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A military strike on Iran is the worst non-proliferation strategy
Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A military strike on Iran is the worst non-proliferation strategy

    Debates on a military solution to Iran’s nuclear program are heavily polarized between those arguing that a threat of war and a preventive non-proliferation military strike can be a solution and those arguing that military action will only accelerate Iran’s nuclear program. The truth is that it is highly unlikely that Tehran would abandon its nuclear program after a military strike.

    January 10, 2022

    How Saudi Arabia is forging ahead with its privatization drive
    Photo by Reza/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • How Saudi Arabia is forging ahead with its privatization drive

    Saudi Arabia’s leviathan sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), has recently sold a 5% stake in the Saudi Telecom Company (STC). The firm is the largest and most profitable in the regional telecoms sector. The 3.2B USD sale, completed in early Dec. 2021, is yet another step in Riyadh’s privatization drive as part of its Vision 2030 agenda, and highlights the growing role of the Kingdom’s domestic financial sector.

    January 6, 2022

    Strong momentum in Saudi Arabia’s drive toward renewables and infrastructure
    Photo by FAYEZ NURELDINE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Strong momentum in Saudi Arabia’s drive toward renewables and infrastructure

    Saudi Arabia’s strategy to push through its portfolio of clean and renewables assets was further strengthened in 2021 as the kingdom witnessed several project financings in the solar sector and launched the National Infrastructure Fund (NIF) to diversify its economy.

    January 4, 2022

    مخاوف خامنئي على مستقبل رجال الدين الإيرانيين (الجزء الثالث)
  • Commentary
  • مخاوف خامنئي على مستقبل رجال الدين الإيرانيين (الجزء الثالث)

    هذا هو الجزء الأخير من سلسلة مكونة من ثلاثة أجزاء

    عندما توفي آية الله روح الله الخميني، مؤسس جمهورية إيران الإسلامية، عن عمر يناهز 89 عامًا، تمتع هو والنظام الذي أسسه بدعم معظم رجال الدين رفيعي المستوى في البلاد.

    لكن خليفته، المرشد الأعلى آية الله علي خامنئي، البالغ من العمر 82 عامًا، يواجه وضعًا مختلفًا للغاية. فمن الواضح أن معظم كبار رجال الدين لا يؤيدونه، وقد تسبب “انحراف” الجيل الجديد من رجال الدين في مخاوف متزايدة داخل النظام.

    تكوين المراجع الدينية

    January 3, 2022

    The role of divination in Iranian governance
    Photo by Iranian Presidency/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The role of divination in Iranian governance

    Istikharah or divination, according to Islamic definitions, means to seek goodness and to consult God in various affairs. Istikharah is very common among Shiites, including bibliomancy, which involves randomly opening the Qur’an and reading the first verse on the page, or rosary divination. The use of istikharah has a long history in Iran, not only among the common people, but also among its rulers, who have used it to make decisions on the governance of the country, and this continues to the present day.

    December 20, 2021

    The enemy of my enemy: The US and Cuba-Iran ties
    Photo by YAMIL LAGE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The enemy of my enemy: The US and Cuba-Iran ties

    In September, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian spoke of the “unlimited” potential to expand Tehran-Havana ties, and both sides have highlighted the fields of medicine and agriculture as ideal areas for cooperation. While that might be the case, there is no denying that the Iran-Cuba partnership represents the coming together of two entirely different political models that above all rests on shared conflict with the United States.

    December 17, 2021

    مخاوف خامنئي على مستقبل رجال الدين الإيرانيين (الجزء الثاني)
  • Commentary
  • مخاوف خامنئي على مستقبل رجال الدين الإيرانيين (الجزء الثاني)

    هذا هو الجزء الثاني من سلسلة مكونة من ثلاثة أجزاء

    في السنوات الأخيرة، نُشِرت العديد من التحليلات حول النفوذ المتزايد للحرس الثوري الإسلامي داخل النظام الإيراني. لا شك أنه في العقدين الماضيين، ازدادت قوة الحرس الثوري في المجالات السياسية والاقتصادية والأمنية بشكل كبير، ومع تزايد عدد الشخصيات العسكرية أو العسكرية السابقة في إدارة الرئيس الإيراني الجديد، إبراهيم رئيسي، لا يتوقع سوى أن يتجه نفوذ الحرس الثوري نحو مزيد من التوسع.

    December 14, 2021

    Khamenei’s concerns over the future of the Iranian clergy (Part 3)
    Photo by Iranian Leader Press Office/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Khamenei’s concerns over the future of the Iranian clergy (Part 3)

    When Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, died at the age of 89, he and the regime he established enjoyed the support of most of the country’s high-ranking clerics. His successor, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, aged 82, faces a very different situation, however. Most senior clerics apparently do not support him, and the “deviation” of the new generation of clerics has caused growing concerns within the regime.

    December 14, 2021

    OPEC+: Locked in a Russia-US-Saudi triangle
    Photo by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • OPEC+: Locked in a Russia-US-Saudi triangle

    The events of recent months, including a series of critical statements by international players about the reluctance of OPEC+ to raise output beyond its established quotas, have clearly demonstrated the changing realities in the oil market. In addition to global uncertainty, the dynamics between Saudi Arabia, Russia, and the U.S., as well as the actions of Asian oil consumers, have become other key factors shaping the cartel’s behavior.

    A stranger among us: Iran's tightening grip on religious minorities
    Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A stranger among us: Iran's tightening grip on religious minorities

    For thousands of years, Iran has stood out as a culture that prized diversity and a place where religious minorities have flourished as independent communities. The Islamic Republic now seeks to change that, however, by implanting its own leaders inside different faith groups to protect and advance its interests.

    December 7, 2021

    Khamenei’s concerns over the future of the Iranian clergy (Part 2)
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Khamenei’s concerns over the future of the Iranian clergy (Part 2)

    In recent years, numerous analyses have been published on the increasing influence of the IRGC within the Iranian regime. Nevertheless, the rise in the power of the military should not overshadow the fact that in the Islamic Republic, not only the paramount position of supreme leader, but also many other key roles are held exclusively by clerics. Moreover, many of these clerics, including the highest-ranking ones, must be appointed by the supreme leader. This system was designed to ensure the loyalty of key officials, but over time has given rise to growing concerns over the reliability of the next generation of clerics and the transfer of power.

    December 6, 2021