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The UAE's food-security plans have made it a global market player
Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The UAE's food-security plans have made it a global market player

    The two-month war between Russia and Ukraine has disrupted global food supplies, exposing the fragile state of food security across much of the Middle East and North Africa. Unlike those Mena nations struggling to secure cargoes of wheat and other staples, the UAE is in a better position, even though it currently imports 80 to 90 per cent of its food, thanks to its forward-looking food strategy during the past several years.

    Europe’s role in Gulf maritime security
    Photo by EMASOH
  • Analysis
  • Europe’s role in Gulf maritime security

    In February 2022, the Council of the European Union gathered in Brussels to discuss the extension of the Coordinated Maritime Presence (CMP) concept to the North-Western Indian Ocean. Its decisions constituted a rare consensus among E.U. member states that Gulf maritime security is a strategic interest for Europe as a whole.

    May 9, 2022

    هزینه سنگین حمایت حزب الله برای اقتصاد و امنیت ایران 
    Photo by Marwan Naamani/picture alliance via Getty Images.
  • Commentary
  • هزینه سنگین حمایت حزب الله برای اقتصاد و امنیت ایران 

    در جمهوری اسلامی ایران, این فرضیه وجود دارد که حمایت از سازمان حزب الله در لبنان, امنیت و قدرت بازدارندگی ایران را افزایش داده است.  در عین حال, شواهد و قرائنی وجود دارند که نتایج انان برعکس این فرضیه را نشان می دهند.

    May 5, 2022

    Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus
    Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran, Turkey, and the future of the South Caucasus

    Since late September 2021, Tehran and Baku have engaged in a process of de-escalation, largely focused on economic cooperation and regional transportation links. Such efforts should be welcomed, but underlying geopolitical tensions, especially the Iranian-Turkish competition for influence in the South Caucasus, can still derail them at any moment.

    Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and the Rising Cult of Mahdism: Missiles and Militias for the Apocalypse

    As the U.S. administration considers whether to remove Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign terrorist organization, understanding its nature, development, and ideology is essential to making an informed decision. There is much about it that differentiates it from a conventional armed force. One fundamental aspect of its ideology that until now has been overlooked is the doctrine of Mahdism.

    May 3, 2022

    Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine
    Photo by Stringer/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran is learning from Russia’s use of missiles in Ukraine

    Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned into the largest testing ground for ballistic and cruise missiles in modern warfare. Militaries around the world are watching carefully, and Iran is certainly no exception. With its military doctrine heavily dependent on ballistic missile forces, Iran has a particular interest in the war in Ukraine and is taking notes on Russia’s use of missiles.

    May 2, 2022

    We cannot ignore Syria’s emergence as a narco-state
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • We cannot ignore Syria’s emergence as a narco-state

    Syria has emerged in recent years as a narco-state of regional and possibly global significance. Having destroyed much of the country, crippled the national economy, and reduced itself to pariah status, Syria’s regime and core components of its security apparatus have fronted a secretive industrial complex for the manufacture of a popular amphetamine known as Captagon.

    US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads
  • Podcast
  • US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads

    Amb. Gerald Feierstein, Bilal Saab, and Karen Young join guest host Brian Katulis to discuss their recent MEI policy paper, US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration, and why they believe now is not the time to disengage from the region.

    April 15, 2022

    What would an Arab-Israeli military alliance mean for Iran?
    Photo by Israeli Foreign Ministry / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • What would an Arab-Israeli military alliance mean for Iran?

    In recent remarks, the Israel Defense Forces’ (IDF) Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi announced preparations for a potential upcoming military operation, foreshadowing a possible move against Iran. Kochavi’s announcement came shortly after Israel and the foreign ministers of four Arab nations — Morocco, Egypt, the UAE, and Bahrain — along with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, met at the Negev Summit in the Israeli desert to lay the foundation for a strategic military alliance to deter “Iran and its associated militias,” as Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid put it.

    April 13, 2022

    Iran-Africa relations under Raisi: Salvaging ties with the continent
    Photo by Iranian Presidency / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran-Africa relations under Raisi: Salvaging ties with the continent

    Since the beginning of his presidency, Raisi has called for increasing cooperation with Africa. Contrary to popular perception, this is not part of a hegemonic project to further expand Iranian influence in Africa. Rather, it constitutes an effort to reset relations with the continent after his predecessor spent eight years neglecting it.

    April 11, 2022

    The Yemen government reorganizes, but will it open the door to end the conflict?
    Photo by Saudi Kingdom Council/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • The Yemen government reorganizes, but will it open the door to end the conflict?

    At the conclusion of a week of Yemeni-Yemeni internal deliberations hosted by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in Riyadh, the government of Abdo Rabo Mansour Hadi announced sweeping changes meant to clear away obstacles to cooperation among the anti-Houthi forces in the country and, perhaps, open the door to negotiations to end the civil war now in its eighth year.

    April 7, 2022

    Saudi Arabia’s international natural gas aspirations
    Maya Siddiqui/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Saudi Arabia’s international natural gas aspirations

    Saudi Aramco seeks to enter the global gas business again. The company aims to build new business opportunities in the hydrogen and CCS sectors utilizing forecasted new domestic gas production. Its main challenges are long-term consistent commodity-cycle-insulated investment and domestic gas resources.

    April 6, 2022

    The keys to reading the UAE’s strategic map
    Photo by GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The keys to reading the UAE’s strategic map

    Some observers have been perplexed by perceived changes in the UAE’s foreign policy on a number of fronts. These supposed changes, however, are more consistent than they may first appear and certainly do not reflect the wider strategic direction of the UAE. These policy moves can be better understood through three “keys” that explain the UAE’s strategic map and its international engagement.

    April 5, 2022

    US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration
    Photo by JONATHAN ERNST/POOL/AFP via Getty Images.
  • Analysis
  • US-Gulf Relations at the Crossroads: Time for a Recalibration

    The global response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has focused new attention on friction between the United States and its traditional partners in the Gulf and reinforced skepticism regarding the United States’ status as the dominant international partner in the region. It’s time for both sides to identify a realistic way forward that sheds outdated notions of mutual obligation without becoming merely transactional.

    April 5, 2022