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Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions
Photo by Sylvain CORDIER/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Protracted conflict on Yemen’s island of Socotra reflects rival geopolitical ambitions

    On April 30, roughly a week after the Southern Transitional Council (STC) declared self-administration in Aden, a military confrontation broke out on the remote Yemeni island of Socotra between members of the STC and government forces. After just a few days, the situation was diffused when the island’s governor and the STC asked the Saudis to intervene. Although an agreement was reached quickly, it is likely to be fragile because the causes of the conflict are not entirely local. The island of Socotra is simply too important to multiple international players that are not willing to let it easily slip outside their sphere of influence.

    May 8, 2020

    Is Idlib set for internal strife?
    Photo by OMAR HAJ KADOUR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Is Idlib set for internal strife?

    With its territory under increasing pressure, its finances dwindling, and manpower more challenged than ever, HTS’s ability to balance its extremism with controlled uses of pragmatism is under strain. Internally, its leadership is bitterly divided over decisions of the past, present, and future and externally, its rivals and enemies all appear to be conspiring against it. In an attempt to protect internal cohesion, HTS has become determinedly self-assertive in recent weeks, pursuing unpopular policies such as trading with the regime and lashing out at those brave enough to express their dissatisfaction. In response to HTS aggressions, a wider array of opposition voices — both moderate and Islamist — are declaring loudly that HTS now represents a threat to their revolution.

    Protest movements in Algeria, Iraq, and Lebanon during COVID-19
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Protest movements in Algeria, Iraq, and Lebanon during COVID-19

    Vish Sakthivel, Hafsa Halawa, and Nour El-Achi join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on protest movements in Algeria, Iraq, and Lebanon. While each case is unique, all three movements are pushing for sweeping reforms of the corrupt political system, a change in the ruling elite, and improved state services.

    April 30, 2020

    Can corona diplomacy cure Turkey’s foreign policy isolation?
    Photo by Ali Balikci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Can corona diplomacy cure Turkey’s foreign policy isolation?

    Even before the coronavirus upended life around the world, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was already grappling with a host of problems. Then COVID-19 hit the country. Many argue the virus will exacerbate Erdogan’s problems but where others see a problem, Turkey’s president sees an opportunity. He is using the crisis to undercut the opposition, distribute government contracts to his loyalists, and punish his critics. Erdogan is relying on the virus to score foreign policy points as well. Sending medical aid to its neighbors and beyond helps assert Turkey’s leadership and improves its shattered image. The coronavirus likewise provides an excuse to remove a long-time irritant in Ankara’s ties with Washington and perhaps end its isolation in the region.

    Supporting refugee communities during the pandemic
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Supporting refugee communities during the pandemic

    Basma El Husseiny (Action for Hope) and Samar El Yassir (Anera) join guest host Lyne Sneige to discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on refugee communities and the NGOs that work with them.

    April 24, 2020

    Gen. Joseph Votel on US military challenges in the Middle East
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Gen. Joseph Votel on US military challenges in the Middle East

    MEI Distinguished Senior Fellow Joseph Votel, a retired four-star general in the Army and former commander of U.S. Central Command, joins host Alistair Taylor to discuss the challenges facing American forces in the Middle East today, from COVID-19 and ISIS to the turbulent situations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    April 22, 2020

    US-Iran tensions in Iraq and the effect on civil society
    Photo by HUSSEIN FALEH/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • US-Iran tensions in Iraq and the effect on civil society

    As the protests have raged, the Iraqi government has implemented a new policy in its application of rules and regulations monitoring civil society organizations (CSOs). The militias’ violent response to the protests has been well-documented; however, the more covert attack on civil society threatens civic engagement among the population more broadly. 

    April 21, 2020

    Turkey’s Dangerous New Exports: Pan-Islamist, Neo-Ottoman Visions and Regional Instability
    Ozan Kose/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Turkey’s Dangerous New Exports: Pan-Islamist, Neo-Ottoman Visions and Regional Instability

    There is certainly no shortage of writings on Turkey today regarding that country’s “drift” away from its Western orientation. Some who espouse this argument frame the consequences in terms of Turkey’s increased ties to China. While Turkey itself has launched an “Asia Anew” policy, the outsized focus on this and other alleged signs of Turkey’s “drift from the West” distracts from the very palpable effects of its adventurism in the Middle East, North Africa, and Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey’s increasingly reckless foreign policy is on full display — from weaponizing refugees to extort the European Union to exporting mercenary Jihadist fighters to Libya. These are hardly the actions of a responsible regional power, much less a key member of the NATO alliance. 

    April 21, 2020

    Mosul’s Book Forum: Rebuilding minds one book at a time, even under lockdown
    Photo courtesy of UNESCO
  • Analysis
  • Mosul’s Book Forum: Rebuilding minds one book at a time, even under lockdown

    The spiritual cousin to the Shabandar Café — Baghdad’s literary heart that survived being bombed by extremists in 2007 — Mosul’s Book Forum is both an intellectual refuge and a laboratory for discussion and cultural expression.

    April 21, 2020

    Diversify and expand: Turkey’s drive towards natural gas security
  • Analysis
  • Diversify and expand: Turkey’s drive towards natural gas security

    President Recip Tayyip Erdogan has sought to dramatically reorient Turkey’s role and relationships in the region. Gradually at first but then abruptly, he has pivoted from the Republic’s historical status as a key member of the transatlantic alliance towards new partnerships – including Russia. Erdogan has consistently aimed for freedom in executing his foreign policy agenda, of which energy concerns are pivotal. It remains to be seen whether this hard-sought autonomy will be limited or expanded by Turkey’s domestic energy needs and its prime position as a hydrocarbon transit state.

    April 16, 2020