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Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections
Photo by Fethi Belaid/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Excluded candidates, marginalized dissent before Tunisia’s presidential elections

    Before Tunisian voters have their say in the presidential election on Oct. 6, state institutions have already had their say. The security services, judicial authorities, and the High Independent Electoral Authority (ISIE) have either obstructed or officially barred over a dozen potential candidates from running. Of the three eligible candidates officially approved by the ISIE, only President Kais Saied and former Saied supporter Zouhair Maghzaoui remain outside of prison. Candidate Ayachi Zammel was arrested on Sept. 6. Many other potential candidates attempted to run from prison or were jailed for alleged technical violations of election laws. By restricting the list of potential candidates effectively to two, state institutions have embraced their historically paternalistic, modernizing role toward a distrusted citizenry.

    September 17, 2024

    After Hezbollah’s retaliation, no broader war for now, but the conflict drags on
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • After Hezbollah’s retaliation, no broader war for now, but the conflict drags on

    On Aug. 25, Hezbollah retaliated for Israel’s assassination of senior commander Fuad Shukr on July 30, launching 340 rockets and tens of drones from southern Lebanon and the eastern Beka’a region. Hezbollah’s retaliation started shortly after Israel undertook what it called a “preemptive strike,” in which 100 fighter jets targeted Hezbollah military sites, including rocket launching platforms, to thwart a larger attack that, according to Israeli officials, involved up to 6,000 rockets.

    August 26, 2024

    Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war

    After 10 months of Israel’s war on Gaza, the US administration has lost control over its ally and the fear of its opponents. As a result, Washington has only limited, if any, impact on the cost-benefit escalation calculus of the fighting sides. The Middle East is today the closest it has ever been to an all-out multi-front regional war.

    Special Briefing: The regional impact of Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination
  • Commentary
  • Special Briefing: The regional impact of Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination

    In a new special briefing, scholars from across MEI weigh in with their thoughts on the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh and the potential regional impact.

    July 31, 2024

    Israeli Strikes and the Risk of Regional Escalation
  • Podcast
  • Israeli Strikes and the Risk of Regional Escalation

    This week’s episode looks at the dramatic regional developments of the past 24 hours, including the Israeli strike on a top Hezbollah commander in Beirut and the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. The strikes mark a significant escalation, and are expected to provoke retaliation from Iran and Hezbollah that could potentially ignite a wider regional conflict.

    July 31, 2024

    The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024
    Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024

    In reaction to the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel and the subsequent Gaza war, the Biden administration articulated six main objectives. After nine months of the Israel-Hamas conflict, which has repeatedly threatened to spill out into neighboring theaters, the Biden administration’s success toward achieving these goals has mostly declined, not for a lack of effort but rather a reflection of considerable challenges in the environment and major shortcomings in policy conceptualization and implementation.