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Biden challenged to fortify US power in the Gulf
Photo by Mikhail Svetlov/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Biden challenged to fortify US power in the Gulf

    In the 19th century, the Gulf was a British lake. In the 20th century, American warships played an all but unchallenged role securing the safe and unfettered passage of oil to the West. As the 21st century progresses, the transition to a new era is unstoppable.

    April 20, 2021

    The road ahead for Libya
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The road ahead for Libya

    Jonathan Winer and Mirette Mabrouk join host Alistair Taylor to discuss Libya’s new interim government, the complex regional and international dynamics at play, and what Libya’s future might look like.

    April 16, 2021

    The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse
    Costfoto/Barcroft Media via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The role of algorithms in the persistent US-Iranian impasse

    Even if we assume that there is goodwill between the U.S. and Iran to improve relations, the power of algorithms will place major stumbling blocks in the way of efforts toward future normalization. A priori programming of foreign policy options and lines of argument have led to immutable algorithms causing the relationship between the two countries to calcify. On both sides, the key personalities who define national security, interpret events, and shape policies toward one another have had virtually no direct contact or experiences with each other’s country. They interpret events, extract meanings, react to one another, and delineate policies through prisms, images, metaphors, binaries, groupthink, and in the lexicon of artificial intelligence, algorithms.

    April 16, 2021

    The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution
    Photo by THOMAS PETER/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The China-Iran deal and the reinvention of the Iranian revolution

    The announcement of the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership (CSP), a 25 year-long economic and development agreement between China and Iran, has immediately added to the intensifying discourse concerning US-China Geostrategic Competition. Nonetheless, a closer look at its implications suggests that it may be useful in achieving some U.S. goals with Iran: particularly regime modernization.

    April 13, 2021

    فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد
  • Commentary
  • فيما يتعلق بإحياء خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة، لدى روسيا خطة ذات مسار مزدوج ومصلحة ثلاثية الأبعاد

    “يبدو الحفاظ على النسخة الأصلية من “خطة العمل الشاملة المشتركة” هو أفضل السُبُل لروسيا لمواءمة هذه الاعتبارات الثلاثة”.

    April 7, 2021

    محادثات سد النهضة تفشل من جديد، لكن تغيير الديناميكيات الإقليمية يمكن أن يوجد فرصًا جديدة
  • Commentary
  • محادثات سد النهضة تفشل من جديد، لكن تغيير الديناميكيات الإقليمية يمكن أن يوجد فرصًا جديدة

    ” يشهد السودان بروزًا في صورته الإقليمية، بينما تكثف مصر والسودان تعاونهما على الجبهات الدبلوماسية والاقتصادية والعسكرية”.

    Egypt: The Pandemic Experience in a Time of Reform
  • Analysis
  • Egypt: The Pandemic Experience in a Time of Reform

    Egypt announced its first COVID-19 fatality on March 8, 2020, a few months after concluding a “reform” program supported by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan it had obtained in 2016. The pandemic thus posed the first test for the IMF-prescribed economic and social policies adopted by the Government of Egypt. As this article will show, whereas the reforms helped propel economic growth in a time of global recession, they did not provide a strong social safety net for vulnerable families during the crisis.

    March 30, 2021

    Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon
    Photo by MOHAMED EL-SHAHED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Egypt should go green by putting a price on carbon

    It is time for Egypt to put a price on carbon. While Cairo has taken small steps toward developing a sustainability plan, it needs a bold idea to stop rising carbon emissions. Establishing a carbon exchange — or putting a price on carbon — would be good for the country and help make Egypt an environmental leader in the region.

    March 30, 2021