Skip to Content

Research & Commentary Results

Filter by
477 Results
Hezbollah and Iran’s calculus as the conflict with Israel heats up
Photo by KAWNAT HAJU/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Hezbollah and Iran’s calculus as the conflict with Israel heats up

    The deadly, back-to-back pager/two-way radio attacks against Hezbollah, which killed dozens and wounded thousands of its operatives, undoubtedly signaled a new phase in the intense cross-border exchanges between the group and Israel.

    September 23, 2024

    In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah
    Photo by OLIVER MARSDEN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah

    Over the past few days, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered a precarious new phase, with Israel carrying out both unconventional attacks and heavy airstrikes against the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, while Hezbollah has responded with an increase in retaliatory fire. 

    September 23, 2024

    Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels
    Photo from the EU's Directorate General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations
  • Analysis
  • Change and continuity in EU’s foreign policy in the MENA region: What to expect from the new political cycle in Brussels

    In the corridors of power in Brussels, it is common to hear that the position of the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy is an impossible job. It may actually become even more difficult for the outgoing Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, who is set to succeed the Spanish Josep Borrell as the European Union’s foreign policy chief in the coming weeks.

    September 10, 2024

    Russia’s relations with Hezbollah amid escalation on Lebanon-Israel border
    Photo by Russian Foreign Ministry/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Russia’s relations with Hezbollah amid escalation on Lebanon-Israel border

    Russia’s concern about an escalation of hostilities in Lebanon reflects its long-standing partnership with Hezbollah. Due to this multidimensional relationship, Russia has urged Iran to exercise restraint against Israel to prevent the outbreak of a destructive hot war in Lebanon.

    September 9, 2024

    After Hezbollah’s retaliation, no broader war for now, but the conflict drags on
    Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • After Hezbollah’s retaliation, no broader war for now, but the conflict drags on

    On Aug. 25, Hezbollah retaliated for Israel’s assassination of senior commander Fuad Shukr on July 30, launching 340 rockets and tens of drones from southern Lebanon and the eastern Beka’a region. Hezbollah’s retaliation started shortly after Israel undertook what it called a “preemptive strike,” in which 100 fighter jets targeted Hezbollah military sites, including rocket launching platforms, to thwart a larger attack that, according to Israeli officials, involved up to 6,000 rockets.

    August 26, 2024

    Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war
    Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel and the Axis of Resistance in the wake of the Gaza war

    Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack touched off a destructive war with Israel and a limited but fierce regional conflagration between Israel and the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” with Lebanese Hezbollah at the forefront. The ongoing conflict has been multi-fronted, multi-faceted, dynamic, and already highly consequential. While a clear bottom line remains elusive, exploring the war’s primary origins and evolution offers useful indicators.

    August 22, 2024

    Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war
  • Commentary
  • Monday Briefing: The Middle East is the closest it has ever been to an all-out war

    After 10 months of Israel’s war on Gaza, the US administration has lost control over its ally and the fear of its opponents. As a result, Washington has only limited, if any, impact on the cost-benefit escalation calculus of the fighting sides. The Middle East is today the closest it has ever been to an all-out multi-front regional war.

    Special Briefing: The regional impact of Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination
  • Commentary
  • Special Briefing: The regional impact of Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination

    In a new special briefing, scholars from across MEI weigh in with their thoughts on the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh and the potential regional impact.

    July 31, 2024

    Israeli Strikes and the Risk of Regional Escalation
  • Podcast
  • Israeli Strikes and the Risk of Regional Escalation

    This week’s episode looks at the dramatic regional developments of the past 24 hours, including the Israeli strike on a top Hezbollah commander in Beirut and the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. The strikes mark a significant escalation, and are expected to provoke retaliation from Iran and Hezbollah that could potentially ignite a wider regional conflict.

    July 31, 2024

    The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024
    Photographer: Michael Reynolds/EPA/Bloomberg via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Limits of Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy: An Assessment of US Policy, April-July 2024

    In reaction to the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel and the subsequent Gaza war, the Biden administration articulated six main objectives. After nine months of the Israel-Hamas conflict, which has repeatedly threatened to spill out into neighboring theaters, the Biden administration’s success toward achieving these goals has mostly declined, not for a lack of effort but rather a reflection of considerable challenges in the environment and major shortcomings in policy conceptualization and implementation.