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Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts
Photographer: Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Planetary foresight: Navigating the future shifts

    As the Middle East becomes more autonomous and empowered domestically, the leaders in the region might consider more synergetic relations with each other and prepare national long-term plans that provide a balanced and integrated approach to social, technological, environmental, economic, and political development and progress.

    August 20, 2024

    Pakistan and the Middle East’s evolving approach to Afghanistan
    Photo by WAKIL KOHSAR/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Pakistan and the Middle East’s evolving approach to Afghanistan

    Afghanistan has long been an arena for proxy contestations by regional powers, which have adopted rather divergent Afghan policies over the past several decades of foreign occupation and are doing so again now when the country is in the vicelike grip of a resurgent Taliban.

    August 12, 2024

    Powering up: Turkey-Iraq transmission line is part of a broader strategic shift
    Photo by THAIER AL-SUDANI/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Powering up: Turkey-Iraq transmission line is part of a broader strategic shift

    On July 21, 2024, Iraq inaugurated a new power line connecting Turkey and Iraq to handle Turkish electricity imports. Iraq is operationalizing this new power line with the goal of ensuring a more stable energy future, reshaping its geopolitical relationships, and reducing its reliance on Iran.

    August 7, 2024

    A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war
    Photo by HOSSEIN BERIS/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A waiting game as the region teeters on the brink of full-blown war

    Israel’s targeted killing of Hezbollah military leader Fuad Shukr in Beirut and Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran are explosive events for the region. Coming within 12 hours of each other, they were also an earthquake within the “Axis of Resistance” — but not one likely to encourage de-escalation. Far from it.

    US-Saudi space deal shakes up new “space race”
    Saudi flag from the ISS by Saudi Space Agency
  • Analysis
  • US-Saudi space deal shakes up new “space race”

    On July 16, the United States and Saudi Arabia announced a new framework for space collaboration and civil aeronautics that shakes up the space race. The agreement marks a turning point for the US-Saudi Arabia bilateral relationship, gearing it more toward scientific cooperation and demonstrating the pivotal role that emerging space powers, particularly in the Middle East, are poised to play in the Second Space Age.

    July 30, 2024

    Unpacking the policy dimension of Netanyahu's Washington visit: A US push for a Gaza deal that came up short
    Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Unpacking the policy dimension of Netanyahu's Washington visit: A US push for a Gaza deal that came up short

    The extensive coverage and analysis of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s recent visit to the United States mostly focused on optics and domestic politics, rather than on policy. Nevertheless, policy issues were very much present throughout the course of the visit, with Biden and his team trying to push for a hostage and cease-fire deal between Israel and Hamas.

    July 29, 2024

    The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation
    Photo by MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The geopolitical implications of Houthi attacks and Israeli retaliation

    The Houthis’ strategy of escalation has the potential to upset the fragile balance of power in the Middle East and underlines the ability of smaller actors to influence larger geopolitical outcomes through calculated risks and alliances.

    July 23, 2024

    Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national
    Photo by Safin HAMID/AFP
  • Analysis
  • Iraq’s competition to control local administrations goes national

    In the aftermath of the December 2023 Provincial Council (PC) elections, political parties across Iraq have been seeking to shore up their gains or minimize their losses in the formation of the provincial executive governments, with some provinces, like Kirkuk and Diyala, remaining in deadlock at time of writing. However, in other provinces, such as Ninewa, those now in power are looking to ensure that they are maximizing their new gains by dominating key administrative positions at the district and subdistrict levels.

    July 22, 2024

    CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse
    Photo by Ali Makram Ghareeb/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • CENTCOM says ISIS is reconstituting in Syria and Iraq, but the reality is even worse

    On July 16, CENTCOM announced that after six months of 2024, “ISIS is on pace to more than double” the number of attacks in Syria and Iraq it claimed in 2023. But the reality is far worse than this statement suggested because the data represents only a fraction of ISIS’s actual attacks in Syria and Iraq.

    Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment
    Photo by UAE Presidential Court / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Why Pakistan is looking to Saudi Arabia and the UAE to ramp up investment

    Pakistan’s government is pursuing a two-track approach to stabilize the country’s long-troubled economy. It is engaged in lengthy negotiations with the IMF to secure at least $6 billion in loans to shore up its ability to service its external debt. At the same time, Islamabad is also trying to woo its Gulf allies, most notably Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in a bid to diversify its sources of external financing, address the lingering threat of insolvency, and put its economy on an upward trajectory of sustainable growth.

    June 28, 2024

    No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region
    Photo by SHWAN MOHAMMED/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • No real alternative: The failure of opposition parties in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region

    Politics in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region is centered on the ruling duopoly of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). Other political parties — broadly referred to as the opposition — offer themselves as alternatives to the KDP and the PUK, but are disorganized, divided, and largely unable to capitalize on public grievances about governance. At present, they do not constitute a viable alternative to the ruling parties.

    June 20, 2024

    Beyond guns and oil: The emerging soft power rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia
    Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Beyond guns and oil: The emerging soft power rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia

    A little over a year ago, the icy relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia underwent a remarkable thaw. But beneath this détente, a new front emerged in their longstanding rivalry — one rooted not in geopolitics or religious ideologies but in the realm of soft power and societal aspirations.

    June 11, 2024

    Debunking the role of cloud seeding in the April Arabian Gulf floods
    Photo by Christopher Pike/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Debunking the role of cloud seeding in the April Arabian Gulf floods

    Intense flooding across the Arabian Peninsula caused by a storm in mid-April sparked speculation about the role cloud seeding might have played in the precipitation event, giving rise to conspiracy theories on social media and warnings trumpeting the hazards of human intervention into natural processes. Cloud seeding is not the only climate change-adaptive strategy to have been targeted in this way, and the effort being expended to combat such disinformation (though nascent) is growing.

    May 29, 2024