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Challenges of mechanized and combined arms warfare: Lessons for Ukraine from Syria and Iraq
RAMZI HAIDAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Challenges of mechanized and combined arms warfare: Lessons for Ukraine from Syria and Iraq

    The difficulty of quickly providing mechanized and armored equipment to Ukraine, training Ukraine to employ this equipment in combined arms operations, and ensuring Ukraine can maintain and sustain combat power should not be underestimated. As the examples of Turkey’s 2016 military operation in Syria and the U.S. operation in Fallujah in 2004 illustrate, dislodging Russia from its prepared defensive positions will be a daunting task for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

    February 22, 2023

    After Oil-for-Security: A Blueprint for Resetting US-Saudi Security Relations
    Photo credit: FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After Oil-for-Security: A Blueprint for Resetting US-Saudi Security Relations

    Although U.S.-Saudi bilateral ties are on the mend, ambiguities and the transactional nature of the 1945 oil-for-security covenant contribute to mistrust and tensions. The burden of fixing or stabilizing the relationship is a shared responsibility. It’s time for Washington and Riyadh to reconfigure their security ties in accordance with new U.S. geopolitical priorities and new Saudi defense requirements. This report lays out such a process.

    February 17, 2023

    Tracking water resources from space: Challenges for the MENA region
    Julian Herzog/NASA via Wikimedia Commons
  • Analysis
  • Tracking water resources from space: Challenges for the MENA region

    In the Middle East and North Africa, water is a scarce resource with uneven distribution, resulting in geo-environmental problems at the national level and conflicts between countries that share access to key rivers and water resources that straddle state borders. The stress on the region’s limited water resources is exacerbated by an increasing reliance on groundwater. In such context, monitoring precipitation — the sole renewable water source — is essential yet also challenging. But space-based monitoring can provide a promising technological solution.

    February 15, 2023

    Citizen priorities on the environment and climate change in MENA
    hoto by Mahmoud Elkhwas/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Citizen priorities on the environment and climate change in MENA

    The results of the seventh wave survey from Arab Barometer shed light on regional perspectives on issues of climate change, water resources, and the environment. Here are five key takeaways gleaned from the survey results.

    February 14, 2023

    A message to Tehran: What drone attacks on Iranian critical infrastructure tell us
    STRINGER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A message to Tehran: What drone attacks on Iranian critical infrastructure tell us

    For the first time in several months, Iranian critical military infrastructure again came under attack from an unknown assailant. The Jan. 28 drone attack on a Ministry of Defense workshop complex appeared designed to deliver a politico-strategic message. The strike may mark the beginning of a more unstable post-JCPOA security environment in the Middle East characterized by a return of deterrence and risk-taking behavior.

    February 1, 2023

    Saudi Arabia’s proactive military strategy in southern Yemen is a risky gamble
    Photo by Saudi Kingdom Council/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s proactive military strategy in southern Yemen is a risky gamble

    Despite formal agreements and vast financial resources, Saudi Arabia has largely failed to integrate the various armed groups in Aden and southern Yemen under one national security sector. This adds to Riyadh’s ineffectiveness in establishing military-political influence in southern Yemen or in limiting the UAE’s continuing leverage. In an effort to boost its influence, since late 2022 Saudi Arabia has established new armed formations in Aden and nearby governorates, such as the Nation Shield Force.

    January 31, 2023

    Iran’s growing climate migration crisis
    Photo by MORTEZA JABERIAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s growing climate migration crisis

    A decline in average annual precipitation, rise in temperatures, and dire water shortages are leading drivers of climate-induced internal migration in Iran. This long-term trend was further exacerbated in 2022 by more intense heat waves, resulting in a spike in seasonal migration.

    January 30, 2023

    2023 ADSW: A solid start for a climate-focused year in the UAE
    Photo courtesy of the author.
  • Commentary
  • 2023 ADSW: A solid start for a climate-focused year in the UAE

    This year’s Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week focused on both adaptation strategies and mitigation actions. Judging by the solid foundation established at this conference, and building on the efforts the UAE launched in previous years, the upcoming COP28, which will be hosted in Dubai, appears to have all the ingredients to bring together relevant stakeholders and deliver on its promises.

    January 27, 2023

    Juniper Oak 2023 reinforces US commitment to Middle East, sets standard for future regional exercises
    Photo source: Pentagon
  • Analysis
  • Juniper Oak 2023 reinforces US commitment to Middle East, sets standard for future regional exercises

    This week, the United States Central Command (CENTCOM) concluded what it called on social media, “the largest ever U.S.-Israel combined exercise.” The drills reasserted U.S. support for partnerships, deterrence, and integration, despite posture reductions and continued concern among partners about Washington’s commitment to the Middle East.

    January 26, 2023

    Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge
    Photo by SAMEER AL-DOUMY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge

    Gulf states are collectively investing billions of dollars in developing renewable energy. Yet climate change patterns in neighboring regions, combined with rising average temperatures, could eventually trigger more serious climate migration problems for the Gulf countries themselves.

    January 13, 2023

    What the United Nations’ 6th Climate Assessment tells us about the Mediterranean’s climate future
    Fadel Senna /AFP/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What the United Nations’ 6th Climate Assessment tells us about the Mediterranean’s climate future

    The latest U.N. IPCC report details the alarming changes that Mediterranean countries will experience in the coming decades due to climate change, highlighting three critical areas — warming and droughts, declining ecosystems, as well as socioeconomic and public health risks.

    December 19, 2022