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A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war
Photo by HOSSEIN BERIS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war

    Israel’s targeted killing of Hezbollah military leader Fuad Shukr in Beirut and Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran are explosive events for the region. Coming within 12 hours of each other, they were also an earthquake within the “Axis of Resistance” — but not one likely to encourage de-escalation. Far from it.

    Russia and China’s differing engagements with the Houthis
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia and China’s differing engagements with the Houthis

    Although Russia and China are in regular dialogue with the Houthis, the motivations that undergird the engagements of both countries differ markedly. The Houthis regard both Russia and China as partners against American unilateralism but have a warmer relationship with Moscow.

    July 29, 2024

    Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities
  • Commentary
  • Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities

    The recent Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv, which struck an Israeli apartment building near the Embassy of the United States, killing at least one person, should surprise no one. And the fact Israel’s state-of-the-art air defense could not prevent it will probably embolden future attempts.

    The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea
    Photo by Al-Joumhouriah channel via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea

    The Houthis’ latest political and military moves are setting them on a collision course with the United Arab Emirates in the broader Red Sea region.

    July 16, 2024

    Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions
    Photographer: Islam Safwat/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Wide gap between the Egyptian government’s rosy figures and the economic hardship suffered by millions

    For Egyptian officials, June should have been a month to celebrate. And yet none of the seeming macroeconomic successes that the government recorded brought much reassurance to the average Egyptian, who has continued to experience currency shortages, an unreliable energy grid, and fears of a resurgent spike in inflation.

    July 12, 2024

    New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control
    Photo by DIRK WAEM/BELGA MAG/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • New EU aid and investment in Egypt linked to migration control

    On June 29, at an aid and investment conference in Cairo, Egypt and the EU reached a €1 billion investment deal, and over 20 MoUs, collectively worth approximately €40 billion in private investment, were signed on the sidelines. Little mention has been made of migration in the new European agreement with Egypt, but there is little doubt that it is a pivotal factor.