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The oncoming Saudi-Israeli normalization: Obstacles, opportunities, and the US role
Photo by JONATHAN ERNST/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The oncoming Saudi-Israeli normalization: Obstacles, opportunities, and the US role

    The normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel is looking increasingly likely, even if it does not take place in the immediate future. For Israel, normalizing relations with as many Arab states as possible — especially if it does not have to give up much in exchange — has always been a strategic goal. For the new Saudi Arabia, those ambitious goals strongly suggest opening up to the Israeli economy. 

    September 5, 2023

    A US security guarantee to Israel should help to advance Israeli-Palestinian peace, not avoid it
    Photo by DEBBIE HILL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A US security guarantee to Israel should help to advance Israeli-Palestinian peace, not avoid it

    It has been nearly 70 years since Israel first asked the U.S. to sign a bilateral defense treaty. Ever since then, the idea of a formal security agreement has resurfaced from time to time, only to be struck down, due to an understanding that it does not serve the two sides’ actual needs. Prime Minister Netanyahu is currently floating the idea once again, but the U.S. can make use of his interest in a security upgrade to revive a different idea instead: the decade-old security plan for the two-state solution, known as the Allen Plan.

    August 23, 2023

    Ben Samuels | 'Taking the Edge Off the Middle East' Ep. 3
  • Podcast
  • Ben Samuels | 'Taking the Edge Off the Middle East' Ep. 3

    Middle East Focus Presents: ‘Taking the Edge Off the Middle East’ with Brian Katulis

    A series of casual conversations with leading policy professionals on the most important happenings in the Middle East today – hosted by MEI VP for Policy Brian Katulis.

    Ben Samuels – U.S. correspondent for Haaretz – sits down with Brian to discuss how he got into journalism, the state of politics in Israel, and the country’s ongoing judicial overhaul. 

    *Note: this episode was recorded on June 8, 2023.

    A Saudi-Israel Deal Could Pay Dividends for the Global Economy
  • Commentary
  • A Saudi-Israel Deal Could Pay Dividends for the Global Economy

    The Biden administration is working on a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia that could be a game changer for the Middle East. Such an opening would show just how much the tectonic plates in the region are shifting away from regional tensions, civil wars, and threats from terrorism toward a new, more promising phase of greater stability and prosperity. 

    Five factors to watch in US diplomatic efforts on a possible Israel-Saudi deal
    Photo by AMER HILABI/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Five factors to watch in US diplomatic efforts on a possible Israel-Saudi deal

    Forging a deal establishing open, normal bilateral ties between Saudi Arabia and Israel would be a major feat with plenty of potential perils along the way — the diplomatic equivalent of climbing Mount Everest. If done right, the result would be historic and transformative for the Middle East with positive geopolitical repercussions. Here are five factors to watch as the Biden administration continues its efforts to produce a major diplomatic breakthrough in the region.

    Stabilizing instability: The challenges of Middle East peacebuilding
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Stabilizing instability: The challenges of Middle East peacebuilding

    The Middle East is experiencing a remarkable spate of diplomacy, de-escalation, and normalization. This is generally a positive development, as the region needs to take charge of its own destiny. But normalization and de-escalation does not always lead to meaningful conflict resolution; indeed, sometimes the reverse is true. What needs to be done so that this positive momentum can be the first phase of a more meaningful set of engagements to build a more lasting regional peace and integration?

    May 30, 2023

    Putting Diplomacy First in the Middle East: Creating Incentives for De-Escalation
    Photo by LUDOVIC MARIN/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Putting Diplomacy First in the Middle East: Creating Incentives for De-Escalation

    The Middle East is undergoing a historic transformation with unprecedented opportunities to build new relationships, de-escalate tensions, and foster conditions for stronger integration. At the same time, the region remains on edge because of ongoing tensions in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, and other conflict zones, a civil war that broke out recently in Sudan, along with the overarching challenges presented by fraught relations between Iran, Israel, and several Arab Gulf countries — with the longer-term implications of the still-fragile Iranian-Saudi rapprochement yet to be fully assessed.

    Joining the pieces together: Toward a comprehensive EU maritime approach for the Northwestern Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, and Red Sea
    Photo credit: ROBIN UTRECHT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Joining the pieces together: Toward a comprehensive EU maritime approach for the Northwestern Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, and Red Sea

    Until recently, the EU has favored a piecemeal approach toward the Northwestern Indian Ocean, the Gulf, and the Red Sea, despite their close interdependence and inter-connectedness in the security, political, and economic realms. But the EU is now signaling a growing desire to steer its naval policy toward a more holistic and organic process, creating an opportunity for Brussels to become a more relevant security actor in the waters off the Arabian Peninsula.

    May 9, 2023

    As fighting in Sudan rages, Russia’s primary goal is to ensure authoritarian rule
    Photo by IBRAHIM ISHAQ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As fighting in Sudan rages, Russia’s primary goal is to ensure authoritarian rule

    Although Russia has vested interests in the Burhan-Hemedti conflict, it is unlikely to actively pursue a blanket destabilization strategy in Sudan. Instead, it is likely to balance close ties with both warring parties and continue actively opposing a democratic transition in Sudan.

    May 3, 2023

    The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings
    Photographer: Samuel Corum/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The road to Marrakech: US-China tensions loom over IMF/WB spring meetings

    Last week’s spring meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington, D.C., were an important occasion for financial and economic leaders from the MENA region to meet with their counterparts from these IFIs and major bilateral donor countries. At the same time, they serve as a lead up to the important Annual Meetings that will be held in Marrakech, Morocco, in the fall — the first time they will be hosted by an Arab or African country.

    April 20, 2023