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The two pillars of the Abraham Accords
Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The two pillars of the Abraham Accords

    It has been a year since the August 2020 announcement of the Abraham Accords, which normalized diplomatic relations between the UAE and Israel. The accords were later signed at a White House ceremony attended by President Donald Trump that September. In less than a year the UAE and Israel swiftly exchanged ambassadors. This was the highlight of the first year of normalizing relations between Tel Aviv and Abu Dhabi. During their first year the accords also successfully passed the unexpected, brutal test of the 11-day military escalation between Israel and Hamas that began in late May 2021.

    August 12, 2021

    After 18 years, Palestinian families can finally live together: The end of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law
    Photo by MENAHEM KAHANA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • After 18 years, Palestinian families can finally live together: The end of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law

    The expiration of Israel’s 2003 citizenship law early last month has finally ended the suffering of roughly 30,000 Palestinian families and paved the way for their reunification. Despite the efforts of the Zionist political parties to renew the law, the abstention from voting of the two Arab Palestinian Knesset members from the United Arab List — which, for the first time, is represented in Israel’s new coalition government — blocked the majority needed to extend the long-standing “temporary” law, which subsequently expired on July 6. While this is welcome news for many Palestinian families, the defeat of this notorious law is by no means a panacea. Until there is real change in Israel, Palestinians, both those who are citizens of Israel as well as those in the occupied territories, will continue to face legal obstacles when it comes to obtaining their basic rights.

    August 10, 2021

    The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications
    Indonesian Terrorism Links
  • Analysis
  • The Pro-Al Qaeda Indonesian Connection with HTS in Syria: Security Implications

    Despite being largely low-key and limited in nature, ties between pro-Al Qaeda jihadists operating in Indonesia and Syria respectively continue to exist. Recent activity involving Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) and other militant Indonesian groups illustrates the potential security risks from this nexus, which should not be overlooked.

    August 10, 2021

    A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • A Comprehensive Review of the Effectiveness of US and EU Sanctions on Syria

    The subject of Western sanctions on Syria is a divisive one among analysts and policymakers interested in ending the misery of the country’s citizens. The division comes at a time when, more than ever, the country needs a comprehensive policy that ends the agony of most Syrians. This study assesses the effectiveness of the sanctions imposed on the regime of Bashar al-Assad by conducting a comprehensive review of their history, evaluating shortcomings in the current setup, and recommending ways to move forward.

    August 6, 2021

    The EU and the Syrian conflict: A decade on, what comes next?
    Photo by VIRGINIA MAYO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The EU and the Syrian conflict: A decade on, what comes next?

    EU institutions and individual member states remain committed to the peaceful settlement of the Syrian conflict, but after 10 years the question of what to do next seems most pressing. Will the EU be a passive bystander, idly watching the actions of other international players like Russia, China, Iran, or Saudi Arabia, or will it take on a more active role? And what would such a role look like?

    July 30, 2021

    An Indo-Abrahamic alliance on the rise: How India, Israel, and the UAE are creating a new transregional order
    Photo by JACK GUEZ/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An Indo-Abrahamic alliance on the rise: How India, Israel, and the UAE are creating a new transregional order

    There is a new and little noticed geostrategic alliance on the rise. India, Israel, and the UAE have had surface-level, transactional relations for a long time. However, last year’s normalization agreements between Israel and several Arab states — chief among them, the UAE — along with Turkey’s bid to return as the leader of a Muslim order and the growing distance between the UAE and Pakistan have created an unlikely and unprecedented “Indo-Abrahamic“ transregional order. This emerging multilateral pact may fill the gap the United States is leaving in the Middle East and has the potential to transform the region’s geopolitics and geoeconomics.

    Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah’s Regional Activities in Support of Iran’s Proxy Networks

    As a Lebanese actor ideologically tied to Iran, Hezbollah has multiple allegiances and objectives that do not always align symmetrically. Hezbollah’s regional activities are a reflection of the group’s increasingly close alignment with Iran, rather than the interests of the Lebanese state or citizenry. Today, Hezbollah’s regional adventurism is most pronounced in its expeditionary forces deployed in Syria and elsewhere in the region, but no less important are the group’s advanced training regimen for other Shi’a militias aligned with Iran, its expansive illicit financing activities across the region, and its procurement, intelligence, cyber, and disinformation activities. Together, these underscore the scale and scope of the group’s all-in approach to transforming from one of several Lebanese militias into a regional player acting at Iran’s behest.

    July 26, 2021

    روسيا تنهي مهمة إعادة هيكلة الجيش السوري.. بعد الفشل
    Photo by ANDREI BORODULIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • روسيا تنهي مهمة إعادة هيكلة الجيش السوري.. بعد الفشل

    منذ بداية الانتفاضة السورية مايو 2011 وحتى صيف العام 2015، فشلت الميليشيات الإيرانية إلى جانب الجيش السوري والميليشيات المحلية في إعادة السيطرة على البلاد، على الرغم من العدد الهائل لمجموع هذه القوات أمام المتمردين الذين كانت حركتهم فوضوية في مقابل أجهزة أمنية وقوات منظمة، حيث سيطرت هذه القوات المتمردة على النظام السوري مساحات واسعة من سوريا.

    July 20, 2021

    Russia’s failed efforts to restructure the Syrian army
    Photo by ANDREI BORODULIN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s failed efforts to restructure the Syrian army

    The Russian military intervention in Syria in late 2015 brought about a clear change in the balance of power in the military, political, and psychological spheres. The Russian military, especially its air force, dramatically tipped the scales in the conflict between the armed opposition, the regime, and the Iranian militias. Moscow’s intervention was also accompanied by a project to regain control over the security and military situation in Syria, but this effort proved far less successful.

    July 20, 2021

    Going back to school on Palestinian textbooks
    Photo by HAZEM BADER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Going back to school on Palestinian textbooks

    It would be an understatement to say that the Georg Eckert Institute for International Textbook Research in Germany has written the book on how to analyze textbooks. The Institute has actually published many books — ones that are meticulous, detailed, and dispassionate. Now the Institute has published one more, this time on Palestinian textbooks.

    July 12, 2021

    إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • إيران خسرت أولى معاركها في القامشلي وحدود سيطرة جديدة فرضتها معركة حي طي

    في أواخر شهر نيسان إبريل الماضي، شهد حي طي الواقع جنوبي مدينة القامشلي في محافظة الحسكة السورية، اشتباكات عنيفة بين قوات “الدفاع الوطني” التابعة للنظام السوري وقوات “الأسايش” التابعة للإدارة الذاتية “الكردية”، هذه الاشتباكات انتهت باتفاق تم بين الطرفين برعاية روسية.

    Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s loss in Qamishli’s Tayy neighborhood results in a shift in the boundaries of control

    At the end of April, the Tayy neighborhood, in the southern part of the city of Qamishli in Syria’s Hasaka Province, witnessed violent clashes between the National Defense Forces (NDF) of the Syrian regime and the Internal Security Forces (Asayish) of the Kurdish Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES). The conflict ended with the negotiation of a permanent truce between the two parties under Russian auspices.