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From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy
President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan (C), President of Russia Vladimir Putin (L) and President of Iran Hassan Rouhani (R) shake hands as they pose for a photo after a joint press conference following the Turkey-Russia-Iran trilateral summit at Cankaya Mansion in Ankara, Turkey on September 16, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • From regime change to rapprochement? Turkey’s shifting Syria policy

    At a trilateral summit in Ankara earlier this week, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan sat back and ate treats as Iranian President Hassan Rouhani told the world that efforts to topple the Assad regime have failed. The scene was a stark reminder of how far Turkey’s Syria policy has shifted.

    Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: Attack on Saudi oil facilities has an impact far beyond the kingdom

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Ruba Husari, Paul Salem, Gerald Feierstein, Amal Kandeel, Grace Wermenbol, Robert S. Ford, Charles Lister, and Gonul Tol.

    September 16, 2019

    US negotiations with the Taliban: The cases for hope and skepticism
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • US negotiations with the Taliban: The cases for hope and skepticism

    Amb. Robin Raphel and MEI’s Marvin Weinbaum join guest host Jerry Feierstein to discuss the latest round of negotiations between the US and the Taliban and lay out their competing views on whether there is greater cause for optimism or pessimism as the US seeks to withdraw its troops after nearly twenty years in Afghanistan.

    September 6, 2019

    Pakistan on Kashmir: “They have colonized the territory”
    A security personnel stands guard on a street during a lockdown in Srinagar on August 11, 2019, after the Indian government stripped Jammu and Kashmir of its autonomy.
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan on Kashmir: “They have colonized the territory”

    MEI scholar Lawrence Pintak speaks to Sardar Masood Khan, the president of Pakistani-administered Kashmir, about India’s early August annexation of the semi-autonomous territory of Jammu and Kashmir.

    September 5, 2019

    From “compassionate Islamism” to “Turkey first”
    Syrian refugees who were suddenly deported from Turkey queue up to register with officials at the Bab al-Hawa crossing between Turkey and Syria's northwestern Idlib province on July 27, 2019. - More than 4,400 Syrians have been sent back via Bab al-Hawa so far in July 2019 -- against 4,300 in total in June, according to the crossing's spokesman. Since it started in 2011, the Syrian conflict left millions displaced at home and abroad, with some 3.5 million living in Turkey alone, according to the UN. (Photo
  • Analysis
  • From “compassionate Islamism” to “Turkey first”

    Debates about populism often lump Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan together with Donald Trump in the US, Vladimir Putin in Russia, and Viktor Orban in Hungary. All four are kindred spirits who have used the same tactics to gain and hold onto power. They stir up fear, divide societies, fuel social conflict, criminalize the opposition, and create internal and external enemies. On the issue of refugees, however, Erdogan has been the epitome of liberalism, setting him apart from his fellow populists.

    Monday Briefing: A mixed record for PM Khan’s first year in office
  • Analysis
  • Monday Briefing: A mixed record for PM Khan’s first year in office

    This week’s briefing on recent news and upcoming events in the region featuring Arif Rafiq, Ibrahim Jalal, Michael Sexton and Eliza Campbell, and Alex Vatanka.

    August 19, 2019

    US-Taliban talks won’t lead to lasting peace
    Afghan Taliban delegation attends the Intra Afghan Dialogue talks in the Qatari capital Doha on July 7, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • US-Taliban talks won’t lead to lasting peace

    Much has been written about the ongoing direct peace talks between U.S. Special Representative Zalmay Khalilzad and an Afghan Taliban delegation headed by Mullah Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai in Doha, Qatar. This article takes a closer look at the challenges to negotiating with the Afghan Taliban and lays out six reasons why the prospects for peace in Afghanistan still seem bleak.

    August 19, 2019

    The uneasy triangle between Turkey, the US, and the YPG
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • The uneasy triangle between Turkey, the US, and the YPG

    Turkey and the US recently announced an agreement for establishing a safe zone in northern Syria to serve as a buffer between Turkey and the YPG, which is seen by Ankara as a terrorist group and by Washington as a partner in the fight against ISIS. MEI’s Gonul Tol and Charles Lister join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how this policy may impact dynamics on the ground.

    August 16, 2019

    A not so progressive case for withdrawing from Syria
    American soldiers board a US Airforce C130 at Baghdad Airport.
  • Analysis
  • A not so progressive case for withdrawing from Syria

    Elizabeth Tsurkov has courageously put forward what she calls a progressive case for staying in Syria. I would regard myself as progressive but I’m not convinced, even if I would have supported many of her arguments in the past. In arguing for an indefinite presence in Syria, Tsurkov relies on the notion that staying gives the U.S. influence over Ankara and Moscow, serves as a counter to Tehran, and pressures the Assad regime, possibly even creating “internal fissures in its senior ranks” and causing “the Assad regime to institute reforms that would benefit all Syrians.” Those fissures and reforms have been desired for the past eight years but have not yet appeared. It would be easier to argue that withdrawal is more likely to cause them, and to pressure Ankara and Moscow into countering Tehran.

    August 8, 2019

    Assassinations could upset the status quo in Turkey-PKK conflict
     Turkish soldiers arrive operation site between Ikiyaka Mountains and Daglica by military helicopter as Turkish Armed Forces stage operation against PKK terrorists near Iraq border, in Hakkari, Turkey on August 15, 2017.
  • Analysis
  • Assassinations could upset the status quo in Turkey-PKK conflict

    Despite the fiery rhetoric, the long-time conflict between Turkey and the PKK has mostly been a controlled fight following tacit rules. But recent events, including Turkey’s increased efforts to assassinate PKK leaders and the targeted killing of a Turkish consulate official in the Iraqi Kurdish capital on July 17, risk overturning the status quo and ushering in a violent new era.

    August 6, 2019