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هزینه سنگین حمایت حزب الله برای اقتصاد و امنیت ایران 
Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Commentary
  • هزینه سنگین حمایت حزب الله برای اقتصاد و امنیت ایران 

    در جمهوری اسلامی ایران, این فرضیه وجود دارد که حمایت از سازمان حزب الله در لبنان, امنیت و قدرت بازدارندگی ایران را افزایش داده است.  در عین حال, شواهد و قرائنی وجود دارند که نتایج انان برعکس این فرضیه را نشان می دهند.

    May 5, 2022

    Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus
    Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus

    Since late September 2021, Tehran and Baku have engaged in a process of de-escalation, largely focused on economic cooperation and regional transportation links. Such efforts should be welcomed, but underlying geopolitical tensions, especially the Iranian-Turkish competition for influence in the South Caucasus, can still derail them at any moment.

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse

    As the U.S. administration considers whether to remove Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign terrorist organization, understanding its nature, development, and ideology is essential to making an informed decision. There is much about it that differentiates it from a conventional armed force. One fundamental aspect of its ideology that until now has been overlooked is the doctrine of Mahdism.

    May 3, 2022

    How can Putin save face in Russia?
    Photo by YEVGENY BIYATOV/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How can Putin save face in Russia?

    As the conventional war in Ukraine continues and military operations intensify, Russian President Vladimir Putin is wrestling with the need to maintain his fight in Ukraine while demonstrating to the Russian people that he is winning in the following three key areas: land, security, and identity.

    May 3, 2022

    Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine
    Photo by Stringer/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine

    Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned into the largest testing ground for ballistic and cruise missiles in modern warfare. Militaries around the world are watching carefully, and Iran is certainly no exception. With its military doctrine heavily dependent on ballistic missile forces, Iran has a particular interest in the war in Ukraine and is taking notes on Russia’s use of missiles.

    May 2, 2022

    Tunisia’s food shortages shine a spotlight on its core economic failings
    Photo by ANIS MILI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Tunisia’s food shortages shine a spotlight on its core economic failings

    President Kais Saied’s war on speculation is attempting to direct the focus of people’s anger about food shortages onto speculators. A recent emergency importation of grain has stayed off the emptying of shelves, but as the country’s treasury empties and eventually products begin to disappear from stores again, the people’s patience and faith in his new political project will wear very thin. For now, he is profiting from national exhaustion, but how long till hunger becomes anger and anger becomes a movement?

    April 28, 2022

    Pairing renewables with energy storage could help MENA states to realize their green goals
    Photo by FADEL SENNA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pairing renewables with energy storage could help MENA states to realize their green goals

    MENA countries are currently home to nearly 15% of the world’s installed energy storage capacity, but this total will need to grow to enable variable renewable energy systems to be integrated into the region’s power grids in a flexible and stable manner.

    April 26, 2022

    Has Imran Khan’s ouster opened a Pandora’s box in Pakistan?
    Photo by ARIF ALI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Has Imran Khan’s ouster opened a Pandora’s box in Pakistan?

    Khan’s removal has served to galvanize and perhaps even expand his support base and his opponents among the senior brass of the army and in the political class have unwittingly rehabilitated his public image. As Khan’s political fortunes have improved, the new coalition government is struggling to handle the hot potato of a deteriorating economy and the army is facing criticism unprecedented in recent years.

    April 26, 2022

    A sharp rise in inflation forces Egyptians to cut expenses
    Photo by Ahmed Gomaa/Xinhua via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A sharp rise in inflation forces Egyptians to cut expenses

    While the holy month of Ramadan is known for increased food consumption in Egypt and other Muslim-majority countries, Elham Mohamed, 40, a government employee, said it was very difficult for her just to make ends meet this year. “I had to give up many of the items I usually buy during Ramadan,” she said. “Prices have gone crazy. Even the basics, such as bread, rice, sugar, flour, eggs, and cooking oil, have all gone up,” she added.

    April 25, 2022

    The Biden administration promises US LNG for Europe. How does that work?
    Photo by Mark Felix/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Biden administration promises US LNG for Europe. How does that work?

    On March 25, 2022, President Joe Biden announced an agreement committing the U.S. LNG industry to supply an additional 15 bcm of LNG to Europe through the remainder of the year. The agreement also envisions U.S. LNG increasing supply to Europe to 50 bcm through 2030, equating to approximately one-third of the EU’s gas imports from Russia in 2021.

    April 21, 2022

    Europe and the Middle East after Ukraine: A strategic reorientation
    Photo by Thierry Monasse/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Europe and the Middle East after Ukraine: A strategic reorientation

    Contrary to the expectations of many, including Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has not divided Europeans. Instead, Putin’s aggression has forged a remarkable consensus. The tectonic shift in Europeans’ worldview caused by the long-feared “war in the east” will have a major impact on security strategy and military investments. It will also have long-lasting consequences, including for Europe’s relations with the Middle East.

    April 19, 2022