ahmadinejad, and whether Raisi’s Africa policy will prove any more successful than his predecessor’s.

    July 31, 2023

    Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran
    Photo by Murat Kula/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran

    While some analysts attribute Egypt’s realignment toward Turkey, Qatar, and Iran to a change in the foreign policies of its influential allies, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, it can be argued that Egypt’s shift is primarily motivated by its domestic dynamics and its unfulfilled foreign policy objectives between 2014 and 2018. Egypt’s realignment, in that sense, seeks to achieve multiple unmet domestic and regional aims.

    July 25, 2023

    How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East
    Photo by STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How the rumble in Russia reverberates around the Middle East

    It is too early to tell whether the Wagner “uprising” is a one-off or foreshadows further cracks and the eventual collapse of Putin’s presidency, but the latter outcome would have lasting consequences in the MENA region.

    June 26, 2023

    Obstacles and opportunities for closer Iranian-Chinese economic cooperation
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Obstacles and opportunities for closer Iranian-Chinese economic cooperation

    Despite a substantial growth in trade between China and Iran, especially when it comes to Chinese exports to Iran and purchases of Iranian oil, the same cannot be said for Beijing’s investments in the Iranian economy, which have remained anemic, particularly in the critical energy sector.

    June 23, 2023

    Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy

    The prevailing political spirit in the Gulf region is presently one of de-escalation. In the case of the UAE and Iran, a number of existing connections could help hasten the process of de-escalation and enable it to happen faster than anywhere else in the region.The outcome should be of interest not only to the UAE and Iran but also to the U.S. given the latter’s long-standing efforts to shape Iranian policies.

    Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah
    Photo from Twitter, cropped to fit.
  • Analysis
  • Azerbaijan's Hoseyniyun: The prospects and challenges of a Caucasus Hezbollah

    The “Axis of Resistance,” a network of non-state actors aligned with Iran, has emerged as a significant force in the Middle East in the last two decades. Despite the attention given to the more well-known members of the Axis of Resistance, the Azerbaijani group Hoseyniyun, which also operates within the network, remains relatively unknown.

    June 12, 2023