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Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable
Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Without real consequences, annexation may be inevitable

    Despite the mixed signals from Israeli and U.S. officials, some form of annexation in the coming weeks or months may be inevitable.

    June 29, 2020

    Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Gulf regimes may oppose annexation, but they helped bring it about

    Leaders of Arab Gulf regimes now decry the attempt to implement the vision of the Israeli Right, which aims to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state. But it is exactly the policies of the Arab Gulf regimes, through their normalization of ties with Israel at the expense of the Palestinians, that directly contributed to the rise of the Israeli Right and made this annexation more likely.

    June 24, 2020

    The Syrian Regime’s Combat Losses in Spring 2020, and What Lies Ahead
    Photo by AAREF WATAD/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Syrian Regime’s Combat Losses in Spring 2020, and What Lies Ahead

    After a brief but deadly Turkish offensive in Idlib, a new phase of the Syria war began on March 5 with the signing of a Turkish-Russian cease-fire deal. Reported deaths dropped drastically following the cease-fire, and this spring has been defined by the slow attrition of pro-regime forces due to the two ingoing insurgencies in south and central Syria and the two frozen frontlines in the northwest and northeast.

    June 19, 2020

    Russia in the Black Sea
  • Analysis
  • Russia in the Black Sea

    The Black Sea sits at an important economic and civilizational crossroads on the Eurasian landmass. The region contains oil and gas resources, key energy pipelines, shipping lanes, and fiber-optic cables. For Russia, the Black Sea is of particular importance for economic and geostrategic reasons.

    June 18, 2020

    Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?
    Photo by GALI TIBBON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Netanyahu and annexation: Will he or won’t he?

    A somewhat surprising assortment of organizations and interest groups are lining up to oppose annexation, alongside the usual opponents.

    June 15, 2020

    Why aren’t mainstream Israelis and American Jews supporting Palestinians?
    Photo by AHMAD GHARABLI/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why aren’t mainstream Israelis and American Jews supporting Palestinians?

    When the video emerged of a Minneapolis policeman pressing his knee on the neck of George Floyd as he lay on the ground, Palestinians were surprised by the image — the technique was all too familiar. But while hundreds of thousands of people have taken to the streets to protest the killing of George Floyd, an African-American male, by police across the U.S. and around the world, the response among Israelis and American Jews to violence against Palestinians is quite different. Many liberal Jewish leaders and thinkers who have spoken out forcefully against the killing of Floyd are silent when it comes to the atrocities committed by Israeli soldiers.

    June 11, 2020

    A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq

    The U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue that will be launched this week provides an opportunity for the two sides to put their relations, as Iraqi President Dr. Barham Salih said last April, “in the right context.”

    June 9, 2020

    Libya’s uncertain trajectory
    Photo by MAHMUD TURKIA/AFP via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Libya’s uncertain trajectory

    As the GNA’s Sirte offensive shows, the confrontation is hardly over and meaningful talks will only start when military gains have been exhausted.

    As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria

    The impact of COVID-19 on Iran-linked forces in Syria has provided Russia with an opportunity to expand its influence through its proxy forces, particularly in eastern Syria, as Iranian and pro-Iranian forces redeploy elsewhere in the country.

    June 5, 2020

    Middle East Conflict and COVID-19 – A View from 2025
    Photo by Amru Salahuddien/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Middle East Conflict and COVID-19 – A View from 2025

    Conflict and instability have been constant features of the Middle East for decades. Over the most recent decade, four civil wars and fraught relationships between the major regional powers have been pushing the region toward a potentially perilous political and economic future. We know that the COVID-19 crisis is disrupting the status quo on nearly everything, including regional conflict. What we do not know is how that disruption today might worsen — or improve — the trendlines of those conflicts as we head toward 2025. In this MEI Strategic Foresight Initiative paper we employ a scenario-based methodology to explore this question.

    Why is Russia seeking to expand its military bases in Syria?
    Photo by Mikhail KlimentyevTASS via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Why is Russia seeking to expand its military bases in Syria?

    While Russia is currently struggling with the consequences of COVID-19 at home, its foreign policy projections suggest it is also bracing itself for the post-pandemic world.

    June 1, 2020

    How Russia made Hemeimeem air base its African hub
    Photo by MAXIME POPOV/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • How Russia made Hemeimeem air base its African hub

    The satellite images published on May 26 by AFRICOM appear to confirm reports that Russian MiG-29 jet fighters had flown to Libya. In fact, the MiG-29s travelled to Libya via Russia’s Hemeimeem air base in Syria, and as this latest episode makes clear, Hemeimeem plays a central role in Russia’s growing involvement in both the Mediterranean and Africa.