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Al-Kadhimi and the Kataib Hezbollah raid
Photo by Ameer Al Mohammedaw/picture alliance via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Al-Kadhimi and the Kataib Hezbollah raid

    Late on June 25, the Iraqi Counter Terrorism Service carried out an operation against Kataib Hezbollah, a powerful Iran-backed militia, in the suburbs of Baghdad, detaining militiamen, confiscating mobile Katyusha rocket launchers, and accusing the group of plotting another round of rocket attacks targeting the Green Zone and Baghdad International Airport.

    June 30, 2020

    The East Fails Iran
  • Analysis
  • The East Fails Iran

    Officials in Tehran have a lot to worry about. But they are particularly irked at the speed by which Asian states have dropped Iran as a trading partner. Iran had hoped that the East would save the country’s economy from the barrage of sanctions enacted by the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump. In early 2018, at a time when Trump and his team were about to unveil the most punishing sanctions regime ever imposed on a country, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei explicitly urged Tehran to look east for trading partners.

    Iran’s influence in Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Iran’s influence in Afghanistan

    Despite strong religious and cultural ties and a long shared border, Iran has a somewhat complicated relationship with Afghanistan. Since the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan some four decades ago, Iran’s attempts to preserve its interests in conflict-ridden Afghanistan have not received much attention from the outside world, but it remains one of the most important neighboring countries for Tehran’s foreign policy.

    June 23, 2020

    Dancing during the pandemic: Despite restrictions, music and dance retain a central role in Iranian society
    Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Dancing during the pandemic: Despite restrictions, music and dance retain a central role in Iranian society

    Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, music and dance have become increasingly common in Iran’s hospitals and on its streets. Long disallowed in public after the Islamic revolution of 1979, they have become both a source of support for Iranians during difficult times and a way of resisting the regime.

    June 16, 2020

    Nation or Religion? Iraq’s Hybrid Identity Politics
    (Photo by MOHAMMED SAWAF/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Nation or Religion? Iraq’s Hybrid Identity Politics

    Is Iraqi society structurally sectarian? Or does it have a strong capacity of resilience to sectarian trends? This article  explores the nature of Iraq’s political sociology by examining several key indicators: the composition and aspirations of Iraqi society; the nature of the parliament; and the challenges that current Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi faced as he tried to form a government in spring 2020.

    June 16, 2020

    A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq
    Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A moment of reckoning for the US and Iraq

    The U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue that will be launched this week provides an opportunity for the two sides to put their relations, as Iraqi President Dr. Barham Salih said last April, “in the right context.”

    June 9, 2020

    As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria
    Photo by AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • As Iran redeploys amid COVID-19, Russia is filling the vacuum in eastern Syria

    The impact of COVID-19 on Iran-linked forces in Syria has provided Russia with an opportunity to expand its influence through its proxy forces, particularly in eastern Syria, as Iranian and pro-Iranian forces redeploy elsewhere in the country.

    June 5, 2020

    Will COVID-19 inhibit Iran’s ability to suppress protests?
  • Analysis
  • Will COVID-19 inhibit Iran’s ability to suppress protests?

    Since 2017, Iran has seen several waves of protests rooted in political, social, and, most importantly, economic grievances. In light of COVID and the post-pandemic fallout, there is every indication that unrest will continue to grow, and even accelerate. Until now, the regime’s coercive apparatus has had both the capacity and the willingness of its members to successfully suppress anti-regime unrest. But has COVID-19 changed this balance? What impact, if any, has the pandemic had on the regime’s security capacity?

    June 3, 2020

    Iran, Israel, and the risk of cyber escalation
    Photo by Chesnot/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • Iran, Israel, and the risk of cyber escalation

    Quickly attributing or blaming a country for a cyber incident without technical analysis, proof, and government officials willing to go on record only inflames an already tense situation.

    June 1, 2020

    US-Iranian relations remain on track for escalation
  • Analysis
  • US-Iranian relations remain on track for escalation

    Iran is currently facing an incredibly unlucky alignment of pressure sources that are interrelated and will force the regime to engage in risky or experimental behavior, most likely in 2020. The COVID-19 epidemic simply exacerbates the combined challenges of a regime squeezed by an international sanctions network and a restive population reaching a breaking point with economic hardship. A continued acceptance of the status quo is untenable; thus, the regime will likely begin to undertake various initiatives in the coming months, more likely military than diplomatic in nature, that could force the United States to ease the isolation of the country.

    May 29, 2020

    Parviz Tanavoli, the nightingale of Iran
    Photo by Hadani Ditmars
  • Analysis
  • Parviz Tanavoli, the nightingale of Iran

    Far from his native Tehran in bucolic West Vancouver, Parviz Tanavoli, the 83-year-old “father of modern Iranian sculpture,” contemplates the fate of his homeland. “My heart breaks when I see what is happening in Iran now,” says the renowned artist, who divides his time between a life of relative obscurity on Canada’s Pacific coast, and Tehran, where he is referred to simply as “Master Tanavoli.”

    May 27, 2020