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A Band of (Muslim) Brothers? Exploring Bahrain’s Role in the Qatar Crisis
Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • A Band of (Muslim) Brothers? Exploring Bahrain’s Role in the Qatar Crisis

    The crisis which has engulfed the Gulf Cooperation Council (G.C.C.) states since June 5, 2017, leading to an unprecedented diplomatic and economic blockade of Qatar, has effectively split the Gulf into three camps, fracturing the uneasy yet much-lauded unity of an alliance which has long prided itself on stability and security. This essay offers a possible explanation for Bahrain’s contradictory position regarding the crisis, and considers whether Manama can maintain it.

    August 3, 2017

    Europe Seeks Peaceful End to Gulf Crisis
  • Analysis
  • Europe Seeks Peaceful End to Gulf Crisis

    The ongoing Saudi-led blockade of Qatar came as a surprise to the international community, including the European Union. When Saudi Arabia, the U.A.E., Egypt, and Bahrain cut ties with the Qatari monarchy, the E.U. found itself in a new and complex political reality. Though the intra-Gulf crisis had been simmering for quite a long time, it seems that the Europeans were not prepared for such a scenario. Ultimately, Europe must consider the severity of the current crisis’ potential diplomatic and economic consequences.

    June 28, 2017

    The Influence of North African Militaries in Foreign Policy-Making
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The Influence of North African Militaries in Foreign Policy-Making

    This essay looks at five North African states, arguing that the armed forces — for a variety of often case-specific reasons — are actually not as politically powerful and thus influential in foreign policy-making as one might expect. It first discusses the political strength of the military establishments of five North African states — Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt — and then investigates the difference, if any, that the recent Arab upheavals have made in their involvement in foreign policy-making.

    June 28, 2017

    Kuwait, Oman, and the Qatar Crisis
  • Analysis
  • Kuwait, Oman, and the Qatar Crisis

    The ongoing Qatar crisis poses a major dilemma for Kuwait and Oman. Consistent with their “neutral” foreign policies, these two Arab Gulf states have maintained ties with Doha and seek to resolve the gravest internal Gulf Cooperation Council (G.C.C.) row since the organization’s establishment in 1981. Officials in Kuwait City and Muscat fear that failure to settle the Qatar crisis will break up the council, which would directly undermine vital Kuwaiti and Omani national interests given the potential for such a scenario to dramatically exacerbate regional geopolitical instability.

    June 22, 2017

    Can the Trump Admin get its Act Together on G.C.C. Crisis? | Monday Briefing
  • Analysis
  • Can the Trump Admin get its Act Together on G.C.C. Crisis? | Monday Briefing

    In this week’s Monday Briefing, MEI experts Gerald Feierstein, Robert S. Ford, Alex Vatanka, and Ruba Husari provide analysis on  the Trump administration’s handling of the G.C.C. crisis, how Iran and energy markets have responded to it, and the escalating conflict in eastern Syria.

    GCC Split Is a Blow to US Regional Policy
  • Analysis
  • GCC Split Is a Blow to US Regional Policy

    Read the full article on LobeLog.

    One way to understand the depths of the animosity that blew up the myth of brotherhood and cooperation among the monarchies of the Arab Gulf states on Monday is to look beyond the angry statements to a map published recently by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

    June 7, 2017

    Qatar’s Gulf Allies Have Had Enough of Doha’s Broken Promises
  • Analysis
  • Qatar’s Gulf Allies Have Had Enough of Doha’s Broken Promises

    Read the full article on Newsweek.

    Citizens of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states woke up on Monday morning to what is the most severe crisis in the regional block’s 38 year history to date. In a closely coordinated series of statements, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE, along with Egypt, announced the severing of ties with the peninsular state of Qatar.

    June 7, 2017

    What Does Trump’s Visit to Saudi Arabia Mean for Russia?
  • Analysis
  • What Does Trump’s Visit to Saudi Arabia Mean for Russia?

    On May 20, President Donald Trump landed in Riyadh for the first stop of his nine-day Middle East and European tour. Many hoped that the president’s long-awaited trip would clarify his administration’s approach to the Middle East. As expected, the most important developments involved a $110 billion arms deal, anti-Iranian rhetoric and plans to establish an “Arab NATO.”

    May 31, 2017

    Foreign Powers Should Push for Compromise in Libya
  • Analysis
  • Foreign Powers Should Push for Compromise in Libya

    Whenever power is contested in a country—any country—the political fight over who will ascend to the helm provides opportunities for foreign powers to intervene, and in some cases, influence the outcome of the political process.

    Such behavior can carry short-term rewards when a new leader, put into power with the help of the foreign government, tilts favorably toward the sponsor; but it also can be counterproductive.

    The India-U.A.E. Strategic Partnership in Regional Context: A Zero-Sum Game?
    Middle East Institute
  • Analysis
  • The India-U.A.E. Strategic Partnership in Regional Context: A Zero-Sum Game?

    Since the government of Narendra Modi took office in 2014, India and the U.A.E. have moved relatively quickly to consolidate their existing ties and to explore new areas of cooperation. During this time, they have elevated the relationship to a comprehensive strategic partnership, with the expressed intention of extending their cooperation to the security and defense spheres. This essay discusses these recent developments, with particular attention to the role of Pakistan as a constraining factor in India-U.A.E. relations going forward.

    May 16, 2017

    India's Balancing Act in the Gulf
  • Analysis
  • India's Balancing Act in the Gulf

    This essay discusses India’s increasingly extensive relations with the Gulf Arab countries and its equally important interest in continuing to develop mutually beneficial ties with Iran. The author argues that as India’s regional profile rises and its economic prowess expands, New Delhi will come under pressure to take sides — pressure to which Indian leaders must try their utmost not to succumb.

    May 9, 2017

    Yemen Could Be the Key to Solving the Iran Problem
  • Analysis
  • Yemen Could Be the Key to Solving the Iran Problem

    Read the full op-ed on Defense One.

    If President Trump travels to Riyadh later this month, as reported, he will find that the six leaders of the Gulf Coordination Council (GCC) countries hold widely divergent views on Iran, the extent of the Iranian threat, and how to resolve the conflict in Yemen.

    May 3, 2017