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The Tiger Forces: Pro-Assad fighters backed by Russia
  • Analysis
  • The Tiger Forces: Pro-Assad fighters backed by Russia

    The Tiger Forces is a Syrian Air Intelligence-affiliated militia fighting for the Syrian government and backed by Russia. While often described as the Syrian government’s elite fighting force, this research portrays a starkly different picture. The Tiger Forces are the largest single fighting force on the Syrian battlefield, with approximately 24 groups comprised of some 4,000 offensive infantry units as well as a dedicated artillery regiment and armor unit of unknown size. Beyond these fighters are thousands of additional so-called flex units, affiliated militiamen who remain largely garrisoned in their hometowns along the north Hama and Homs borders until called on to join offensives as needed.

    October 29, 2018

    Yemen’s stalemate and humanitarian crisis
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Yemen’s stalemate and humanitarian crisis

    Hopes for progress in Yemen have been stymied by setbacks in recent weeks, perpetuating a military and political stalemate. Marcia Biggs, special correspondent for PBS NewsHour, joins guest host Gerald Feierstein to discuss the humanitarian conditions she witnessed on the ground and what the international community can do to help reach a resolution to the crisis.

    October 5, 2018

    Saudi foreign policy and domestic constraints
    Mohamed bin Salman
  • Analysis
  • Saudi foreign policy and domestic constraints

    Read the full article on The American Interest.

    No Saudi official has been more applauded and vilified at the same time than Mohamed bin Salman, the Crown Prince and de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia. That is not surprising, given the transformational nature of the project he’s leading at home, which is bound to create both winners—those who wish to open up the kingdom—and losers—those who wish more or less to preserve the status quo.

    September 6, 2018

    Relocating the Fifth Fleet?
    Fleet Bahrain
  • Analysis
  • Relocating the Fifth Fleet?

    Read the full article on The American Interest.

    As Bahraini government security services cracked down hard on popular protests against the ruling Al-Khalifa family in February 2011, the U.S. Department of Defense quietly considered alternative basing options for the Fifth Fleet, stationed permanently in Bahrain since 1995.

    August 22, 2018

    The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy
    Syria
  • Analysis
  • The US needs to rethink its Syria strategy

    There are numerous, unmistakable signs that the crisis in Syria is moving to a new phase, one that will push Washington further to the sidelines. Not least among these fresh developments is the rapidly evolving situation in Syria’s northeast, where Washington’s Kurdish allies are slowly but surely reconciling with the Assad regime. 

    August 21, 2018

    Is Russia drawing down its presence in Syria?
    Russia Military Policy
  • Analysis
  • Is Russia drawing down its presence in Syria?

    Following the Syrian government’s full reconquest of the country’s south, there are real signs that Russia intends to reduce its presence and responsibilities in Syria. Moscow has not stated this openly, in contrast to its three previous drawdown announcements. Each of these announcements came after a major victory, such as the recapture of Aleppo from rebels or eastern Syria from ISIS, and did not result in any tangible reductions. Despite an absence of fanfare, however, recent developments and statements indicate that a partial drawdown is already underway.

    August 16, 2018

    A “diplomatic dance” in southern Syria
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • A “diplomatic dance” in southern Syria

    Several countries have engaged in a flurry of diplomatic moves in recent days to prevent combat between Israeli and Iranian forces in southern Syria from escalating into full-scale war. MEI senior fellows Robert Ford and Charles Lister join host Paul Salem to discuss these moves and the state of the Syrian conflict.

    May 31, 2018

    What lies ahead for Afghanistan: the various scenarios
  • Video
  • What lies ahead for Afghanistan: the various scenarios

    The way forward in Afghanistan seems as unclear as it has ever been. An outright military victory against the Taliban and other insurgent groups appears to be unachievable. The prospect of insurgents overrunning the country soon appears similarly unlikely. At the same time, a negotiated peace seems presently improbable. At least on terms outlined by the Kabul government and international community, the Taliban shows little interest in reconciliation.

    May 22, 2018

    The risk of interstate war(s) in the Middle East
  • Video
  • The risk of interstate war(s) in the Middle East

    While armed nonstate actors and proxy militias have been grabbing most headlines in recent years, the risk of interstate war in the Middle East is rising at an alarming rate. This includes the risk of war between Israel and Iran, Saudi Arabia and Iran, and possibly the United States and Iran, or the United States and Russia. Tensions between Israel and Iran have boiled over several times in recent weeks in Syria, risking a serious escalation between the two countries.

    May 17, 2018

    Don’t scrap Washington’s Lebanon policy. It’s working.
  • Analysis
  • Don’t scrap Washington’s Lebanon policy. It’s working.

    Read the full article on Foreign Policy.

    In Sunday’s elections in Lebanon, Hezbollah and its allies gained more than half the seats in Parliament. After a result like that, an old canard in Washington is likely to resurface with full force: the idea that U.S. policy in Lebanon is a disaster. Don’t buy it. In fact, of all the investments the United States has made in the Middle East over the past decade, Lebanon has generated the greatest returns.

    May 8, 2018

    Trump’s new arms sales policy
    Middle East Institute
  • Podcast
  • Trump’s new arms sales policy

    What impact will the Trump administration’s new arms sales policy, named “Buy American,” have on the Middle East, historically one of the major destinations for U.S.-made weapons? Michael O’Hanlon, senior fellow and director of research for the Foreign Policy program at Brookings, and Bilal Saab, director of MEI’s Defense and Security program, join host Paul Salem to discuss.

    May 3, 2018

    Trump’s new arms-sales policy is good but sounds awful
  • Analysis
  • Trump’s new arms-sales policy is good but sounds awful

    This article was first published on Defense One.

    The White House last week released a new plan—called “Buy American”—to shore up U.S. arms sales to global friends and allies. It’s borne out of President Donald Trump’s desire, which he articulated during his presidential campaign, to sell more American weapons as a means to boost the U.S. economy and create more jobs.

    April 27, 2018