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The Failure of ISIS’s Ramadan Offensive
  • Analysis
  • The Failure of ISIS’s Ramadan Offensive

    If the hallmark of al-Qa‘ida was to execute simultaneous spectacular attacks to advance its strategic momentum, the month of Ramadan in June and July showed that the Islamic State (ISIS) is taking this tactic to a new level. Yet the extreme amounts of blood shed during the holy month will likely ultimately weaken ISIS, as tribes and other groups in Syria and Iraq, even more appalled by the organization’s barbarism, unite against it.

    August 6, 2015

    25 Years In Iraq, With No End In Sight
  • Analysis
  • 25 Years In Iraq, With No End In Sight

    This article was first published on NPR’s Parallels blog.

    It started so well. When Saddam Hussein’s Iraq invaded Kuwait on Aug. 2, 1990, the United States swiftly cobbled together a broad coalition, unleashed a stunning new generation of air power and waged a lightning ground offensive that lasted all of four days. Iraqi troops were so desperate to quit that some surrendered to Western journalists armed only with notebooks.

    August 4, 2015

    The Humanitarian Crisis in the Middle East: Highlights from the MEI Conference
  • Analysis
  • The Humanitarian Crisis in the Middle East: Highlights from the MEI Conference

    For decades, most refugee crises followed a pattern: A war erupted, usually in a poor country, and beleaguered civilians staggered across the nearest border. The United Nations organized a response, rich nations footed the bill, and aid groups sent in workers to tend to the needy. Even in extreme cases, such as the mass exodus from Afghanistan during the Soviet invasion in the 1980s, the crisis was largely confined to the country at war and a few immediate neighbors.

    July 9, 2015

    The Pillaging of Syria's Cultural Heritage
  • Analysis
  • The Pillaging of Syria's Cultural Heritage

    Since March 2011 Syria has gone through a traumatic process that has strained the ethnic, sectarian, and social fabric of the country—almost all that makes Syria a unified state with a people who share a common history, goals, and aspirations—to beyond the breaking point. Much of the country lies in ruins today, and its cultural heritage has been a deliberate casualty of the conflict from its earliest days.

    May 22, 2015

    Iraq's Leader Finds Friends in Washington, but Faces Battles at Home
  • Analysis
  • Iraq's Leader Finds Friends in Washington, but Faces Battles at Home

    This article was first published by NPR.

    When Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi weighs the pros and cons of running such a fractured country, here’s the upside: He can count on five separate military groups supporting his battle against the self-declared Islamic State.

    The downside is that he has limited control of these groups, and of much of his country.

    April 17, 2015

    The Hashd: Redrawing the Military and Political Map of Iraq
  • Analysis
  • The Hashd: Redrawing the Military and Political Map of Iraq

    Al-Hashd al-Sha‘bi—also known as the Popular Mobilization Units, the Shi‘i militias, or simply “the Hashd”—has joined Iraqi security forces and the Kurdish peshmerga to spearhead Iraq’s ongoing offensive against ISIS. The coordinated assault has scored significant successes in various parts of Diyala, Babil, and Salah al-Din, including the recapture of Tikrit. With this string of recent triumphs, the Hashd has provided a potent rallying point for a reinvigorated sense of Iraqi nationalism, albeit one with distinctly Shi‘i overtones.

    April 9, 2015

    Collection Spotlight: See No Evil
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Collection Spotlight: See No Evil

    Robert Baer’s See No Evil presents a firsthand account of the life of a CIA case officer in the war on terror. From recruiting agents in the volatile Bekaa Valley in Lebanon to wiretapping Abu Nidal students in France, Baer provides a fascinating description of his CIA service.

    April 6, 2015

    The Return of Iraqi Shi‘i Militias to Syria
  • Analysis
  • The Return of Iraqi Shi‘i Militias to Syria

    It has long been known that the Assad regime, facing a shortage of manpower in its regular army, has had to rely on irregular paramilitaries in its bid to reverse rebel advances. This became particularly apparent in 2013, when Hezbollah openly declared its participation in the capture of Qusayr, a town in Homs Province on the border with Lebanon.

    March 16, 2015

    Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq
  • Analysis
  • Sovereignty, the Hezbollah Model, or Dissolution: Managing Factional Forces in Iraq

    When the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) overran Mosul last June, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the preeminent Shi‘i cleric in Iraq, called for voluntary jihad. The outlook for the central government was bleak. Reports from the battlefronts, as well as threatening statements by ISIS leaders, suggested that the capital Baghdad could also fall to ISIS. The group repeatedly massacred its captives and systematically destroyed important religious and cultural sites.

    February 13, 2015

    The Case for Aiding Anbar
  • Analysis
  • The Case for Aiding Anbar

    I ran into some Anbaris in Washington this week. All of them have lost friends or relatives in the fight against Islamist extremism in one form or another. They had interesting things to say.

    January 23, 2015