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CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Central Asian states look to Iran as they seek to expand regional transit corridors

    When Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, it prompted the Central Asian states, and others, to reconsider Iran’s potential role as a transit country. In a little more than two years, Central Asia’s view of Iran has changed from international pariah to key link in lucrative trade routes.

    July 9, 2024

    Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment
    Photo by UAE Presidential Court / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment

    Pakistan’s government is pursuing a two-track approach to stabilize the country’s long-troubled economy. It is engaged in lengthy negotiations with the IMF to secure at least $6 billion in loans to shore up its ability to service its external debt. At the same time, Islamabad is also trying to woo its Gulf allies, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in a bid to diversify its sources of external financing, address the lingering threat of insolvency, and put its economy on an upward trajectory of sustainable growth.

    June 28, 2024

    No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region
    Photo by SHWAN MOHAMMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

    Politics in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region is centered on the ruling duopoly of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Other political parties — broadly referred to as the opposition — offer themselves as alternatives to the KDP and the PUK, but are disorganized, divided, and largely unable to capitalize on public grievances about governance. At present, they do not constitute a viable alternative to the ruling parties.

    June 20, 2024

    The Taliban Leadership Tracker
  • Commentary
  • The Taliban Leadership Tracker

    Since seizing control of Afghanistan in August 2021, the Taliban has appointed thousands of individuals to various political, military, administrative, and judicial positions across the country, occupying crucial roles as decision-makers, influencers, local enforcers, and implementers who help shape the Taliban government policies and actions.

    “Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea
    Photo by AAMIR QURESHI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • “Gwadar is the future”: China and Pakistan’s troubled strategic port on the Arabian Sea

    Strategically located at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz on the Arabian Sea, Gwadar, once a derelict port, was revitalized as part of the broader development of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and declared fully operational in 2021. Can a renewed focus on the Gwadar port and the socio-economic and security situation of the surrounding region help Islamabad and Beijing rescue CPEC from failure?

    Evolving Middle Eastern imperatives on the Indo-Pakistan rivalry
    Photo by Royal Court of Saudi Arabia/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Evolving Middle Eastern imperatives on the Indo-Pakistan rivalry

    It was no surprise to see Pakistan’s new prime minister, Shehbaz Sharif, choose Saudi Arabia as the destination of his first official visit. What was more surprising, however, was the joint announcement that emerged from the trip, which called on Pakistan and India to resolve their outstanding disputes, especially the Jammu and Kashmir problem. There are several factors that have impelled Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to take on the tricky task of mediating the protracted rivalry between the two key South Asian states.

    April 30, 2024