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Iran and the economic fallout of COVID-19
Photo by Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran and the economic fallout of COVID-19

    COVID-19 presents a major threat to the global economy and the health of millions of people around the world, but its impact on Iran, one of the early epicenters of the outbreak, has been particularly severe.

    April 14, 2020

    COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19, the oil price war, and the remaking of the Middle East

    The Middle East is facing an unexpected turning point. The region will not look the same after COVID-19 as it did before it. The geoeconomics and geopolitics of the world are in free fall because of COVID-19, the oil price war, and a severe economic shutdown. For the Middle East and the Gulf monarchies in particular, the oil price war against Russia and U.S. shale and the shutdown of economies around the world have increased the pressure on the Gulf’s already-depleted financial resources, which usually act as a safety valve for the turbulent region.

    Iran’s Unconventional Alliance Network in the Middle East and Beyond
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s Unconventional Alliance Network in the Middle East and Beyond

    The Islamic Republic’s unconventional alliance network reaches far and wide, and its workings have only intensified since the killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani in early January 2020. The systematic effort to consolidate these alliances, indicated by the swift appointment of Gen. Esmail Qaani and his new deputy Gen. Mohammad Hosseinzadeh Hejazi to lead the Quds Force, is about much more than just retaliation and revenge against the United States. It is also, and perhaps more importantly, a calibrated response to the Trump administration’s reckless and escalatory changes to the established “rules of engagement” between Washington and Tehran.

    April 7, 2020

    Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors
    Photo by Rouzbeh Fouladi/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Blurring the lines: The case of the Nakhsa Warriors

    Blurring the lines between the physical world and the online one, the Iranian group known as the “Nakhsa Warriors” remains cloaked in mystery. Their identity and status are unclear. Are they a military force that carries out operations, an online group of like-minded individuals that share content, part of an Iranian disinformation campaign — or perhaps something else altogether?

    April 7, 2020

    Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue
    Photo by David Ramos - FIFA/FIFA via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Qatar’s $5 billion bond issue

    Cratering demand for Qatar’s main exports has reduced its income to a fraction of what it was last year, but its nest egg is held in very illiquid assets.

    April 6, 2020

    How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • How Iran and Turkey are coping with COVID-19

    Gonul Tol and Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting Iran, one of the first countries hit by the outbreak, and Turkey, where it arrived later but has since spread rapidly.

    April 3, 2020

    Continuity and Change in US Policies towards the Caspian Region
  • Analysis
  • Continuity and Change in US Policies towards the Caspian Region

    The U.S. government agenda for Central Asia and the South Caucasus has regularly included a multitude of goals. Whereas in the 1990s, U.S. policy focused on state building, economic development, WMD elimination, and democracy promotion, in the 2000s, counterterrorism rose to the forefront of the U.S. agenda.

    April 2, 2020

    COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities
  • Analysis
  • COVID-19 and Iran’s misplaced priorities

    COVID-19 is undoubtedly the biggest health crisis in our lifetime. Pundits around the world, but also a long list of policymakers from Washington to Abu Dhabi to Beijing, wonder about the long-term implications of this deadly pandemic. While there is plenty of speculation about how this crisis might re-balance global power dynamics, other foreign policy implications are more immediately tangible. In the case of the Middle East, the swift support shown by the UAE towards Iran, the most affected country in the region, has been refreshing.

    The role of women in building Iran’s future
    A woman walks past a mural with the Iranian national flag in Tehran, on February 20, 2020 on the eve of parliamentary election.
  • Analysis
  • The role of women in building Iran’s future

    For more than a century, Iranian women have worked for change and fought for their freedom. Under the system in place in the Islamic Republic, however, they continue to face systematic, widespread legal discrimination. Despite the hurdles they currently face, with organization, unity, and common purpose, Iranian women are capable of changing history and building a new future for their country.

    March 24, 2020

    How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy
    American soldiers patrol on the M4 highway in the town of Tal Tamr in the northeastern Syrian Hasakeh province on the border with Turkey on January 24, 2020.
  • Analysis
  • How the Democrats can reclaim Syria policy

    Democrats ought to build a moral firewall around Syria policy, establishing a framework for understanding the Syrian conflict and debating policy options.

    March 18, 2020

    Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential
    Iran's Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance, Masoud Karbasian (L) and Russias Energy Minister Alexander Novak shake hands at a signing ceremony following a meeting of the Russian-Iranian intergovernmental commission for trade and economic cooperation at Moscow's President Hotel
  • Analysis
  • Iran and Russia: A tale of unfulfilled economic potential

    The outbreak of a Russian-Saudi oil price war earlier this month might offer some comfort to Iran, a country which has in recent years become unnerved by the increasingly close ties between Moscow and Riyadh. However, it is premature to see an Iranian geopolitical win emerging from the Russian-Saudi spat, and history should give Tehran plenty of reservations about Moscow’s ability to deliver on its economic promises to Iran. While Iran and Russia will likely continue to pay lip-service to the idea of an economic partnership, each side will remain preoccupied with larger concerns. This is a tale of unfulfilled economic potential.  

    Shifting US strategy in Iraq
    A partial view of the Iraqi capital Baghdad is reflected in the visor of a US Army helicopter crew member as he looks out of a Chinook helicopter flying from the US Embassy to Baghdad International airport, following the helicopter of US secretary of State Mike Pompeo, on January 9, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Shifting US strategy in Iraq

    The United States has missed a valuable opportunity to use its influence in Iraq to encourage the government to implement the reforms Iraqi protesters have been demanding over the past six months and push back on Iran.

    March 12, 2020