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The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats
 Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz al-Saud chairs the 40th Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) annual summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on December 10, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • The Gulf looks over the cliff and retreats

    The steps the Saudis have taken in 2019 may help to ease international pressure on the kingdom’s leadership and restore its image as a constructive player in the world.

    December 16, 2019

    Israel: Preoccupied by indecision
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (C) arrives at the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem December 8, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Israel: Preoccupied by indecision

    The main — perhaps only — issue in Israeli politics now is the future of Netanyahu.

    December 16, 2019

    Georgia through a Middle East lens
    This aerial photograph taken on September 22, 2018, shows The River Kura (Mtkvari) in the Georgian capital Tbilisi.
  • Analysis
  • Georgia through a Middle East lens

    Given their territorial proximity, the regional actors of the Middle East have always had an interest in Georgia and the South Caucasus as a window to Europe. The collapse of the Soviet Union brought an end to Georgia’s isolation, and in the years since the country has gradually started reclaiming its historical role as a cultural and economic crossroads between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

    December 16, 2019

    Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states
  • Analysis
  • Blockchain adoption in the Gulf states

    The subject of extensive international interest and attention over the past few years, blockchain technology is regarded as a key component of the fourth industrial revolution. This article seeks to shed light on the use of blockchain technology in the Gulf states by analyzing current trends of blockchain adoption in the region compared to those internationally. In so doing, it will determine Gulf institutions’ capacity for keeping pace with the changes and developments blockchain adoption has introduced.

    December 10, 2019

    Kuala Lumpur summit: A challenge to Saudi leadership?
    Pakistan's Prime Minister Imran Khan (C) is accompanied by his Malaysian counterpart Mahathir Mohamad (L) as he reviews a guard of honour during a welcoming ceremony at the prime minister's office in Putrajaya on November 21, 2018. (Photo by Mohd RASFAN / AFP) (Photo credit should read MOHD RASFAN/AFP via Getty Images)
  • Analysis
  • Kuala Lumpur summit: A challenge to Saudi leadership?

    On Nov. 23, Malaysia’s prime minister, Mahathir Mohamad, announced that his country will stage an Islamic summit in Kuala Lumpur from Dec. 19-21. The event, on the theme of “The Role of Development in Achieving National Security,” will feature representatives from the host country as well as Indonesia, Pakistan, Qatar, and Turkey. Around 450 leaders, scholars, clerics, and thinkers from 52 countries will attend, along with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, Indonesian President Joko Widodo, and Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan.

    December 10, 2019

    An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states
    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (R) shakes the hand of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo following their meeting in Jerusalem on October 18, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • An Israel-US defense treaty will ruin relations with Arab states

    Attempts by the indicted Israeli leader to railroad through a joint U.S.-Israel defense treaty in opposition to the Palestinians and other Arabs will be disastrous for America’s national interest.

    December 9, 2019

    Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?
  • Analysis
  • Could a gas cartel become as powerful as OPEC?

    The 12-country Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which held its latest meeting in Equatorial Guinea on Nov. 28, has never had OPEC’s ability to control energy prices, but that is likely to change as liquefied natural gas (LNG) transforms the gas market from a regional to a global one.  

    December 6, 2019

    Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?
    A picture taken on October 3, 2019 shows a general view of the plenum during the swearing-in ceremony at the Knesset in Jerusalem. - Israel's parliament was sworn in today without a new government formed as a deadlocked general election left Netanyahu scrambling to find a path to extend his long tenure in power.
  • Commentary
  • Will Israeli politicians prove their responsibility and flexibility?

    It is clear that the Israeli political system has reached a peak in terms of the challenges it faces: two elections campaigns to date this year have not led to conclusive results and a third round may be right around the corner.

    November 25, 2019

    Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base
    U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a press conference at the U.S. Department of State on November 18, 2019 in Washington, DC
  • Analysis
  • Pompeo’s audience: The Trumpian base

    It is not always recognized that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Nov. 18 declaration that Israeli “settlements are not inconsistent with international law” was primarily political, not diplomatic, designed for domestic American consumption as part of the president’s reelection campaign. Secondarily, it was intended to strengthen Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s hand in the current coalition negotiations and/or the likely upcoming Knesset election, if coalition negotiations fail. Third on the list, almost an afterthought, is the effect on the Palestinians, whose future state’s boundaries it purports to impact.

    November 21, 2019

    Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today
     Muslim pilgrims gather at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia's holy city of Mecca on August 7, 2019, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city.
  • Commentary
  • Traces of the 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque still roil the Middle East today

    Four decades on, echoes of the November 1979 assault on the Grand Mosque in Mecca continue to reverberate. Coming on the heels of the Iranian revolution and days after the Iran hostage-taking, the Mecca attack, carried out by a group of several hundred Saudi extremist Islamists declaring a new Mahdi, shocked the Sunni world and pushed Muslims in a far more conservative direction.

    November 20, 2019

    The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss
    A picture taken on November 3, 2019 shows a sign of Saudi Aramco's initial public offering (IPO) during a press conference by the state company in the eastern Saudi Arabian region of Dhahran.
  • Commentary
  • The Saudi Aramco IPO: Short-term success, long-term loss

    The Saudi Aramco IPO got started this Sunday morning with shares priced at SAR 30-32 ($8-8.50) each, valuing the company at $1.7 trillion, $300 billion below the original estimate. The lower valuation has been expected for some time by most investment banks and many financial analysts. The proceeds are expected to fund the Public Investment Fund’s forays into non-energy-based companies, advanced technologies, and even robot-filled cities.

    November 18, 2019

    Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente
    Palestinian Islamic Jihad militants attend the funeral of a comrade in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip November 14, 2019.
  • Commentary
  • Escalation in Gaza tests Israel-Hamas détente

    A Nov. 12 Israeli airstrike on the Gaza Strip killed Baha Abu al-Ata, a commander with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) militant group. Over the ensuring 48 hours, the PIJ launched some 450 rockets from Gaza into southern and central Israel. Hamas, the Palestinian political party/militant group that acts as the de facto government of Gaza, stayed out of the fighting — despite relatively high civilian casualties and the killing of one of its fighters.

    November 18, 2019

    Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states
    The NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence (CoE) in Tallinn, Estonia, 14 April 2015.
  • Analysis
  • Punching above their weight: Cyber lessons for small states

    The role of cybersecurity in the future of geopolitics in the Middle East and the surrounding regions will have much to do with individual state and enterprise preparedness. With cyber threats a growing source of interstate tension, governments must take measures to increase national cyber preparedness that are tailored to their vulnerabilities and cyber ecosystems. Israel and Estonia are examples of states that prove this rule. Despite their relatively small size, both have demonstrated an exceptional capacity to deter or defend against cyber aggression from their much larger, more aggressive neighbors.

    November 18, 2019

    Despite the hurdles, an opportunity for de-escalation in Yemen
    ) Yemeni Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Saeed al-Khanbashi (R) and Southern Transitional Council (STC) representative Nasser al-Habci (L) are seen during a signing ceremony of 'Riyadh Agreement' between the Yemeni government and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed separatist forces, Southern Transitional Council (STC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on November 05, 2019.
  • Analysis
  • Despite the hurdles, an opportunity for de-escalation in Yemen

    After more than two months of Saudi-mediated indirect talks between the Republic of Yemen Government (ROYG) and the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), the two sides finally reached a deal on Nov. 5. The Saudi effort, which culminated in the signing of the Riyadh Agreement, is aimed at resolving the conflict within the Arab coalition-backed front and uniting the two parties in the fight against the Iranian-backed Houthi militias. The agreement, which spans political, economic, security, and military arrangements, involves restructuring the executive, military, and security branches of the ROYG, partial disarmament of STC-loyal forces, and the demilitarization of Aden — all of which will be phased in over the next three months.

    November 8, 2019