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Putting Egypt-Turkey relations on a sustainable footing
Photo by Osmancan Gurdogan/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Putting Egypt-Turkey relations on a sustainable footing

    Turkey and Egypt, two influential regional players with a complex history of cooperation and conflict, are now working on mending their ruptured ties. As officials navigate this process, it is essential to identify practical steps to capitalize on the diplomatic breakthrough. Sustainable peace can only be ensured by shifting the focus from political ideology to shared interests. One way to do that is by creating an inclusive, multi-track process that involves state institutions, businesses, NGOs, academics, and the grassroots.

    August 29, 2023

    The Niger Coup and Turkey’s Military Industrial Complex in Africa
  • Commentary
  • The Niger Coup and Turkey’s Military Industrial Complex in Africa

    The recent military coup in Niger marks the point of no return for the unraveling of France’s dominant economic and military influence across West Africa. Turkey is the foreign actor that stands to benefit most, with the potential to emerge as a leading strategic partner for the nations of the region. Turkey’s engagement with West Africa is a unique, dual approach that blends military and economic engagement while deftly intertwining humanitarian aid and cultural outreach.

    Saudi Arabia’s Deterrence Options Against Iran
    Photo by Ryan Olson/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s Deterrence Options Against Iran

    Of all the challenges to Saudi Vision 2030, arguably none is greater than Iran’s threat to Saudi national security. To succeed, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman must protect the kingdom, which will require not only fortifying its defenses against further Iranian and Houthi attacks but also establishing a level of deterrence against Tehran.

    August 28, 2023

    Building back better with gender in mind: Centering Turkey’s women and girls in earthquake recovery
    Photo by Boris Roessler/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Building back better with gender in mind: Centering Turkey’s women and girls in earthquake recovery

    Gender-blind development policies leave women and girls behind and exacerbate their vulnerabilities before, during, and after disasters, as was made clear by the Feb. 6, 2023 earthquake that struck southeastern Turkey and northwestern Syria. By viewing disasters as gendered development problems, we can better understand the differential impact the Feb. 6 earthquake had on women and girls in Turkey and make more impactful policy recommendations.

    August 25, 2023

    The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals
    Photo by Vuk Valcic/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The dangerous precedent set by Tehran's recent international deals

    When discussing the recent deal between Tehran and Washington to release five American prisoners in exchange for Iran gaining access to $6 billion in seized assets in South Korea, Iranian officials use a specific key phrase: “honorable diplomacy.” According to Iranian officials, “honorable diplomacy” means dealing with America and Europe from a position of strength. They claim that, even after the brutal suppression of the 2022 protests, they have successfully used their leverage with foreign adversaries to win unexpected concessions — a claim that, while potentially exaggerated, points to an unprecedented series of developments in recent months.

    August 21, 2023

    Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances
    (Photo by Mohammad Noori/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Making sense of the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances

    Two years on from the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul, Afghanistan’s neighbors are increasingly concerned that their return to power has emboldened terrorist groups and networks, which are using the hospitable environment to regroup, rearm, and recruit substantially. The main question now for Afghanistan’s neighbors in the region, and the international community more broadly, is just how reliable the Taliban’s counterterrorism assurances to other states really are.

    August 18, 2023

    Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13
    Photo by Ali Hashisho/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Impossible choices and routine tragedies: The Syrian refugee crisis at 13

    There are currently over 5.34 million Syrian refugees dispersed in camps, collective shelters, and poor neighborhoods across Lebanon, Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt. Many make desperate attempts to find refuge in Europe. Instead of adopting repressive measures and discriminating against these individuals, the U.S. and European countries should work with regional partners and non-governmental organizations to limit the danger to refugees and IDPs.

    August 16, 2023

    The successes and failures of Turkey’s new economic team
    Photo by Mustafa Kaya/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The successes and failures of Turkey’s new economic team

    It has been two months since Turkey’s new economic team took over and some progress has been made. Market normalization has begun and the risk of a balance-of-payments crisis has been reduced. At the same time, however, inflation is gaining new momentum, the budget deficit is sharply worsening, and no reform agenda has yet been announced to tackle these threats.

    August 14, 2023

    Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit
    Photo by Borna News/Matin Ghasemi/Iran Images ATPImages/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran gleefully eyes the protests in Israel, looking for weaknesses to exploit

    As Israel grapples with fundamental questions of identity and societal fissures years in the making, Iran and its Axis of Resistance continue to employ their escalation-ready approach of pushing the envelope in multiple geographic theaters, launching cyber operations to foment disunity in Israeli society, and attempting to neutralize the regional gains Israel has made after signing the Abraham Accords with several Arab neighbors in 2020.

    August 3, 2023

    Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s renewed Africa policy: Raisi’s ambition and the perception of Western decline

    Amin Naeni discusses the revival of Iranian foreign policy with non-Western states, particularly African nations, in light of President Raisi’s recent visit to the continent. Additionally, the piece touches upon how this process has differed between Raisi versus Ahmadinejad, and whether Raisi’s Africa policy will prove any more successful than his predecessor’s.

    July 31, 2023

    Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran
    Photo by Murat Kula/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Realigning priorities: Egypt's strategic shift toward Qatar, Turkey, and Iran

    While some analysts attribute Egypt’s realignment toward Turkey, Qatar, and Iran to a change in the foreign policies of its influential allies, the UAE and Saudi Arabia, it can be argued that Egypt’s shift is primarily motivated by its domestic dynamics and its unfulfilled foreign policy objectives between 2014 and 2018. Egypt’s realignment, in that sense, seeks to achieve multiple unmet domestic and regional aims.

    July 25, 2023