Skip to Content

Research & Commentary Results

Filter by
1971 Results
Earthquake devastates southern Turkey, brings calamity to war-torn Syria
Photo by Zana Halil/ dia images via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Earthquake devastates southern Turkey, brings calamity to war-torn Syria

    Southern Turkey and northern Syria were struck by a crippling 7.8 magnitude earthquake at 4:17 AM, on Feb. 6. Twelve hours later, at least 2,400 people are known to have perished, with death tolls rapidly rising. This natural disaster could not have come at a worse time or struck a more vulnerable region — with notoriously poor construction in southern Turkey and the effects of more than a decade of brutal conflict still afflicting northern Syria.

    Something has to give in postwar Syria
  • Commentary
  • Something has to give in postwar Syria

    Syria’s crisis is set to enter its 13th year in March. Although the level of violence across the country remains relatively low today compared with earlier years, the crisis is a long, long way from over. Within Syria, at least six distinct conflicts involving internal actors and foreign governments are ongoing to this day, and all of them show more signs of escalating than calming down.

    Saudi Arabia’s proactive military strategy in southern Yemen is a risky gamble
    Photo by Saudi Kingdom Council/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s proactive military strategy in southern Yemen is a risky gamble

    Despite formal agreements and vast financial resources, Saudi Arabia has largely failed to integrate the various armed groups in Aden and southern Yemen under one national security sector. This adds to Riyadh’s ineffectiveness in establishing military-political influence in southern Yemen or in limiting the UAE’s continuing leverage. In an effort to boost its influence, since late 2022 Saudi Arabia has established new armed formations in Aden and nearby governorates, such as the Nation Shield Force.

    January 31, 2023

    A new momentum: Recalibrating Germany's foreign policy toward the Gulf monarchies
    Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A new momentum: Recalibrating Germany's foreign policy toward the Gulf monarchies

    Facing the profound challenge of trying to diversify its energy supply while a destabilizing war rages on in Ukraine, Germany has looked to several Gulf monarchies to forge new energy partnerships. Notwithstanding heated domestic debates over controversial topics such as their human rights record, Berlin should consider a more comprehensive strategic approach toward the Gulf monarchies that encompasses issues beyond energy supply, such as joint efforts in regional integration and development.

    January 20, 2023

    Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications
    Photo by Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Turkish-Syrian Re-engagement: Drivers, Limitations, and US Policy Implications

    A little over two weeks ago, the defense and intelligence chiefs of Turkey and Syria met face-to-face in Moscow — the first such meeting in over a decade. On the surface, this latest flurry of engagement with Assad’s regime is a major development. Were Turkey to decisively shift its Syria policy, the effects would be dramatic. Beyond the hype and speculation, Turkey’s decision to participate in the Moscow meetings is not altogether surprising and it does not represent a wholesale policy reversal. What has changed more recently is Turkey’s impending elections — and with them Erdoğan’s political calculations.

    Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge
    Photo by SAMEER AL-DOUMY/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Climate-induced migration in the GCC states: A looming challenge

    Gulf states are collectively investing billions of dollars in developing renewable energy. Yet climate change patterns in neighboring regions, combined with rising average temperatures, could eventually trigger more serious climate migration problems for the Gulf countries themselves.

    January 13, 2023

    Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Keeping up appearances: The Ukraine war’s effect on Russian deployments in Syria

    As Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine turned into protracted positional and attrition warfare, often speculative reports emerged about the imminent reduction of the Russian military presence in Syria. Several factors may explain the changes in the Russian military presence in Syria and its future.

    The Houthis' embargo on Yemen's oil exports
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthis' embargo on Yemen's oil exports

    On Nov. 21, the Iranian-backed Houthi militia launched a drone attack against the Dhabba Oil Terminal in Yemen’s Hadramawt Governorate. The threat of further attacks on oil ports and military targets remains high as the militant group tests the tolerance and response of Yemen’s government and the international community while increasing its demands.

    December 9, 2022