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Iraq in 2019: Protests, politics, and a struggle for power
An Iraqi woman raises her fist as she takes part in an anti-government march in the center of the southern city of Basra on December 2, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq in 2019: Protests, politics, and a struggle for power

    The protestors are demanding a radical change of the ethno-sectarian power-sharing system put in place after the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq.

    December 16, 2019

    Israel: Preoccupied by indecision
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) arrives at the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem December 8, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Israel: Preoccupied by indecision

    The main — perhaps only — issue in Israeli politics now is the future of Netanyahu.

    December 16, 2019

    Georgia through a Middle East lens
    This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • Analysis
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Lebanon and Iraq continue in painful standoff
    Iraqi demonstrators wave national flags as they take part in an anti-government demonstration in the capital Baghdad's Tahrir Square, on December 6, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Lebanon and Iraq continue in painful standoff

    Two months into the popular uprisings in Iraq and Lebanon, both countries are mired in a painful standoff.

    December 9, 2019

    An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Protests and politics in Iraq and Iran
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Protests and politics in Iraq and Iran

    Political analyst Hafsa Halawa and MEI Senior Fellow Alex Vatanka join host Alistair Taylor to discuss the political crisis in Iraq following the resignation of Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, the protest movements that have rocked both Iraq and Iran, and the impact of Iranian impact in Baghdad on Iraq’s development going forward.

    December 6, 2019

    Iraq: No clear path out of the crisis
    Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi speaks during extraordinary cabinet meeting after he handed his resignation letter to the parliament, in Baghdad, Iraq on November 30, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq: No clear path out of the crisis

    There is no end in sight to Iraq’s political crisis even though Parliament unanimously voted to remove Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi on Sunday. Abdul-Mahdi now tends a caretaker government while Iraq’s political leaders are interpreting the country’s constitution to give President Barham Salih 15 days starting from Nov. 30 to name a new prime minister.

    Iraq’s protests continue in force amid political turmoil
    Iraqi protesters chant slogans during a demonstration in Baghdad's al-Rasheed street near al-Ahrar bridge on November 24, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Iraq’s protests continue in force amid political turmoil

    Although 350 Iraqis have died to date and close to 16,000 have been wounded, protesters are not going home. Yet, most of the ruling clique is still rejecting the idea of forcing the prime minister to resign.

    November 25, 2019

    Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?
    A picture taken on October 3, 2019 shows a general view of the plenum during the swearing-in ceremony at the Knesset in Jerusalem. - Israel's parliament was sworn in today without a new government formed as a deadlocked general election left Netanyahu scrambling to find a path to extend his long tenure in power.
  • Commentary
  • Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?

    It is clear that the Israeli political system has reached a peak in terms of the challenges it faces: two elections campaigns to date this year have not led to conclusive results and a third round may be right around the corner.

    November 25, 2019

    Breaking each other’s fingers: Kurdish parties nervously watch Baghdad — and one another
    President of Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government (KRG), Nechirvan Barzani (C), President of Iraq Barham Salih (R) and Speaker of the parliament Rewaz Faiaq (L) attend a meeting on the current developments in Iraq on November 05, 2019 in Erbil, Iraq.
  • Analysis
  • Breaking each other’s fingers: Kurdish parties nervously watch Baghdad — and one another

    Since early October, the southern provinces of Iraq have been consumed by protests and strikes. While ruthlessly attempting to suppress protests, the Iraqi government has promised legal and political reforms. Yet some of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq’s elites are suspicious that the government’s reform agenda is a “conspiracy” against Kurdish entitlements masquerading as a good faith effort to placate the protestors. The region’s hegemonic parties are concerned that legal, constitutional, and procedural reforms may overhaul the institutions that guarantee their positions of influence in the federal government and secure their territorial claims.

    November 22, 2019

    Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base
    U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a press conference at the U.S. Department of State on November 18, 2019 in Washington, DC
  • Analysis
  • Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base

    It is not always recognized that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Nov. 18 declaration that Israeli “settlements are not inconsistent with international law” was primarily political, not diplomatic, designed for domestic American consumption as part of the president’s reelection campaign. Secondarily, it was intended to strengthen Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hand in the current coalition negotiations and/or the likely upcoming Knesset election, if coalition negotiations fail. Third on the list, almost an afterthought, is the effect on the Palestinians, whose future state’s boundaries it purports to impact.

    November 21, 2019

    Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente
    Palestinian Islamic Jihad militants attend the funeral of a comrade in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip November 14, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente

    A Nov. 12 Israeli airstrike on the Gaza Strip killed Baha Abu al-Ata, a commander with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) militant group. Over the ensuring 48 hours, the PIJ launched some 450 rockets from Gaza into southern and central Israel. Hamas, the Palestinian political party/militant group that acts as the de facto government of Gaza, stayed out of the fighting — despite relatively high civilian casualties and the killing of one of its fighters.

    November 18, 2019

    Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states
    The NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence (CoE) in Tallinn, Estonia, 14 April 2015.
  • Analysis
  • Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states

    The role of cybersecurity in the future of geopolitics in the Middle East and the surrounding regions will have much to do with individual state and enterprise preparedness. With cyber threats a growing source of interstate tension, governments must take measures to increase national cyber preparedness that are tailored to their vulnerabilities and cyber ecosystems. Israel and Estonia are examples of states that prove this rule. Despite their relatively small size, both have demonstrated an exceptional capacity to deter or defend against cyber aggression from their much larger, more aggressive neighbors.

    November 18, 2019