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Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks
Photo by Houthi Movement via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Houthis see domestic and regional benefit to continued Red Sea attacks

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict in October, Yemen’s Houthi rebels have sought means to capitalize on the war in Gaza to raise their profile, enhance their pan-Arab legitimacy, and burnish their credentials both domestically and in the region. In their effort to insert themselves into the Gaza conflict, the Houthis believe their actions will strengthen their support base at home while also cementing their movement more firmly into the Iranian “Axis of Resistance.”

    January 11, 2024

    Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”
    Photo by EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Reinventing a square wheel: Can a revitalized Palestinian Authority lead the way to a better “day after?”

    As questions about regarding who can take over governance of the war-torn Gaza Strip, Washington and other are pinning their hopes on a revitalized Palestinian Authority. But such “revitalization,” if limited to “strengthening” the PA cabinet and making only minor improvements in governance, will ensure that Gaza will remain a “super camp” and a source of recurring/persistent instability for Palestine and Israel.

    January 10, 2024

    The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war
    Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The US is key to preventing an Israel-Lebanon war

    The current escalation between Israeli and Hezbollah forces necessitates immediate action from the international community to prevent a widening of the Gaza war, and the US is positioned in a leadership role to mollify tensions, beginning with diplomatic actions to stabilize the Lebanese-Israeli border, helping to pacify the broader region as a result.

    January 5, 2024

    Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East
    Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran amid conflicting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East

    As two contradictory trends of de-escalation in the Persian Gulf and a new round of war between Palestinians and Israelis unfold at the same time, Iran is trying to play its best cards and navigate its position. Iran views the region’s geopolitical and security conflicts as a chance to uphold its position and leverage it to advance its defined national interests.

    December 27, 2023

    Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it
  • Commentary
  • Israel and Lebanon are sliding into war, but the US can still stop it

    A battle for hearts and minds is being waged in the winding alleyways of Beirut. The Lebanese are anxiously going about their lives while keeping an eye on the intensifying border skirmishes between Israel and the Iranian-backed militant group Hezbollah. 

    Plastered across the city walls and hanging from lampposts is the enigmatic image of Abu Obeida, Hamas’s masked spokesperson. Wrapped in a red kufiyah, the traditional Arab head garb, he is put forth as a symbol of defiance against Israel.

    Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?
    Andre Malerba/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Saudi-Israel normalization still on the table?

    In response to the Oct. 7 attacks and subsequent bombing and invasion of the Gaza Strip, most media outlets and think tanks concluded that Hamas initiated the war to sever the path toward normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Prior to the Hamas strike, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) said his country was moving steadily in the direction of normalizing relations with Israel.

    December 22, 2023

    Shifting Tides: Environment, History, and Culture Shape the Work of Bahraini Artists
    Photo by Jason Dixson
  • Analysis
  • Shifting Tides: Environment, History, and Culture Shape the Work of Bahraini Artists

    “Bahrain” literally translates as “the land of two seas,” referring to the two sources of water within and around the island: the sweet-water terrestrial and submarine springs, and the saltwater surrounding oceans. Water has played a central role in the Gulf island nation’s history and has been a major influence on the work of Bahraini artists, along with the country’s unique landscape and natural environment, as well as the impact of rapid economic and urban development.

    December 19, 2023

    Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Soleimani birthed Iran’s Axis of Resistance, Ghaani coordinated it

    Iranian strategy in the Middle East has long centered on nurturing regional proxies and partners — a so-called “Axis of Resistance” — to mount an existential threat to Israel by encircling it in a ring of fire. The bloody war between Israel and Hamas sparked by the latter’s Oct. 7 massacre is the first large-scale implementation of this Axis of Resistance doctrine. Quds Force commander Esmail Ghaani’s lasting contribution will be the network’s entry into the battlefield in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

    December 15, 2023

    Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Reflections on the Dubai Future Forum 2023

    Two weeks ago, I had the privilege of joining more than 800 fellow futurists, and another 1,500 “futures-adjacent” collaborators, from over 100 countries at the second annual forum convened by the Dubai Future Foundation. Arriving with high expectations, I left even more enthused than I’d anticipated, and with invaluable new learning from those around me.

    December 15, 2023

    Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gaza war hasn’t halted de-escalation efforts in Yemen

    Over the past two months, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have launched missiles and drones into Israel, attacked several commercial ships in the Red Sea, and threatened to block all ships sailing to Israel, regardless of nationality, until Gaza receives humanitarian aid. In the Gulf, there is a growing fear that the situation could constrain ongoing de-escalation talks between Riyadh, the Republic of Yemen Government, and the Houthis, or even take them back to square one were conflict dynamics to escalate.

    December 12, 2023