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Jannah or Jahannam: Options for Dealing with ISIS Detainees
  • Analysis
  • Jannah or Jahannam: Options for Dealing with ISIS Detainees

    Thousands of former ISIS fighters and tens of thousands of civilians indoctrinated in the group’s extremist ideology currently sit in prisons and refugee camps across Iraq and Syria. Leaving the detainees there is dangerous, but transitioning them will require some type of accountability for the crimes committed. This paper explores options for international action to deal with the detention of ISIS members from Iraq and Syria and the foreign terrorist fighters who joined the group from around the globe.

    Jordan: US security assistance and border defense capacity building
  • Analysis
  • Jordan: US security assistance and border defense capacity building

    The Department of Defense (DoD) border security assistance programs in the Middle East region have helped partner countries to defend their borders against terrorist militia groups and other transnational security threats in the region. These programs set the standard for how the US military can foster long-term stability in the Middle East, while gradually drawing down its presence in the region.

    October 6, 2020

    Farcical treaties
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Farcical treaties

    Are the treaties with the UAE and Bahrain in any way comparable to previous genuine milestones, like the agreements with Egypt and Jordan? Can we realistically see them as helping to lead the way to a brighter future, at least as far as Israel’s conflicts with its neighbors are concerned? The answer is almost certainly “not really.”

    October 6, 2020

    America in Afghanistan
    Photo by BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • America in Afghanistan

    In the recently released Showtime documentary “Kingdom of Silence” by Alex Gibney and Lawrence Wright, I made the statement that with hindsight the U.S. may have been better off never having occupied Afghanistan. That comment has brought some questions and responses, so let me be clear about what I mean and why.

    October 5, 2020

    How Palestinians agreed on elections
    Mahmoud Abbas, President of the Palestinian Authority
  • Analysis
  • How Palestinians agreed on elections

    Fourteen years after the Palestinian pro-Islamist group Hamas won a majority of seats in the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) in 2006, Palestinians may finally be returning to elections as a mechanism to resolve their differences and to present a unified legitimate national leadership. In a sign of progress toward reconciliation, Palestinian leaders met in person and over teleconference on September 3 and vowed to address threats to the Palestinian national movement. Most recently, President Abbas, addressing the U.N. General Assembly on September 25, declared that presidential elections would take place soon.The question now will be whether a unified Palestinian policy, means of accomplishing it, and a new leadership can be born in the coming six months.

    October 1, 2020

    The benefits and challenges of UAE-Israel normalization
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The benefits and challenges of UAE-Israel normalization

    Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have initiated a process that, if it comes to fruition, will bring about the normalization of relations between the two countries. The broader geostrategic challenges that the agreement could pose for Israel and the UAE have not been part of the public discourse, however, and any balanced treatment requires a discussion of those aspects as well.

    Is the Israel-UAE agreement a game changer for Israel?
    Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is the Israel-UAE agreement a game changer for Israel?

    In an Aug. 13 tweet, U.S. President Donald Trump celebrated the Israeli-Emirati accord to normalize relations as a “HUGE breakthrough.” Israel’s integration into the region has been a goal of U.S. and Israeli foreign policy for decades, and the mid-August announcement was the first major official step in that direction in over 25 years. But is this really a game changer for Israel’s strategy in the Middle East?

    Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?
    Photo by MOHAMMED AL-RIFAI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Kata’ib Khattab al-Shishani: Fact or fiction?

    Foreign fighters have played a major role in Syria’s ongoing conflict, with a presence in the country that numbered in the tens of thousands at its peak. One of the most mythologized sources of foreign recruits has been Chechnya, the once-separatist province of Russia’s North Caucasus that was reconquered by the Russian army in the early 2000s. Several thousand Chechen fighters traveled to Syria to fight in various opposition and Islamist factions, where their battlefield prowess made them a prized commodity among Syrian rebel militants.

    September 16, 2020

    Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life
  • Analysis
  • Trump and the UAE give Abbas a new lease on political life

    A March 2018 poll by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research showed that satisfaction with the performance of President Mahmoud Abbas stood at 33 percent; 68 percent of the public wanted him to resign; and had elections been called, he would most likely have lost his presidency to a rival from Hamas.Nearly two and a half years later, however, and Abbas’s political fortunes have been restored, thanks in large part to the Trump administration and the United Arab Emirates

    September 10, 2020

    Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East
  • Analysis
  • Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East

    In a new briefing book released ahead of the U.S. elections in November, entitled Election 2020: Challenges and Opportunities for US Policy in the Middle East, MEI scholars lay out key issues across the region, highlight the U.S. interests at stake, and provide policy insights and recommendations for the path forward. 

    Russian and Chinese views on the Israel-UAE normalization deal
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russian and Chinese views on the Israel-UAE normalization deal

    On Aug. 14, Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) agreed to normalize diplomatic relations in exchange for a suspension of Israeli annexation plans in the West Bank. International reactions to this historic deal were sharply polarized, but the two main strategic rivals of the United States, Russia and China, responded cautiously to the announcement.

    August 27, 2020

    Jordan’s apparent neutrality conceals deeper discomfort with UAE-Israel deal
  • Analysis
  • Jordan’s apparent neutrality conceals deeper discomfort with UAE-Israel deal

    The leaders of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan have traditionally been known as masters at staying as neutral as possible, especially when it comes to inter-Arab relations. This was on clear display in Amman’s response to the recent UAE-Israel rapprochement.

    August 18, 2020

    Abraham abandoning the Palestinians
    Photo by Issam Rimawi/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Abraham abandoning the Palestinians

    The agreement signed yesterday by Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), in which the two countries agreed to a “full normalization of relations” in return for Israel suspending moves to formally annex parts of the West Bank, has reminded the Palestinians that they cannot count on the Arab states to deliver their freedom or safeguard their rights.

    August 14, 2020

    To recognize or not to recognize: EU recognition of Palestine
    Photo by Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • To recognize or not to recognize: EU recognition of Palestine

    Recognition of a Palestinian state is one of the potential responses European Union states are mulling in response to an Israeli annexation of territory in the West Bank, with the foreign minister of Luxembourg, for example, declaring such a move “inevitable” in the event of annexation.

    August 5, 2020