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Iraq: No clear path out of the crisis
Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi speaks during extraordinary cabinet meeting after he handed his resignation letter to the parliament, in Baghdad, Iraq on November 30, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq: No clear path out of the crisis

    There is no end in sight to Iraq’s political crisis even though Parliament unanimously voted to remove Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi on Sunday. Abdul-Mahdi now tends a caretaker government while Iraq’s political leaders are interpreting the country’s constitution to give President Barham Salih 15 days starting from Nov. 30 to name a new prime minister.

    US-Taliban talks are back on but little has changed
    US President Donald Trump holds a bilateral meeting with Afghan's President Ashraf Ghani at Bagram Air Field during a surprise Thanksgiving day visit, on November 28, 2019 in Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • US-Taliban talks are back on but little has changed

    President Donald Trump’s lightning fast roundtrip to Bagram airbase north of Kabul had its share of surprises. In addressing troops, he confirmed previous reports that talks are once again underway with the Taliban, but then went on to inject a ceasefire as a condition for a new agreement.

    Iraq’s protests continue in force amid political turmoil
    Iraqi protesters chant slogans during a demonstration in Baghdad's al-Rasheed street near al-Ahrar bridge on November 24, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq’s protests continue in force amid political turmoil

    Although 350 Iraqis have died to date and close to 16,000 have been wounded, protesters are not going home. Yet, most of the ruling clique is still rejecting the idea of forcing the prime minister to resign.

    November 25, 2019

    A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?
    Security stands guard at the Ghani headquarters on September 29, 2019 in Kabul, Afghanistan.
  • Commentary
  • A prisoner swap with the Taliban, but will it lead to anything?

    Last week saw the Taliban’s release of two kidnapped professors in exchange for the Kabul government’s freeing of three prized Taliban prisoners. While the swap may have been necessary on humanitarian grounds, it was unfortunate otherwise. Rather than defending the swap on its own merits, Kabul and Washington are hailing the exchange as a possible breakthrough following the collapse of the Doha agreement and the stalling of planned intra-Afghan discussions.

    Breaking each other’s fingers: Kurdish parties nervously watch Baghdad — and one another
    President of Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government (KRG), Nechirvan Barzani (C), President of Iraq Barham Salih (R) and Speaker of the parliament Rewaz Faiaq (L) attend a meeting on the current developments in Iraq on November 05, 2019 in Erbil, Iraq.
  • Analysis
  • Breaking each other’s fingers: Kurdish parties nervously watch Baghdad — and one another

    Since early October, the southern provinces of Iraq have been consumed by protests and strikes. While ruthlessly attempting to suppress protests, the Iraqi government has promised legal and political reforms. Yet some of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq’s elites are suspicious that the government’s reform agenda is a “conspiracy” against Kurdish entitlements masquerading as a good faith effort to placate the protestors. The region’s hegemonic parties are concerned that legal, constitutional, and procedural reforms may overhaul the institutions that guarantee their positions of influence in the federal government and secure their territorial claims.

    November 22, 2019

    Pakistan’s anti-government protests put Khan in a bind
    Activists and supporters of Islamic political party Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (JUI-F) attend an anti-government
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan’s anti-government protests put Khan in a bind

    Pakistan’s capital, Islamabad, has been paralyzed in recent days by supporters of Maulana Fazlur Rehman and his Jamiat-Ulema-e-Islam (JUI-F), a well-entrenched Islamist party. The protestors are seeking the resignation of the military-backed Prime Minister Imran Khan and fresh elections, and the demonstration has emerged as an existential problem for Khan.

    November 9, 2019

    Political upheaval in Lebanon and Iraq
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Political upheaval in Lebanon and Iraq

    MEI’s Paul Salem and Randa Slim join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the nationwide protests that have swept through Lebanon and Iraq this week resulting in political and economic turmoil as well as crackdowns by security forces. Where do things go from here?

    October 31, 2019

    A crisis of confidence as Iraq’s protests continue amid violence
    Iraqi demonstrators stand at Tahrir Square in Baghdad during ongoing anti-government demonstrations on October 28, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • A crisis of confidence as Iraq’s protests continue amid violence

    Only one leader has the moral standing and mass appeal to be able to move Iraq out of the deadly stalemate in which it now finds itself and which may degenerate into more violence and chaos if the status quo is not upended: Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani.

    October 28, 2019

    Borders Beyond Borders: The Many (Many) Kurdish Political Parties of Syria
     A demonstrator makes the
  • Analysis
  • Borders Beyond Borders: The Many (Many) Kurdish Political Parties of Syria

    The launch of Turkey’s military incursion into northern Syria on Oct. 9 represents an existential threat for the Autonomous Administration in Northeast Syria (AANES) and Kurdish parties in Syria as a whole, prompting Kurdish political factions, both within Syria and abroad, to reevaluate their survival strategies and alliances. This report explores the various political factions within the Kurdish coalitions in Syria as they functioned under the AANES and the major rifts between them. Even under these dire circumstances Kurdish political factions in Syria have responded to the Turkish invasion independently.

    October 25, 2019

    The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed
    Independent Election Commission (IEC) workers sit at a computer terminal while election information from all over the country is gathered at the Data Centre in Kabul on October 2, 2019. - Voter participation in last weekend's Afghan presidential election will be much less than a third, the country's Independent Election Commission said on October 1, marking a record-low turnout. (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR / AFP) (Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The US eyes the exit as Afghan election results are once again delayed

    In a move that surprised no one, on Oct. 19 the Afghan election commission said it was unable to announce the preliminary results of the Sept. 28 presidential election as planned, due to delays in processing biometric data. Held amid political uncertainty, terrorist violence, and general skepticism, the September election was the fourth presidential contest in Afghanistan since 2001, when the brutal Taliban regime was toppled in the wake of the Sept. 11 terror attacks on the United States.

    October 24, 2019

    Divide and Conquer: The Growing Hezbollah Threat to the Druze
    Cover photo: Druze men in the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights look out across the southwestern Syrian province of Quneitra, visible across the border on July 7, 2018. (Photo by JALAA MAREY/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Divide and Conquer: The Growing Hezbollah Threat to the Druze

    Deep political, familial, and religious ties have allowed Druze communities across the Levant to remain largely unified against external threats, but eight years of violence in Syria and a coordinated campaign by the regime and its allies now threaten to destabilize regional Druze politics and erode the sect’s political and military power. An Iranian-backed campaign by Hezbollah to incite inter-Druze violence in Lebanon has curtailed this unity, laying the groundwork for Hezbollah to expand into Syria’s Suwayda province with impunity.

    October 21, 2019