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Nato must wake up to Russia’s nuclear power deal with Turkey
  • Commentary
  • Nato must wake up to Russia’s nuclear power deal with Turkey

    Ask Nato’s secretary-general to name the decision of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan that irks him the most and he’d probably say purchasing Russia’s S-400 missile defence system. But Nato has an even bigger problem when it comes to Turkey-Russia ties: the Akkuyu nuclear power plant. 

    Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts
    Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts

    As the Middle East becomes more autonomous and empowered domestically, the leaders in the region might consider more synergetic relations with each other and prepare national long-term plans that provide a balanced and integrated approach to social, technological, environmental, economic, and political development and progress.

    August 20, 2024

    Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities
    Photo by Diana Zeyneb Alhindawi/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Djibouti dodges scrutiny despite China, Iran, Houthi ties and links to illicit activities

    The Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea through the Gulf of Aden, is a crucial chokepoint for global maritime commerce. Despite the strait’s importance, the waters around it have long been plied by smugglers of weapons and other illicit goods. Djibouti today is an important player in trade in the Horn of Africa region, but it also serves as a conduit for Chinese influence, has been linked to malign actors like Iran and the Houthis, and has faced allegations of involvement in various grey and black market activities, including money laundering, illicit finance, oil smuggling, and weapons trafficking.

    August 7, 2024

    Powering up: Turkey-Iraq transmission line is part of a broader strategic shift
    Photo by THAIER AL-SUDANI/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Powering up: Turkey-Iraq transmission line is part of a broader strategic shift

    On July 21, 2024, Iraq inaugurated a new power line connecting Turkey and Iraq to handle Turkish electricity imports. Iraq is operationalizing this new power line with the goal of ensuring a more stable energy future, reshaping its geopolitical relationships, and reducing its reliance on Iran.

    August 7, 2024

    Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war

    After 10 months of Israel’s war on Gaza, the US administration has lost control over its ally and the fear of its opponents. As a result, Washington has only limited, if any, impact on the cost-benefit escalation calculus of the fighting sides. The Middle East is today the closest it has ever been to an all-out multi-front regional war.

    The impact of Turkish-Syrian normalization on the SDF
    Photo by DELIL SOULEIMAN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The impact of Turkish-Syrian normalization on the SDF

    As speculation continues about a possible Turkish-Syrian normalization, what might such a process mean for the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a close US ally? In a new piece for MEI, Amer al-Ahmed lays out three possible scenarios for the future of the SDF amid normalization.

    August 2, 2024

    A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war
    Photo by HOSSEIN BERIS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war

    Israel’s targeted killing of Hezbollah military leader Fuad Shukr in Beirut and Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran are explosive events for the region. Coming within 12 hours of each other, they were also an earthquake within the “Axis of Resistance” — but not one likely to encourage de-escalation. Far from it.

    Russia and China’s differing engagements with the Houthis
    Photo by Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia and China’s differing engagements with the Houthis

    Although Russia and China are in regular dialogue with the Houthis, the motivations that undergird the engagements of both countries differ markedly. The Houthis regard both Russia and China as partners against American unilateralism but have a warmer relationship with Moscow.

    July 29, 2024

    Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities
  • Commentary
  • Houthi drone strike on Tel Aviv illustrates unstoppable “democratization” of high-technological capabilities

    The recent Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv, which struck an Israeli apartment building near the Embassy of the United States, killing at least one person, should surprise no one. And the fact Israel’s state-of-the-art air defense could not prevent it will probably embolden future attempts.

    The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • Turkey is not “lost,” but it is time for other NATO allies to more strongly reengage

    Turkey’s loyalty to the Alliance is frequently questioned, including accusations of fence-sitting, especially when it comes to Russia. To ask, “Who lost Turkey?” is to misread the situation. Turkey is increasingly, albeit carefully, moving away from the Kremlin.

    July 23, 2024

    The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • The situation in the Red Sea is not getting better

    The current situation is not only intolerable – it is unsustainable. It is time to recognize that the Houthis, with strong and persistent support from Iran, are in a position to hold not only the US but virtually the entire global system hostage.

    The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea
    Photo by Al-Joumhouriah channel via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Houthi-UAE collision course in the Red Sea

    The Houthis’ latest political and military moves are setting them on a collision course with the United Arab Emirates in the broader Red Sea region.

    July 16, 2024