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In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah
Photo by OLIVER MARSDEN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah

    Over the past few days, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered a precarious new phase, with Israel carrying out both unconventional attacks and heavy airstrikes against the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, while Hezbollah has responded with an increase in retaliatory fire. 

    September 23, 2024

    Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications
    Photo by Marco Di Lauro/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Navigating the shadows: Afghanistan’s terrorism landscape three years after the US withdrawal and its international implications

    Three years since the US and allied withdrawal from Afghanistan, the facts on the ground challenge some more optimistic depictions of the Taliban’s counterterrorism cooperation with the US, al-Qaeda’s reemergence, or the capacity of ISKP to direct external attacks that could threaten American interests.

    Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections
    Photo by Fethi Belaid/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections

    Before Tunisian voters have their say in the presidential election on Oct. 6, state institutions have already had their say. The security services, judicial authorities, and the High Independent Electoral Authority (ISIE) have either obstructed or officially barred over a dozen potential candidates from running. Of the three eligible candidates officially approved by the ISIE, only President Kais Saied and former Saied supporter Zouhair Maghzaoui remain outside of prison. Candidate Ayachi Zammel was arrested on Sept. 6. Many other potential candidates attempted to run from prison or were jailed for alleged technical violations of election laws. By restricting the list of potential candidates effectively to two, state institutions have embraced their historically paternalistic, modernizing role toward a distrusted citizenry.

    September 17, 2024

    The Romanian defense industry and US policy
    Photo by DANIEL MIHAILESCU/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Romanian defense industry and US policy

    After the Cold War, the Romanian government chose to slim down its sizeable defense industry, but it essentially maintained its state-backed structure, personnel, and management, thus producing a thoroughly inefficient system. Today, Romania retains a proclivity to purchase Western, and particularly American, defense equipment; but it has often neglected any thorough assessments of life cycle costs or real force design considerations.

    September 5, 2024

    With the Middle East on the brink, how can the US recalibrate its response?
    Photo by Christoph Reichwein/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • With the Middle East on the brink, how can the US recalibrate its response?

    The Middle East teeters on the precipice of a substantial escalation, threatening to more fully draw in Lebanon, Iran, and perhaps other countries. What happens in the coming days, along with the decisions made by adversaries and allies alike, will determine if that happens.

    Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war

    Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack touched off a destructive war with Israel and a limited but fierce regional conflagration between Israel and the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” with Lebanese Hezbollah at the forefront. The ongoing conflict has been multi-fronted, multi-faceted, dynamic, and already highly consequential. While a clear bottom line remains elusive, exploring the war’s primary origins and evolution offers useful indicators.

    August 22, 2024

    The impact of Turkish-Syrian normalization on the SDF
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The impact of Turkish-Syrian normalization on the SDF

    As speculation continues about a possible Turkish-Syrian normalization, what might such a process mean for the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a close US ally? In a new piece for MEI, Amer al-Ahmed lays out three possible scenarios for the future of the SDF amid normalization.

    August 2, 2024