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China and the Saudi-Iran rapprochement: Implications for Yemen
Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • China and the Saudi-Iran rapprochement: Implications for Yemen

    The conclusion of the China-brokered Saudi-Iranian détente on March 10, which aims to thaw long-standing enmity and manage competition between the two regional arch rivals, has multi-layered implications for Yemen.

    April 5, 2023

    The complex web of interdependence and threat balancing that prevents war between Iran and Azerbaijan
    Photo by Aziz Karimov/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The complex web of interdependence and threat balancing that prevents war between Iran and Azerbaijan

    Relations between Tehran and Baku have long had their ups and downs, but a recent series of events in late March have once again brought tensions to a boil. However, despite the mutual threat perceptions, the recurring tensions between the two countries have not gotten out of control and led to military conflict. In fact, over the past three decades, relations between Tehran and Baku have consistently followed a cycle of escalating and de-escalating tensions.

    April 4, 2023

    Can the West Stop Russian-Iranian Convergence?
    Photo by YURI KOCHETKOV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can the West Stop Russian-Iranian Convergence?

    More than a year on from the beginning of the Ukraine war in February 2022, there is no more business as usual for Russia-Iran relations. While bilateral ties are still characterized by an intense focus on security and defense, the two sides are opening multiple new areas of cooperation as well. But what has motivated Moscow and Tehran to invest in strengthening their bilateral relations given all the potential risks and costs? Could conflicts of interest and competition put a crack in this burgeoning relationship? And what can the West do about it?

    April 3, 2023

    Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks
    Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why the Iranian public remains silent in the face of Israeli attacks

    The silence from Iran is deafening. Judging by social media reactions and media reports from Iran, few, if any, members of the Iranian public seem to care that, since 2011, the Israeli air force has attacked Iranian and Iranian-affiliated positions in Syria on more than a thousand occasions, reportedly killing a number of Iranian members of the IRGC.

    March 29, 2023

    How Tehran views the Iranian-Saudi agreement
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How Tehran views the Iranian-Saudi agreement

    Two weeks ago, on March 10, Iran said it would restore diplomatic relations with Saudi Arabia after a seven-year rupture as part of a deal brokered by China. The agreement, reached in Beijing, is the result of almost a year and a half of mostly quiet talks between Iran and Saudi Arabia, facilitated by a host of countries including China, Iraq, Oman, Russia, and the United States.

    March 24, 2023

    Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on
    Photo by Wathiq Khuzaie /Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iraq and the naivety of change, 20 years on

    The painful reality is that Washington’s hastily cobbled together ethno-sectarian political system for post-2003 Iraq ended up doing the opposite of what it intended. The regional domino effect was also the opposite of what the U.S. had hoped for, as Iraq became a cautionary tale that regimes could use to undermine the democratic desires of their own populations.

    March 20, 2023

    Economic Diversification, Energy Transition, and the Labor Market in Iraq and the Gulf
    Photo by ASAAD NIAZI/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Economic Diversification, Energy Transition, and the Labor Market in Iraq and the Gulf

    As part of a continued collaboration with the Middle East Peace and Security Forum held in Iraqi Kurdistan at the American University of Kurdistan, the Middle East Institute and the Iraq Policy Group held a workshop on Nov.15, 2022 focusing on challenges of economic diversification, energy transition, and impacts on labor markets in Iraq and the Gulf region. This report provides the insights and analyses of a select group of participants from the workshop.

    Iraq’s new geopolitics and the importance of regional engagement: A view from Brussels
    Photo by Royal Hashemite Court/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s new geopolitics and the importance of regional engagement: A view from Brussels

    Despite Iraq’s systemic and ongoing domestic instability, division, and foreign interference, there are fragile but hopeful signs of de-confliction and de-escalation. These include important efforts that a number of international actors as well as the government in Bagdad itself have been making to turn Iraq into a platform for regional engagement.

    Bafel in Baghdad: Finding the contours of the PUK’s strategy in federal Iraq
    Talabani meeting with Maliki.
  • Analysis
  • Bafel in Baghdad: Finding the contours of the PUK’s strategy in federal Iraq

    Patriotic Union of Kurdistan leader Bafel Talabani is a frequent visitor to Baghdad, traveling to Iraq’s capital an estimated 35 times since the beginning of 2022 or more than once every two weeks on average. It is indicative of a deliberate strategy by the PUK to increase its activity within Iraq’s federal system, making it a priority, rather than merely an afterthought, to political affairs in the Kurdistan Region.

    March 13, 2023

    Youth dynamics and Iraq’s energy future
    Photo by ASAAD NIAZI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Youth dynamics and Iraq’s energy future

    The next few decades will be crucial for Iraq and the KRG as global changes reshape the energy sector. The push for sustainable development, the Paris Agreement climate goals, and associated efforts in areas like renewable energy, climate change, and environmental protection will bring about a transition across the sector, affecting everything from employment and working patterns to governance.

    March 9, 2023